Documents / Analysis

Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14: Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects

United States Air Force, Air Technical Intelligence Center · 1955-05-05 · 309 pages · text from the file's own layer

Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.

f Evaluation
0-Balloon
lAslmronical
PAHC.lft
J-Lijtil Phenom.
• Buds
S-Clouds. Dust, e t c
frlnsuBic M o .
7-Psycrslo|jcil
t-UnknoM
).Otlier
Total
***
Certain
/
/
a
j ?
a
?
0
20
Sir
Number
Doubtful
^
0
0
0
(?
0
0
0
/I
"PN6
ToUI
n
i
0
0
7
>S AffP /.csj
Certain
11
nc
i.i
i.
r-f
7?
1-9
0(1'
5.1
00
lot
11
/to
Number
;erUm
d

23.7.
;?-0
o.o
5.C
J.J
33.1
0.0
/Oo.
//-fc
Number
>rtain
0
a
$
$
y
&-
Doubtful
7
/
0
0
0
a
O
Total
/
/
a
y
0
/
Certain
0.0
o.o
I*
0.0
0.0
t.a
f-3
0.0
111
0.0
58.1
'erCent
Doubtful
/in
8 3
00
8^>
o.ff
00
00
S 0
oo
tl-7
ToUI
111
g-3
if-3
Q.O
0-9
9.%
0.9
H'l
8.1
/ot.
31
Number
Certain
D
0
3
a
-A.
/
y
Doubtful
a
o
0
a
a
^
a
a
i
ToUI
a
a
o
o
y
0
y
Per Cenl
Certain
o.o
10
CO.O
1.0
(1 °
Q.O
2P.0
0.0
Q.O
20.O
/oo.o
Doubtful
O.f
Off
OP
O.I
0.0
o-o
09
ff-9
P.O
0.0
O.O
Total
0.4
to
p.o
Q.O
0.9
(1,0
UP
9.9
>.P
29.0
/OO.
1
Enluarwn
0- Balloon
11-Astiononial
2-Aiio«
3-Lijht Phenon.
I-Birds
5-Clouih, Dust, etc
6-umfIic H o .
7-Psydnlo|ial
S-Unkxm
»-OttlC
TcUl
Q Setot/ps -—S~A?/A/i/rej
N m t a
Certain
/
/
a
/)
r /
• a
Doubtful
/
o
(7
(2
0
o
0
(7
7
Total
srtain
/
a
/)
y
Doubtful
0
f?
0

9.0
9.D
0.0
0-0
0.9
o-o
Total
ro.a
33.^
«?3
Off
9.9
0J
0.0
8.1
0.0
o.o
/Of.
/Vt>T Sr^rjfr/?
Number
Certain
/ y
_zo
/ /
0
JL
Doubtful
£
1
/
0
0
£
9
1
3
/ /
6
• t
7
U
Percent
Certain
1.0
ll.-i
.5.2
0.0
1-1
Q.O
iy.8
0.0
f-3
3.^
S5.9
Doubtful
V15. L
i t
1.7.
?-3
0.0
Q.O
9.0
Q.O
4-7
Total
W.P
41. f
7-3
A 1
3-S
Q.O
n.t
O.P
1.1
8-2
100
Evaluation
0-Balloon
1-Astronomical
2-Aircratt
3-Lijtit Phewa.
4- Biros
S-Clouds, Dust, etc
frlnsuffic mk>.
7-Psycholo(ical
t-UnknoMi
9-Otli«
Total
S~ Sec otfcs AMP J-ess
Number
Certain
a
0
a
/&
IL
Doubtfu
^)
V
o
0
a
o
Total
0
y
a
/
0
</
C
/
a
/as
Percent
Certain
o.o
II-H
0.0
90
00
O.P
3.9
O.o
1-0
0.0
It.7
Oubtti
0.0
no3.?
0.0
1.0
o.o
9-0
o.o
0.0
0.0
gl\
Total
0.0
nt
3 ?
o.t
1-0
0.0
3-2
0.0
1.0
00
/OO.
Number
Certain
0
/
ft
/
'a
-4-
Doubtful
0
C
<?
0
0
d
0
7
Total
0
6
/
</
/
/ /
Percent
Certain
0.0
0.0
".0
OJ
7.1
0.0
7.1
0.0
m7.1
5O.D
Doubtful
0-0
11
0.0
0.0
0- 0
do
0-0
o.o
10
50.0
Total
00
429
1.1
0.0
1.1
1-9
1.1
Off
QU
I.l
100.
Number
Certain
a
d
y?
s"
Doubtful
a
c
a
d
a
Total
0
yj
J
ay
0
a
Percent
Certain
o.o
30.0
IO.O
9.1
D.9
90
0.0
05.0
0.8
10.0
Doubtful
o.o
lO.o
00
o.o
i 0
Q.O
9-0
0.0
0.0
00
V.I
Total
ff.}
CP.O
10.0
o.o
4-'
0.4
S.P
o.o
25.0
OP
I 00,
Number
Certain
O
7
0
y
L
0
0
Doubtful
0
)
P
(0
o
o
I
Total
0
u
7
0
3
0
I
0
/3
P
Percent
Certain
0.0
10-1
25.0
0.0
10.1
0.9
1C
0.0
0.0
Id,
Doubtful
00
'3.C
o.o
,0f
0.0
00
op
0.0
O.P
Q.O
i.e.
ToUI
0.0
Q5.0
0 t
in
O.P
3 £_
9-f
if I. if
Q-0
/OO.
I
Evaluation
0-Balloon
1-Asuonomical
2-Aiiuaft
3-Lntit Phenom.
«-Buih
S-Clouds, Oust, etc
cVlnsuffic Info.
7-Psrcholojical
ft-Unknoivn
Wither
Total
£/^ £~CCAIPS —
Number
Certain
-
7
0
P
D
__£
O
c
30
Doubtfu
/
5"
?
P
O
o
0
^ p
O
ToUI
fc
7
o
r
6
t)
T
1
u
-S~s
Per Cenl
Certain
23.1
5.-3
o.o
00
0.0
/19
/3.3
ZC
[31
Doubtfu
u
'U
f.3
O.O
0.0
. 00
o.o
0.0
0-0
0.0
71.1
Total
IS.S
33.7
0-0
O.O
0J
15-2
Q.O
J12
U
100.
Number
Certain
X
5
0
0
o
z
/
fl
1
Doubtful
tl
O
i 3
0
0
D
D
o
o
n
Total
e
6
$
0
0
I
/ • '
ur
PerCent
Certain
13.1
II. 1
0.0
o.o
0.0
M.H
7-7
.11
Doubtful
8.1
0.0
08.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Q.O
0.0
37.0
Total
/j.3
111
HO.O
0.0
O.I
o.o.
a-z
2.2
100.
Number
;ertain
P
-3-0
Cl
-Ji-
ff
1
0
6
F
/ r
Doubtful
0
1
/
0
0
0
0
0
Q
0
.2.
Total
0
tf
1
0
P
0
I
0
• £
r
17
Certain
9.0
nt
0.0
0.0
0.0
o.o
S.I
0.0
3 J.3
nt
PerCent
Doubtful
0.O
r.f
OJ
Q.O
0.0
O.ff
i.O
0.0
•0.0
II. g
Total
0.0
J3.S
o.o
4.1
19
0.9
3J.3
2H
/oo.
Number
Certain
to
0
p
0
20
Z
93
Doubtful
D
s-
0
P
0
0
9
0
0
Total
7 ?
/r
0
p
0
2*0
2
7
/jiff
Certain
32.$
7.3
Q.O
00
DO
i5.&
/ . £
8-G
3-3
121
P
Percent
Doubtful
0- °
3-f
o.o
O.o
0.0
o.o
O.o
O.o
o.o
313
Total
3.1
S6.2.
II .1
0 9
0 0
00
If.C
(.6
8-6
Q.I
loo.
154

Cases discussed

About this file

Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.