Documents / Analysis

Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14: Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects

United States Air Force, Air Technical Intelligence Center · 1955-05-05 · 309 pages · text from the file's own layer

Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.

  • p. 245 …P _/) - 7 P P 3 ?% ToUl •6 'r? g_ 0 70 '0 5L3fy Per Cent . Certain…
  • p. 256 …c Doubtful 2, g- 0 0 ?• /g >//r/ ?G//> Total f // / /0 0 & ? 6/ /P6 S…
  • p. 258 …9 0 $ / 'i a 2£ -L 43 r/?g(. Certain / / f2> 2. I? ?; •2V 1 7…
§
• •''".? j
nig/£ /?/77 £l//!LI//!ri
ra*. 0
Evaluation
0- Balloon
1-Astnnonicjl
2-Aircraft
3-Ligtil Phenom.
4-Birds
5-Clouds, Dust, etc
6-lnsuRic Into.
7-Pjyd»k>|ical
t- Unknown
mother
Total
.5" 5eeos/(LX a/t /.ess
Number
Certain
0
/ r
0
/
JT
0
/
a
Doubtful
/
/ /
2
0
0
0
0
0
0

.Total
i
a
/
0
(0
4o
Percent
Certain
00
37.i'
/to
00
0.0
J&
/A±'
00
2S
AO
Uo
Doubtful
/?.*'
00
0.0
00
0.0
0.0
3^0
Total
?•*
/so
0-0
2 S
/*.s
00
£•£
00
'0/1/ 0 a// .rtain
/
s
0
/
0
/*/
Doubtful
/
/
z
0
a
o
o
o
6.
Total
2
f
4
7.
0
0
/
p
&
0
20
PerCent
Certain
£-.0
/0~0
0.0
00
0.ft
£-0
0.0
0.0
74C
Doubtful
SI0
£0
/0.0
/0.0
0.0
rtain
IS
a
_JL
/a.
J
?0
Doubtful
/
/
4
o
/
0
0
o
t
/£~
Total
/
7
f
0
0
/
7
0
/0
/0
44'
Per Cent
Certain
00
LU
ILL
0.0
0.O
VLLL
00
JU.l
M
LL.1
Doubtful
i-A
21
$.1
0.0
0.0
2 2.
00
0.0
00
nt
3li
ToUl
7-2
20.0
0-0
0.0
2.2
/£/,
22.2
2.2.2
/00.
31-&0 Sef/&*
Number
Certain
3
_J2_
0
0
J4_
0
25-
Doubtful
X
l_
0
0
0
0
0
0
Total
3
£
0
0
0
2
0
• /
31
Percent
Certain
0.0
0(?
0.0
0.0
4f.i
00
iU
Doubtful
U
2.7
0.0
0.0
0-0
00
00
/
/?
0-4
?0.7
f-S
/U
75
/to.
'Tlffi-S /)/-rf Ey/)tri//}r/0/i/ 0F S}±L
?&#. £>4//?/>r/0/l/ 0S? S//Z//T//I/6 0£/}/V
O
O
0
O
3
Total
0
t
0
0
0
0
0
£ •
/
2$
PerCent
Certain
0.0
nt
0.ft
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Xo.g
4.z
Doubtful
•%
4.Z
/0O.
//- J0 Setf/ps
Number
Certain
a
0
0
/
-7
0
/•&'
Doubtfu
4
0
0
0
0
0
o
t
1
Total
0
%
0
/
0
0
7
,
J2
Percent
Certain
&£_
/f.2
# /
0.0
4.S
0.0
£0
3/i
0.0
IL*
Doubtful
00
/{•I
?•/
0.0
00
00
0.0
0.0
0.0
4&
3/t
Total
0.0
/t-Z
0-0
4$
0-0
00
?/•?
4&
/00,
3/- /SftotfJig - 5'/tf/sVoTet
Number
Certain
4-
-J-
0
c
/
-Mi
3
3J,
Doubtful
j "
4
o
o
0
a •
o
/f
Total
9
/s
2-
0
(,
J
f&
. 3
PerCent
Certain
7°0.0
3.6-
0.0
0.0
lo.S
21
&n
W.
Doubtful
u70
tf.o
0.0
0.0
0.0
• ? , / '
&/}
fl.0
Total
/e.?
7-P
3&
0-P
0.0
/O.ff

0
2
7
Total
4
0
0
/
0
/£
2,
31
Per Cent
Certain
i.i
5~.4
2L2n
0,0
0.0
?.#
00
sstA
0.0
ILL
Doubtful
00
0.0
H-0
00
/f.9
Total
2/.£>
/0?
/0.Z
ft.2.
0.0
0.0
2-2
0 0
?2t//eAr,o*r /V,T Sr*T*z>
Number
Certain
4-
//
///
p
7
• / ]
/
Doubtful
/
a
a
0
0
0
0
4-
(1
Total
&
/7
/7/
r?
7
/£g-
Per Cent
Certain
L£±
/££.
/ /
0.0
0.0
/O.I
/ • • /
7s.4
Doubtful
/ 4
S. 7
K 7
0,0
0.0
0.0
0-f?
0,0
0.0
ft
AU
Total
7.t
Wt,
2Y.L
7-4
0.0
0.0
/0./
/•4
72 2
f2.
'00.
22.1

Cases discussed

About this file

Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.