Documents / Analysis

Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14: Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects

United States Air Force, Air Technical Intelligence Center · 1955-05-05 · 309 pages · text from the file's own layer

Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.

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Evaluation
0-Balloon
l-Astionotiical
2-Aiiaaft
3-Ujht Phenon.
(•Birds
5-CloudJ, Dust, etc.
6-lnajffic Info.
7-Pjycholopcal
t-IMuxran
9-Otfier
Total
Evaluation
0-Balloon
1-Astmoaical
2-Aircraft
R i g t i t Phenoa.
4-Birds
5-Clouds, Dust, etc
5-lnsuffic Info.
7-Psychological
Hjntomm
9-Ottier
Total
Evaluation
0-Balloon
1-Astronomical
2-Aircraft
3-Light Phenoa.
4-Birds
5-Clouds, Dust, etc.
6-lnsuffic Info.
7-Psycnologiol
8-Unkjxmn
9-Ottier
Total
7%4/-
Number
Certain
g
10
2,
0
0
t
0
13
I
4S
r/ftfi
Certain
/2,
2/
//
0
D
S
a
5~3
/
III
Doubtful
/ £
//
/
0
0
p
z.
0
J9
£
.0
00
7-0
/•7
176
7,0
19./
Percent
Doubtfu
&7
7O
'4s
00
0C
0-0
of
0.O
0.0
20.9
Total
27.0
I/.3
ft
00
00
70
U
27.0
70
too.
77-
4T(0n>
V
Number
Certain
J1
J'f
/
/£•
9
67
r//
4. 2.
0~7
//%>
' */£sr
jr/y L/gir
Percent
Certain
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/3./
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0.0
0.0
6.2,
J2J2\
?9.O
744
?/?
2&/Z&
Doubtful
2.g
/2,.&
74
/. /
0(.
/ /
0.0
0.0
0-0
0.0
{Si
fa
/
Total
/U
/&?
2.
Doubtful
£
s
/
0
0
0
0
0
¥
/0
Total
• f
S
/
0
¥
3
2-t.
Percent
Certain
S.g
/sr¥
3.X
0.0
0.O
/s:4\
3.g
/IS
.?.&
Us
Doubtful
77
Jg
0O
00
0.0
MA
/s-4
?g.G
Total
(/•s
/6^3
(92
rft
00
/&4
3.2
//•£?
19 z
/00.
sr
Nuaiber
;m*n
7
_$-
/
0
2/
4/3
s/c
Doubtful
2,
g-
0
0
?•
/g
>//r/
?G//>
Total
f
//
/
/0
0
&
?
6/
/P6 S
a/
/A/ 7
5/0/1/ we
Percent
Certain
//•S
fg
'$2
/£
0.0
0.0
f.3
0.0
l¥4
At.
70.4
Doubtful
f . f
/S/
f-g
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
•00
13
29. s
/A 7"*
Total
/?$
f?9
/ffl
&0
00
3?
0-0
?4f
¥9
/ft?,
Number
;ertain
S£S.
Doubtfu
7"
Total
Number
Certain Doubtful TotaP
PeiCent
Certain
-•
Doubtful
//I/
6/0/V
Total
PnCent
Certain Doubtful
#
Total
sr?/?r'£6' /> 95
li/}L/)n,t£ 0? Soor* /V/atvesr
Mmber
Certain
/7
J¥
j
S0l
2*9
Doubtful
/7
2/
p-
2
0!
01
/
0
2,
7g
S7~,e<f7~4.
Total
•?</
92
2
0
J4
4.
/0g
7
337
~<5/f
PnCent
Certain
£0
/a/
/L.9
0.0
/0./
0?
32.0
/.£-
76 9
Doubtful
£0
i.Z
/0.4C
0.0
0,*
0/0
010
(P.3
0,0
0.£.
23/
Total
/00
//.. 1
27,S
03
06
0.0
/a/
/Z
31,0
Nunbei
Certain Doubtfu
xr/e/?;
Total
rS6/c
Certain
« - ^
Percent
Doubtful Total
Number
Certain Doubtfu Total Certain
Percent
Doubtful Total
249

Cases discussed

About this file

Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.