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Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14: Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects

United States Air Force, Air Technical Intelligence Center · 1955-05-05 · 309 pages · text from the file's own layer

Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.

c
J
Evaluation
0-Balloon
1-Astronomical
2-Aircratt
3-lijht Phenom. •
4-Birds
5-Clouds, Dust, etc.
e-lnsiffic Into.
7-Psycto l o p o l
8-Unknown
9-Othei
Total
r#6l£ /?/07 . £//>L/>tinOA/ 0fr
Total
s
0
0
0
o
0
Per Cent
Certain
MS.
6-7
£0-
o.o
333
iOO
Doubtful
20.0
00
/ / /
0,0
Q/?
0.0
00
00
O.0
6.7
t/00
ToUl
&3
?O.0
GO
00
0.0
00
0-0
t-r
100.
Number
Certain
g_
0
0
_j2_
/
0
0
DouUfu
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
/
Total
0
t;
1/
0
0
0
f
0
1,
IP
/I
Percent
Certain
2£o
25.0
0.0
0.0
O.O
£•3
0-.O
17.4
/?.(?
9*1
Doubtful
0,0
/ t *
00
00
fit?
At?
0.0
00
00
#0
6-3
Total
0O
1/.?
2S.O
0.0
0-0
0.0
1-3
0,0
0O
/OO-
Evaluation
O-Balloon .
l'Astronomical
2-Aitcratt
3-Li£hl Phenom.
4-Birds
5-Clouds, Dust, etc.
frlnsutfic Wo.
7-Psychological
8-Unknowi
Mttier
Total
H/)t/
Number
Certain
s
s
s
0
/
s
Doubtful
2
/
2
0
0
&
o
0
2,
7
Total
/ /
7
f
/
3
0
£
£_
Percent
Certain
1LS.
HU-
LL
Ll-
JL&
M-
Doubtfu
*•?
f.f
o.o
o.o
O.0
0.0
ao
00
5-9
20.&
Total
324
It
O.r?
2-9
It
O 0
t. $
/0O.
Jf/A/£
Number
Certain
-J3
SL
^ _
0
t?
j
37
Doubtful
s
0
S3
0
0
a
Total
tf.
2.
$
/
o
3
?
43
PerCent
Certain
30.2
£L
//(,
*f
00
ao
10
93
to?
0.0
W./
Doubtful
7.0
OO
70
O-ff
OO
0.0
0.0
O0
0.0
0.0
/3-9
Total
37.2
4-7
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23
0.O
0.0
1,0
f.3
20?
00
100.
Number
;ettain
24.
//
J
/
22
_JL
93
Doubtful
/
0./.
/9.O
0.0
0-0
tt. 7
Total
ILL
90
If. 7
4-/
0.O
/3.I
OS
/%.o
4/
/oo-
Numbtr
Certain
&
1/
0
2
/Z
sl-
Doubtfu
/ / I
2
/7
O
0
/
0
O
0
*</
Total
10
13
/
p
z
12
•T
ft
Percent
Certain
111
£.4
'JLL
0.0
jQ£L
2Z
JLL
4.3
63-4
Doubtful
/Y.O
1.1.
/t.s
0.0
a,o
/ • /
0.0
0.0
0.0
/ • /
u/,
Total
32.3
/fft
2tf.7
4.2
ao
U
b.4
22
/2.f
5.4
,0/,
Evaluation
O-Balloon
1-Astronomical
2-Aircraft
3-Light Phenom.
4-Birds
5-Clouds, Oust, etc.
8-lnsuffic. Into.
7-Psycholosical
B-UnVnoM
9-Other
Total
Number
Certain
J
z
g_
0
_^_
o
*
/&
Doubtfu
2
2
g_
/
0
0
0
/
/ < /
Total
•9
0
'0
0
7
20
Percent
Certain
JM.
3.3
MIL
ao
/O.O
o.o
23.3
53.3
Doubtfu
C7
U-7
3.3
OO
00
no
00
0.0
3.3
4(.-7
ToUl
JL-J-
IM.
6-te
0 0
0-0
no
U
/CO.
Number
Certain
2.
y
£_
0
/
_ _ ^
3
_J2^
Doubtful
2
/
0
0
/3
Total
/
3
3
3
/
O
/
o
3
O
22
Percent
Certain
9/
45
45
ao
o.o
o.o
/3.L
,00
40-?
Doubtful
27.Z
?•(
?•'
4S
ao
0-0
00
o.o
0.0
59./
Total
3C3
at.
l i t
/u
0.O
4.s
O.0
0-0
/SO.
Number
Certain
2
3
0
0
/
0
ff
/3
Doubtful
J
f
0
0
0
0
0
0
/9
Total
9
C
s
Z
o
o
/
o
,
Percent
Certain
M.
AIL
3.1
ML
/2A.
JLL
J2JL
Vat.
Doubtful
2/9
9-4
Is.o
3./
00
0,0
0.0
f?,O
00
0.0
Total
U2
/ft
2SO
/, 2
&JL
3./
li7
£L£L
Nunbn
Certain
2.
_^_
/
-J2-
^
/
2/
Doubtfu
/
/
2
0
0
0
IP
0
0
0
4
Total
3
s
/
0
O
Z
t
2 ^
Per Celt
Certain
S.0
zeo
f-.o
4.O
0.0
O-D
1.0
fzO
32.0
f-.O
S¥rO
Doubtful
(+.0
r.o
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
/i.O
Total
/Z.C
to
0.0
a.o
-g.o
'/rO
/oo.
170

Cases discussed

About this file

Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.