Documents / Analysis

Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14: Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects

United States Air Force, Air Technical Intelligence Center · 1955-05-05 · 309 pages · text from the file's own layer

Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.

  • p. 245 …P _/) - 7 P P 3 ?% ToUl •6 'r? g_ 0 70 '0 5L3fy Per Cent . Certain…
  • p. 256 …c Doubtful 2, g- 0 0 ?• /g >//r/ ?G//> Total f // / /0 0 & ? 6/ /P6 S…
  • p. 258 …9 0 $ / 'i a 2£ -L 43 r/?g(. Certain / / f2> 2. I? ?; •2V 1 7…
£j*2
o
0
S~
Total
0
f
J
r
i
r2-
0
/ 7
Percent
Certain
0.0
35T3
//•f
£$_
0.0
i0.0
£1
at>
IA1
ao
70.i
Doubtful
0,
6-/P Sfco/vps i
Number
lertain
£>\
/
o
0
a
a
a
0
r
Doubtful
0
0
0
t
0
a
a
0
0
/
Total
,r
/
0
/
0
0
P
X
9
Per Cent
Certain
PP
ILL
PO
.M
ML
JA
PP
22,2
P£
U9
Doubtful
0.0
PO
//./
• PP
PO
p.p
0.0
0.0
//./
Total
P,d
.fXX
//./
0.0
fl-l
0.D
0.0
P/>
p£2.
0.L
/P0
65 A0A CL rtain
/
-Aa
a
J
j_
0
70
Doubtful
/
/
O
a
/
a
o

/
J
ft
/J
Percent
Certain
0.0
23/
0.O
0.0
0.0
0.0
7 7
2-3./
0.0
£?.X
Doubtful
0.0
/f.4-
77
0.0
0.0
S?-0
a.0
3D.?
Total
00
3XS
7,7
0O
0.0
P.p
7,7
Zl/
0.0
/pp.
Evaluation
0-Balloon
1-Astmnonical
2-Aircraft
3-LigM Ptienon.
4-Birtls
5-Clouds, Dust, etc.
G-lnsuffic Info.
7-Psycnolo|ical
8-Unknoon
M i n e r
Total
Number
Certain
/
;
-7
/
O
&
_±o
i
e
Oodbtfu
O
I
o
0
0
0
6
0
a
f
Total
/
/,r
/
3
0
(
Percent
Certain
3.3
3.3
m3.3
0.0
O.i0
/&£
O.0
U7
ao
70.P
Doubtlu
00
3.3
U?
0 0
at?
0-0
0.0
&0
0.0
0.0
Total
S3
I t
5P.P
23
0.0
0.0
/0.O
00
U7
0.0
Number
Certain
j -
_ ^
a
J>
0
A.
Doubtful
2,
I
X.
e
0
,6
//•r
/7't
sr?
Number
Certain
4-
/
/
0
o
7
/
XL
Doulitfu
J
O
o
0
o
0
o
0
J
Total
/
7
7
/ •
7
7
Pet Cent
Certain
/#.T
?.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
2*9
3.7
Z/S
Doubtful
7.4-
/ / • /
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
&0
a0
/ts
Total
21.2
3.7
0,0
0.0
3.7
100.
Evaluation
O-Balloon
1-Astnnomical
2-Aircraft
3 - L I J W Ptienom.
4-Birds
S-Clouds, Dust, etc
6-lnsjjffic. Info.
/•Psychological
8-Unknotnn
9-Otticr
Total
A i//?£ t//)r//}n/ ,
-0£,
Number
Certain
0
9
4-
0
a
0
j
0
2-2-
Doubtfu
c
/
o
//
0
o
o
0
2_
Total
P
75"
0
J
/
1
0
3 I
Percent
Certain
0.0
721
0.0
0.0
o.o
97
0.0
/U
0-0
77.1
Doubtfu
00
0-0
J&L
3.X
0.0
0.0
0.0
2-1,0
ToUl
0.0
/ * • /
3.1
3.2
9-7
p.0
/%q.
fi.0
jOP^
00 e#r/
6-/0 S.
Number
Certain
4-
0
0
o
«£
0
/
/
til
Doubtful
£>
0
X
1
0
a
o
0
0
3
Total
/
•H-
/
0
P
J_
• 0
/
/
/x
0/
VPS
Percent
Certain
Al
33.3
P.D
0.0
PO
P-P
/6.7
p.c
0
7£0
Doubtful
• 0.0
p.0
PO
0.0
P.0
t?.o
2-5:0
Total
f.3
767
f.3
P-0
#(?
/67
0.0
p
13
/PP
{/V6
7/~3
A0£
(2 fV r"
2/~6
S./2S-04
?P S^c
0?
A/-
/
/J
Certain
77
0.0
0.0
0.0
P.0
p.O
0.0
7.7
SIS'
:s
Percent
Doubtful
7.7
•7,7
a.0
r?-0
a.0
0.0
(00
ersp
Total
/£~,y-
77
3%5
a./?
0.p
0.0
0 V
0.0
7.7
Ipo.
Evaluation
O-Balloon
1-Aslronomical
2-Aircraft
3-Lijtil Pfiemta.
4-Birib
5-Cloudi. Dust, etc
6-lnsuffic kib.
7-Piycholo|lal
8-Ur*noi»
Mthv
TeW
Q/Sg-CDVffS - STtf/J/l/r^S
Number
Certain
/
/
4-0
0
ft
j
/°0
Jl.
Doubtful
A
/
4
i
0
0
0
i
a
0
Total
3
f
j
P
/
$
0
Percent
Certain
3i
36
/Hi3
0.0
0/)
O.L
?.&
7.1
3CJ
P.0
[Doubtful
7.1
3J
/a.3
U
0.0
0.0
o.p
36
0.0
0.0
32,1
Total
707
to
2H
0.6
•0.0
34
/0.7
3£7
0-0
(00.
Number
Certain
3
j -
/
a
7
0
2-1
Doubtful
I
4-
o
0
o
Total
s
1
/
P
P
/
0>
7
i f
Per Cent
Certain
/0.3
/72
/S$
M.
M
0.0
39-
0.0
M
724
Doubtful
/?.f
P.0
0.0
0.P
PO
0.0
P.0
2 if.
Total
/7,2-
Mi
2//!(i
3-4
0.0
p.0
Ztl-
0.D
M,f
(QO,
t3\/£~/? 3
Number
Main
/
2.
0
a
a
0
/
/
a
~T
Doubtful
O
r^T?
Number
Certain
2
0
0
0
/
a
AC
Doubtful
f
x
J
0
0
0
0
0
/
1
Total
t
0)
P
6
/
$~
/
22,
Percent
Certain
J.3
/It
0.O
o.o
0 0
/a
3./
0.O
7JU
Doubtful
3.1
13
<f4
a.o
0.0
0.O
0.O
0.0
J.I
Total
9,4
2S.p
0.0
0P
o.o/<?•(
3.1
/5~6
3J
/PP.
231

Cases discussed

About this file

Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.