Documents / Analysis

Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14: Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects

United States Air Force, Air Technical Intelligence Center · 1955-05-05 · 309 pages · text from the file's own layer

Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.

  • p. 245 …P _/) - 7 P P 3 ?% ToUl •6 'r? g_ 0 70 '0 5L3fy Per Cent . Certain…
  • p. 256 …c Doubtful 2, g- 0 0 ?• /g >//r/ ?G//> Total f // / /0 0 & ? 6/ /P6 S…
  • p. 258 …9 0 $ / 'i a 2£ -L 43 r/?g(. Certain / / f2> 2. I? ?; •2V 1 7…
*H^>?H-.'i*'*vu-'.-.-. : - - 0 . -
Evaluation
0-Balloon
l-Astronomical
Z-Aircrift
3-LigM Phenom.
4-Birds
5-Clouds, Dust, etc
6-lnsuffic Into.
7-Psycho logical
9-Unknown
9-Other
Total
tMlJT
Certain
5
j?
0
0
'/I
/
37
Number
Doubtful
?r
0
tO
•0
0
0
2i,
j*9 £
Total
/?
/?
1
0
i
P
rtt Cent
Doubtful
L./
0.0
/•2,
0 0
0.0
0-0
Total
« K
/2 2
/•I
49
00
13
'0.0
7.'2
r- /
'r~(A
Number
Certain
/
0
c?
/
0
*
2.2,
Doubtful
2,
0
0
0
/J
Total
4/
•'0
_j2_
/
f
/($ $
VT0/I/ /J
Per Cent
Certain
/I. 9
-2JL
J2J2.
0.0
0.0
221
2J-
W '
Doubtful
56
/J.?
'67
00
(20
3.0
0 0
0.0
2t
Total
//.Z
27S
?•$
$c?
z s
0t"
Z1Z,
'HO.
Number
Certain
,'£>
22
1
/»
2,,
. /
^/
/£•?
/• £
•'/• C
,'0.0
2-7 3
£ • ^
"ft
Doubtful
?• )rf
0F r/f£
/2
2-
0
H
Total
25
Zi
u
f
z
I?
(7
ft
3
/2$
Percent
Certain
&£\
/0.4
/ /(.
tfrf£./tn//>£ 0f .
Number
Certain
/
/
2/
;
0
0
tx
Doubtful
^ _
J '
/
0
0
0
0
^
ToUl
3
4
s
z
0
0
z
/
z
s
/9
'r//
&/s7~.
Certain
/'fii/£5T~ /e&/Z/0AJ
y /#et«£S7
Percent
Doubtful
/0.5
/s:g
.0.0
00
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2,/. /
a.t,
Total
?./•/
J2JZ.
0.0
&.3
5:3
/0p.
Number
Certain Doubtful Total
Percent
Certain Doubtful Total
Number
Certain Doubtfu Total
Per Cent
Certain Doubtful iTotal^
L.
253 and 254

Cases discussed

About this file

Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.