Documents / Analysis

Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14: Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects

United States Air Force, Air Technical Intelligence Center · 1955-05-05 · 309 pages · text from the file's own layer

Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.

Evaluation
0-Balloon
lAstromnrcal
2-Aircraft
3-lifht Phenom.
«-Birds
S-Clouds, Dust, etc
Mnsuflic Info.
7Psyct»k>|ical
S-Unknown
9-Ottier
Total
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J
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/
0
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7
25
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Total
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Number
lertain
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%
7
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/2
Total
3
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0
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Certain
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/U
0.0
o.o
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4,i
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erCent
Doubtlul
4.2
4 x
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3/-60 «
Number
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0
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28
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Total
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36
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111
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Total
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211
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Total
/
1S6
Number
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f
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0
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33
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4
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0
0
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2/
Total
j -
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l
3
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0
54
Certain
/ f
3,7
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3-7
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Percent
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7-4
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0.0
a.o
0.0
0.0
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0.0
0.0
St.1
Total
£$-£.
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££_
/0P.
Y *•2^24.
j/ -/o S.
Number
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0
/JT
0
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7
0
0
0
0
a
0
J_J_
Total
4
1
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1
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X
0
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4/
Certain
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0.0
2-4
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111.
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24
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14
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0. 0
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2C.t
Total
*i.7
! • *
21.0
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Evaluation
0- Balloon
1-Astronomical
2-Aircraft
3-Ligflt Phenoia.
4-Birds
S-Clouds, Dust, etc
S-lnsuffic kilo.
7-Psranki|iol
t-Unknom
J-OUier
Total
Number
Certain
/ /
/
11-
1
1
0
i,
1
Jo
f
Doubtful
-7

0
.-?
2/
Total
n?.r
A
1
0
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1
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4
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PerCent
Certain
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JdL
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JL2-
24.1
ML
111
Doubtful
t.4
0.0
/ * , *
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O.o
O.o
0.0
0.0
e.a
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zr.3
Total
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2t7
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a.0
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t
O
O
0
rtain
3
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_J_
_ £ _
_ ^ _
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0
££.
Doubtful
3
/
O
-O
6
O
O
O
O
/
Total
/ /
4
2
0
0
I
0
2
7
/
Per Cent
Certain
/o.o
\Ht.o
\lTo
Ml
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3o.o
0.0
ill
Doubtful
(e 0
3.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
a."
0.0
3.3
/C7
Total
&.7
'3J
0-7
0.0
O.£>
3.1
/P-0
6-7
Sao
2.1
/oo.
Number
Certain
/3
1
-_L
0
0
/
/C
7
Doubtful
^?
3
40
/
a
0
0
0
0
//
Total
/<•
4
14
1
1
0
A*
1
/£
7
fo
Percent
Certain
MA
AL-
22J*.
I.I
0.0
0.0
M3.
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LIL
7-1
S1.f
Doubtful
i 3
3.3
4-1
0.0
U
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
IX.X
Total
'7-7
¥4
it./.
/ /
/ • /
<?.a
21. Z
/ - / •
/??
r.f
10*
224

Cases discussed

About this file

Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.