Documents / Analysis
Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.
Enlabon
0-Balloon
1-AsmiMial
2-Ai rcraft
3-lieM Ptxnoo.
4-Bir*
S-dowfa, Dust, etc
C-mrfficlrb.
7-PiTd«loral
t-tMaow
Total
Ctrtu"
7
19$
39
1
1
11
7
??
10
I'/J
- A
Nmber
Doubtful
7
111
i i
3
V
i
0
0
0
3
'(9
//£i
i
i
0
q
0
1
us
/£
u -*>
Number
Doubtful
5
28
i f
H
i
0
Q .
0
0
0
S2
0t
Total
8
72
3f?
2
0
1
a
3/
X
161
c
Certain
/.a
213
"f. V
o.i
I). I
0 0
y *
0.0
M.6
n
187
PS
Percent
Doubtful
3 0
u.S
y.,i
o.c
o.o
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
31.1
Total
18
1 3 . 1
22 8
3 0
1-2.
0.0
S-t
o.o
ilLL
I 7
I/O.
lertain
7
U
i
i
0
f
f
183
r//y as
l/zJ0 s
Number
Doubtful
/I
' 7
2
IT*
. $
0
f
S2
Total
/ 7
(3
83
3
Z
2
Id
a
u
US
Si
fem
Certain
?•£
17. t-
I1M
OH
0-H
o.o
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1 .°l
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1-1
C7.I
5 « C e n t
Doubtful
liA
Ci
\J\C
0 8
OH
Of
0 I
1 1
O.P
I t
U.I
Total
7.1
?3S
3/. 0
11
0 8
0.8
CO
3.0
QI~0
S3
/ffO.
I
Certain
7
iS
11
0
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0
n
r,i
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Niater
ertain
42
.12.
n
i
JL
Cent
Certain
/6-f
lt.1
5.2
Of
1.1
IC
LO
2.0
f. 2
19.1
Ooubtful
(.8
U
0-8
o.o
00
Q-ti'
ov
0-P
i.7
20.1
Total
?A7
?/.7
// 1
1.1
1-1
It,
C.I
?.*•
c-t
101.
Nuaber
Certain
ft
mAt
s
-f
3
m
8
ITT
665.
Doultfo
f3
ft2
X
1
0
7
(1
i
'81
Total
11
•230
/3 3
7
7
t
l?1
ft
177
TO
852
Per C o l
Certain
C.f
Jt-I
9-7
9-1
o.c
o.f
IC.g
0.1
70 S
$.7
IS.)
DubMul
Ii.?
i.3
0.2
1.2
0)
o.o
0.2
0. 0
o.i
21. f
Total
io. 7
37.0
IS.1
O.S
0.9
O.i
U.9
I.I
10.&
f'f
/09.
Evaluation
0- Balloon
1-Astmnmial
2-Airuaft
3-Littt Ptmoa.
4-Binb
HTIouds, Dust, etc
t-haiffic kilo.
7-PsydiolO|ical
(•UBknow
9 0 V I M
Total
•JjfWyC^J /9/ft L.GSS
Nunbn
Certain
0
1
A^
Q
0
0
0
0
0
1
10
Doubttu
0
I
0
0
o
o'
6
0
0
0
1
Total
0
IO
a'
0
0
0
0
0
o
1
II
Percent
Certain
O.P
mID
O.O
t.o
O.O
00
o.o
o.o
1.1
919
Dourjffu
o.o
91
OJ
0.0
0.0
t,t
0.0
o.o
oo
00
f.l
Total
0.0
p. SSCO/VPS
Niiaber
Certain
£
0
D
_L
D
• O
0
6
Doubtfu
O
J~
O
P
P
P
0
Total
0
K
o
p
p
(?
O
o
P
r
Per C o l
Certain
JSS.
0-0
00
00
a
no
0.0
7r.o
Dm MM
O.0
#0
O-C
0.0
c?£>
00
00
P.O
Total
00
/06A
#O
00
0-C
#0
0.0
0-0
0.0
/0f.
Nunber
Certain
/
0
0
0
0
2
9
C
1
Doubtful
0
0
1
0
0
-0
0
i
0
0
2
Total
/.
1-
1
0
0
0
7
1
i1
He
Percent
Certain
15.0
o.o
o.o
0-0
0.0
/z.z
0.0
C7
87.5
Doubtful
0.0
on
12
1.0
0.Q
0.0
CO
C2
1.0
0.0
Total
C-2
15.t
a0.0
o.O
0.0
/M
C-1
17$
0.1
loo.
3/-6/J Seco/if'tS
Nunber
Certain
2.
o
a
a
?
Doubttu
0
(
1
D
0
0
0L
t
^2
0
Total
0
3
/
o
• r£S
Nabs
Certain
a
0
/
a
a
0
s
/
/0
Doubtful
o
0
&
<?
o
0
0
?
0
o
0
Total
/
6
1
0
</
/
/o
r-erCent
Certain
no
JJJ
Off
It.O
0.0
00
lo.O
o.o
W.O
It.O
no.
Doubtful
0.0
o.o
0.0
O.D
o.o
o.o
0.0
oo
00
0.0
0 0
Total
iOO
o.o
to
10.0
0.0
o.o
\W0_
O.II
'(O-O
,1.0
100-
£- io r^iniores
Ninon
;ertain
0
<^
Y)
3
~?
Doubtful
0
s£.
a
-O
f?
• 0
a
o
0
Total
0
0
0
0
•o-
l
2
0
f
Per Cent
Certain
o.o
0.0
0-0
0-0
0.0
o.o
(0.0
o.o
uo
0.0
JO 0.0
Doubtful
o.o
~~oT"
o.t
o.o
1.0
0.0
0.0
M
00
q.9
0-0
Total
0.0
0.0
KO
0.0
0.0
0.0
(.0.0
0.0
¥0.0
O.D
no.
Number
Certain Doubtful
v
\
\
Totll
0-
Per Cent
Certain Doubtful Total
tfor £TAT~£:O
Number
Certain
/ • /
/
Doubtful
0
a
0
0
0
/
{?
0/
if
Total
Af
'X
/
<?
0
7
y
/-?
Percent
Certain
a.
i . l
0.6
0.0
il. ?
5.)
?o.3
?J.7
%.s
Doubttul
0.0
£•$
00
0(1
0(1
00 .
oo1.1
00
oo
#.s
Total
(•9
1-1
00
0-0
t~iiT
CB
00.-i
23.7
HO
153 Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.