Documents / Analysis
Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.
“R.G.”3 pages
Equation
0- Balloon
I-Astnnmical
2-Aucraft
J-Li|tit Pftenon.
4-Birds
S-CloudJ, Dust, t i c
frlnsiflic Into.
7-PsycfDl0|ial
>-Unknown
9-Ottier
Tot-
y-OA
NumbH
Certain
j
J.I
4
o
J
0
f}
7
3S
Doubtful
7
/
o
o
o
/
31
Total
4
//
2
o
1
o
7
4
77
Pet Cent
Certain
/3
2?.i
S.7
O.O
j 3
O.O
/ • • *
O.O
9>
4M
Doubtful | Total
9.1
J.L
/3
O.O
O .a
O.O
O.O
/.3
So.C
S.7
Jft
/4i
0,0
( • *
O.o
9-i
/oo.
fr/o/ii' 3
Number
>rtain
/
J-
J"1
A
a
0
4
o
/o
o
o
Total
7
/
4
0
4
o
/o
Per Cent
Certain
JL
/3JL
OO
O.o
0 o
2L.3
S-Z
ILL
Doubtful
S3,
J.&
AO
O.O
O.o
O.a
t.o
Total
79
k*
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0.0
f.O
2Li
S3
loo-
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Number
Certain
O
2
e>
3
a
o
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0
AH
Doubtful
/
j
46
1
a,
o
o
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Total
4
9
O
4
o
/A
o
34.
Per Cent
Certain
• i f
S.L
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t.0
O.o
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S3-3
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11.8
Doubtful
2.1
J-.C
JA/
o.o
X-9
o.o
o o
0.0
O.o
o.o
21.2
Total
JJT.O
o.o
//./
O.a
/£-)
0.O
33.3
0.O
/0O.
Evaluation
0- Balloon
1-Astnnmical
2-Airciaft
3-Lifhl Phenoni.
4-Bints
5-Clowls, Dust, e t c
6-lnsiflic Info.
7-Psytholojical
S-UntoKian
KlttlM
Total
Number _ j
Certain
/s\
2
/o
o
o
a
«r
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3
Doubtfu
3
$
o
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0
/
o
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Total
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a
a
3
JT
3
• Per Cent
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^ • 2
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3,2
/fie.
£-3o /V/virfj
Number
Certain
/ *
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JL
a
a
7
-r
U
Doubtful
/2
4
/o
4
0
O
O
O
o
o
3*
Total
3o
14
li
C
o
o
7
j '
/(.
PerCenl
Certain
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Sot
12,
12.
a.o
UL
nx
Doubtful
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4*
/*.f
4-1
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O.O
O0
o.o
0.a
32.3
Total
2%i
tf-t
11 o
U
Oo
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/7-2
Jt-2
Number
;«tain
t
^L
o
£>
A
0
0
//
2A.
Doubtful
3
j '
/
o
»
o
e>
a
o
9
Total
fl
/(,
?
0
O
0
0
0
//
Percent
Certain
Jl.L
AXL
41
fi.o
O.o
0.0
O.O
0.0
2X.C
Al
79./
Doubtful
U
//•£>
J-3
0O
Oo
-&O-
6.O
o.o
O.O
0 O
Total
3S.I
31-2
70
&&-
-AJi-
0,0
00
00
4-7
leo^
Hunter
Certain
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/o~
_£_
a
a
/
3.
£±
4
Doubtful
JT
4
o
o
o
o
(
o
o
I*
Total
/f
rt
O
1
3
4
/e>3
Percent
Certain
fM
.?
O.o
O.O
O 0
0.0
/s
Number
Certain
g
a
J
4-
a
J.3\-
Doubtful
2.
1
0
o
0
o
0
0
Total
1
a
o
1
0
4
o
/f
Percent
Certain
O.O
O O
4X.I
O.O
a.o
Oo
~C3
O.o
0-0
£&
Doubtful
/AS
s.i
S.3
O.O
O.O
o.o
o.o
o. o
o.o
3U
Total
/O.S
/if
414
O.O
O.O
0*
A/./
o.o
/oo.
&
Certain
/
/
/9
0
o
0
/
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O.O
21.1
Total
so.6
o.o
££l
2C
^2C
o.o
x.C
o.o
3/~t
/0O.
Evaluation
0-Balloon
l-Astmnonical
2-Airciaft
3-Light Ptierna.
4-Birih
S-Clouds, Dust, etc
6-lnsiflic tifo.
7-Psydnki|ial
S-Unkno«n
M t h w
Total
Number
Certain
/7
/
/3
/
/
o
• 1 '
/
Jo
/
^o_
Doubtful
O
/o
/
o
0
c?
0
o
1
t1
Total
/
23
/
o
s~
1
Jo
Z
17
PerCent
Certain
JJL
IA1
/*
/•3
to
ZLAL
2C.a
A3
tfl
Doubtful
u0.0
/3.o
/.*
0 0
o.o
DO
O.o
32.1
Total
*U
0.3
Ae Jo AI/'/uTfis
Number
;ertain
£
/
o
0
/
J,
7
4
Doubtful
3
1
0
O
0_
5~
o
o
1
$
Total
4
/
o
t?
/
0
p.
7
/
XS
Per Cent
Certain
24.o
/2.o
4.o
4.O
O.O
4o
O.O
to
ZS.o
o.e
too
Doubtful
/a.o
JhO_
O.e
O.O
o.o
O.O
o.o
4.o
Jo.o
Total
Mo
4.0
a.o
O.o
4.o
O.o
go
4-O
/ML-
l>u/e/)T/o'S sfor STATED
Number
Certain
/ '
/
'9
/
o
2o
i
/•r
/
13
Ooubtful
3
3
4
0
/
0
o
0
a
a
//
Total
13
4
2*
I
1
o
2o
/
/s-
S4
PerCent
Certain
US-
Ax
J2.L
JJL
0.0
O.o
23t
/2
A7.f
1.1
Ul
Doubtful
3.6
3M
0.0
/.*
0.a
O.o
0.0
O.O
o.o
/3.I
Total
/•r.s
4-1
27,4
/•z
(.*
O.o
J3.{
/ • *
/7,9
7./
/O0.
228 Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.