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Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14: Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects

United States Air Force, Air Technical Intelligence Center · 1955-05-05 · 309 pages · text from the file's own layer

Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.

Evaluation
0-Balloon
I-Astnowtal
?-Aiicraff
3-Li|M Prienoo.
4 - B i *
S-Clowh, Dust, etc
frhmffit Wb.
7-Psydnlofical
t-Uakaow
ToUl
Evaluation
0-Balloon
I-Astmnaical
7-Aircnfl
3 - L i i M P k a m .
4-Binb
S-Clouos. Oust, etc
S-limffic Wo.
7-Psvcholofical
(-UnknoM
W B l H
1 Total
Evaluation
0-Balloon
1-Astnnomical
2-Aircraft
3-Ligtil Phenoa.
«-Birds
S-Clouds, Dust, etc
6-lnsuffic mfo.
7-Psvcholo|ical
t-Unknoan
9-Olher
Total
Foe
J/}/UV/)/et/
Number
Certain
/
/
1 g.
0
2,
s-
?
Doubtful
0
^
0
f
Tobl
/
O
O
o
o
o
o
z.
/
o.o
260
Total
C-3
/2.$
12.$
3 '
3 /
O.O
£?.3
S. /
4S-7
3./
lOO-
/40A
;ertain
/
,
0
0
a
a
0
0
0
1-
Number
Doubtful
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
O
Total
/
/
O
O
O
O
O
O
O
O
•2.
J/SA
Number
Certain
?
0
O
.J2-
0
0
7
Doubtful
2,
/?
f?
0
0
0
(?
0
2
Total
f
s
0
a
0
0
0
7
2
ao
0.0
o-o
0.0
0.0
ao
0.0
0.0
/ao.
Percent
Certain
if-2.
is
O.O
CO
CO
0.0
0.0
tLL
Doubtful
0.0
a.o
a.o
0.0
\_ag_
O.O
O.o
O.O
o.O
ILL.
Total
?7JS
20.f
O.O
O.O
O.O
O.O
O.O
if.2
42
/oa.
/?c-r04£,e
Number
Certain
7
0
0
2
0
0
4/
0
/¥•
Doubtful
0
0
0
^
0
0
0
/
Total
/O
/
/
O
2 .
O
O
O
t/L
/f
Percent
Certain
0.0
O.O
/O.S
ao
00
0.0
2/./
o\o
Doubtful
/s.S
0.0
5-3
0.0
OS
0.0
0.0
0.0
ao
£3
2C. 3
Total
S-3
$.3
AO
/0.S
a.o
00
0.0
2//
f-1
/oo.
&y£ e 77*/*
A//9/et//
Number
:ert»n
/
/
0
0
0
0
0
/£>
O
/8
Doubtful
0
'0
S3
0
O
0
0
Total
7
r
0
0
0
a
0
O
/O
0
/S
PerCent
Certain
3R?
St>
O.O
O.O
O.O
ao
AO
ao
0.0
/ao.o
Doubtful
a. a
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
o.a
0.0
0.0
Total
S-4>
O.o
ff.O
a.o
o.a
0.0
O.B
ST.*.
0.0
/eo.
Joci/
Number
lertain
/4
/£•
/
0
/
/
£/
4
12.
Doubtful
f
/
0
0
0
2-/
Total
2/
17
/f
O
O
z.
?2
PerCent
Certain
/4.3
/2.2
£I /
/•O
a.o
0.0
XI
/.O
4LL
7U
Doubtful
7- f
r.te.o
o.o
0.0
0.0
/•O
o.a
O.O
2/.if
Total
2/y
It 3
/if. 3
ft?
D.a
O.o
$2
f.0
3/.L
t/j
/CO.
As0v£/
PerCent
Certain
llf
/2.5
0.0
o.O
0.0
O.O
2S.0
O.O
2/.S
O.O
Doubtful
0.0
0.0
/2-S
6.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.O
00
/2.4
Total
117
/2S
/2.S
0.0
0.0
0.0
2SO
0.0
3/.g
a.o
/OO.
/?#/,&sr
Number
Certain
J
0
0
0
2
/£
/?
Doubtfu
J»
7
S
/
^
0
0
fR
Total
f
/.r
0
(7
Z
£
AT
if
Certain
/ / /
/4%
0.0
0.0
0.0
11
0.0
tt.r
PerCent
Dubtful
&£
/2. 1
(9
O-O
0.0
o.o
0.0
O.CD
?4
SS3
Total
/(..7
?7 7
l-f
0.0
0.0
3.7
1.7
/oo.
/?£
m
PerCent
Doubtful
DO
/ / • /
O.O
0.O
O.O
o-o
0.0
00
O-O
O.a
/ / • /
Total
O.O
22.2
O. a
O.o
o-o
a.o
ao
22.2.
</</.</
//./
/w
J
171
L,

Cases discussed

About this file

Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.