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Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14: Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects

United States Air Force, Air Technical Intelligence Center · 1955-05-05 · 309 pages · text from the file's own layer

Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.

E n l n t x w
0- Balloon
1-Aitmnonrcal
2-Aircrart
3-LigM Plwnoci.
4-Birds
5-Clmts, Dust, etc
t-insuffic kilo.
7-Psycho logical
S-IMmoMi
cottier
Total
Evaluation
O-Bailoon
1-Astnmmical
2-Aircnft
3-Light Plienoai.
4-Birds
S-Clouds, Dust, etc
6*lnsuffic Info.
7-PsvcnorO(ical
cVUnkmwi
Wither
I Total
Evaluation
D-Balloon
1-Astlonoaical
2-Aircraft
3-Lijhl Ptienm.
4-Birds
S-ClotKls, Dust, etc
6-lnsuffic kifo.
7-Psvchok>(ical
8-Unknown
Winer
Total
fit
Number
Ceitain
/
3
2,
/
s
y
Doubtful
/
a
0
0
0
Z
Total
2
3
3
/?
0
0
3
/
/j
Certain
7,1
231
/S-4
0.0
o.o
a.o
71
0.0
22/
77
Hi
Percent
Doubtful
7-7
d.O
77
AO
0.0
O.O
0.0
o.o
6.0
6-0
&4
Total
2U_
O.O
0.O
77
o.o
22/
77
(OO.
M/W
Number
Certain
_ ^ _
0.
0-
0
0.
3
Ooubrtu
0
a
0
0
/0
Total
/ /
z
0
o
0
0
7
3
37
Percent
Certain
24.J
o.o
/0.S
O.O
0.0
o.o
(0.1
o.o
(tit
X.I
7~30
Doubtfu
(LZ
CO
oo
O.o
i.O
o.o
o.o
o.o
21.0
Total
29.7
.?•?
2U
ao
0.0
o.O
/of
0.0
(I?
/0O.
f£/>r£/i*/l££
Number
Certain
3
y
0
0
,7
0
0
23
Doubtfu
0
0
0
0
0
0
23
Total
it
0
f
//t
4i
P a Cent
Ceitain
21
4-3
0.O
0.0
O-d
2-2
O.O
3¥.%
O£>
eoo
Doubtful
/J.0
2.Z
Hi
O.o
O.O
O.O
d.0
O.O
Od
0.0
50-0
Total
ft*
3%/
ao
a.a
0.0
2.2
ao
Ht
AO
IPO-
94/r* f
Number
Certain
/
0
2.
0
0
/Z
0

U-
(.2
i l l
UL
1U-
Doubtful
a.o
0.0
// 7
00
0.0
O.O
0-0
O.O
/i-7
333
Percent
Doubtful
u
It
ft
0.C
AO
d.O
0.0
/ • $
0.0
0.0
22.7
Total
/ / • /
d.0
SS.5
ao
0.0
£•£
// /
4-7
/oo.
Total
t i l
!•/
43
ao
g.t
if
/O0-
A*#£/e
PerCent
Certain
IJJ-
£1
0.0
^1-
d.o
no.
0.0
0.0
2LZ-
0.0
53-3
Doubtful
OO
/ /
ao
a.o
ao
M#
0.0
0.0
00
0.0
41-7
Total
(33
/ ? /
O.o
(,-7
0.0
V0.o
/0.C
a-6
?L-7
0.0
/oo.
Certain
2\j
y
/
a
&
/
/2
y
3/
70
A
Numbet
Doubtful
0
2
0
0
0)
0
0-
3
if/e/<.
Total
2.
2.
0
/
<9
/
/£•
/
J 7 /
'£ / *f/A/l/7
Percent
Certain
29
~Jj\
0.O
/Y--7
UL
JO
Doubtful
0.O
2~ 9
0.?
d.o
0.O
00
ao
a.o
0.0
0.0
fg
Total
£ £
Zf.Y
00
O.o
(¥7
2.9
3Z.3
2.9
/Pi/60 rr
Nu«bH
Certain
/0
/
/Z
0
0
0
3
£
23
2
&3
Doubtfu
/2-
y
f
0
yy
/
tP
0
2(
Total
99
2.
p
3
23
2.
74
PerCent
Certain
/4
O.O
OO
-2U-
3A/
1/i.
DooWfal
/si
4./0.0
0 0
0.0
(•4
a-o
d.O
2f</
Total
2f7
2$
2/.C.
4/
0.0
O.o
4'
47
s/./
7.7
/00
/?£'<!£rt/S£<G.
Number
Certain
5"
/
0
2
Doubtfu
/
/ •
0
0
0
0
0
a
7
Total
i
(,
0
0
2
0
&
0
23
Certain
2/-7
f7
¥•3
O-O
00
OO
f-7
0.O
?(•/
ao
Percent
Doubtful
43
2(7
a.o
6.0
0.0
o.o
d.o
a.o
0.0
/0V
Total
2LO
/JO
2L.O
O.O
O.O
O-O
f-7
0.0
26./
0.0
/w-
169

Cases discussed

About this file

Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.