Documents / Analysis
Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.
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This information consisted of: (1) Time and date of observation in Greenwich Civil Time (2) Latitude and longitude of the observer at the time of observation. V & r Figure 39 shows a celestial sphere on which 2J_ represents the ob- server1 s zenith, js represents the sun, and N_ represents the north celestial pole. Using the date and time of the observation, the longitude and declina- tion (S) of the sun were obtained from an ephemeris of the sun and corrected for the equation of time. The difference between the longitudes of the sun and the observer was taken, and.called the hour angle (HA on Figure 39). Then, using the declination of the sun (S_), the latitude of the observer (lat), and the hour angle (HA), the angle (ZS) between the observer' s zenith and the sun can be calculated from the law of cosines of spherical trigo- nometry. Thus, cos Z"S = cos (90 - lat) cos (90 - S) + sin (90 - lat) sin (90 - S) cos (HA). Since the angle ZS is measured from the observer's zenith, the angle of elevation of the sun above the horizon for daytime sightings was found by taking 90 - ZS. When the sun was below the horizon, the angle of depres- sion of the sun below the horizon was found by taking ZS - 90.. Having found the angle ZS, the bearing of the sun (angle B) was ob- tained from the formula: sin (B) _ sin (HA) sin (90 - S) = sin (ZS) All of the above calculations were made with IBM equipment. Sines, cosines, and^heir inverses were obtained from a deck of 9,000 IBM cards on which seven-place Peter1 s tables of the sines, cosines, and tangents of angles had been punched for each 0.01 of a degree from 0 to 90 degrees. Upon completion of these calculations, the cards representing OBJECT SIGHTINGS were sorted on the sign of the sine of the bearing angle. This separated the cards into two groups: (1) sightings which occurred between noon and midnight, for which the sine of the bearing angle was positive; and (2) sightings between midnight and noon, for which the sine of the bearing angle was negative. Then each of these groups was sorted into groups for intervals of 10° in angle of elevation of the sun from -90° to +90°. A count was made of the number of cards in each group and from this a histogram was constructed (Figure 40). The UNKNOWN OBJECT SIGHTINGS were then sorted out, counted in the same manner, and a histogram was made (again see Figure 40). • - • . . . 5 5
Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.