Documents / Report
This final report, dated September 10, 1996, was prepared by the Research Triangle Institute for the Department of the Air Force's 45th and 30th Space Wing safety offices. Titled Modeling Unlikely Space-Booster Failures in Risk Calculations, it shows how rare Mode-5 failures, in which a rocket veers well off its intended flight line, are modeled in the DAMP risk-analysis program. An appendix lists Atlas, Delta, Titan and Thor launch and failure histories through August 1996.
From the source:Release of 2026-05-08 Incident: 9/10/96, N/A. This report describes the Modeling of Unlikely Space-Booster Failures in Risk Calculations, documenting historical launch failure modes and recommending corrective actions to address them using novel modelling techniques.
Table 19. Sample Impact Distribution for Atlas HAS with No Breakup Failure Time (sec) 35 55 75 95 115 135 155 175 195 215 235 255 300 411 487 608 835 1107 1843 3333 4092 5386 7906 10000 314 388 465 575 808 1082 1762 3065 3827 4206 2094 0 316 427 495 627 744 975 1652 2820 2081 408 0 0 329 354 464 558 730 945 1445 782 0 0 0 0 319 378 421 566 670 845 1292 0 0 0 0 0 316 349 406 525 641 776 1203 -0 0 0 0 0 339 337 415 452 505 617 800 0 0 0 0 0 336 381 368 405 506 550 3 0 0 0 0 0 293 388 374 409 454 520 0 0 0 0 0 0 298 310 397 366 412 441 0 0 0 0 0 0 282 331 346 323 352 378 0 0 0 0 0 0 308 282 303 314 292 331 0 0 0 0 0 0 308 289 306 293 299 260 0 0 0 0 0 0 262 279 300 294 286 256 0 0 0 0 0 0 275 326 281 264 243 205 0 0 0 0 0 0 261 272 271 238 232 170 0 0 0 0 0 0 266 249 272 234 194 111 0 0 0 0 0 0 274 241 242 219 191 96 0 0 0 0 0 0 285 246 230 226 171 70 0 0 0 0 0 0 283 280 235 180 136 55 0 0 0 0 0 0 283 268 215 190 126 49 0 0 0 0 0 0 254 246 211 200 108 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 267 237 204 168 114 27 0 0 0 0 0 0 255 230 178 162 120 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 263 251 211 167 98 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 255 225 189 155 62 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 251 227 195 126 86 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 259 227 176 128 77 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 244 184 186 169 63 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 243 187 180 118 59 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 225 178 166 128 72 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 259 199 151 113 68 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 213 220 177 127 59 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 242 203 172 115 68 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 256 195 171 127 60 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 267 205 140 131 59 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 10000 10000 10000 10000 10000 10000 10000 10000 10000 10000 10000 10000 Ane. 15 0 255 5 279 10 261 15 298 27420 25 287 30 257 35 299 27540 29945 24250 28055 60 272 65 288 70 250 75 283 80 273 85 287 90 235 30395 100 292 105 279 110 283 115 261 120 311 125 276 130 266 135 283 140 286 145 305 150 251 155 293 160 253 165 254 170 298 175 312 Total 10000 275 10000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10000 All % 87746 32.50 38474 14.25 21265 7.88 12195 4.52 8875 3.29 8189 3.03 6893 2.55 5883 2.18 5593 2.07 5285 1.96 1.684535 4005 1.48 3827 1.42 3666 1.36 1.293483 3321 1.23 3022 1.12 2888 1.07 2778 1.03 2815 1.04 2620 0.97 2571 0.95 2448 0.91 0.872346 2321 0.86 2239 0.83 2246 0.83 2221 0.82 2138 0.79 2102 0.78 1895 0.70 2103 0.78 1952 0.72 2008 0.74 2034 0.75 2018 0.75 270000 100.00 9/10/96 41 RTI
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Report, from the pursue collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 181 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.