Documents / Analysis

Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14: Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects

United States Air Force, Air Technical Intelligence Center · 1955-05-05 · 309 pages · text from the file's own layer

Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.

/} /& t/flrye/Y
/4V 1-/6J/T /$/(/&J£rA/£ $1
Evaluation
0- Balloon
1-Astionomical
2-Aircratt
J - l i j M Ptienon.
4-Birds
5-Clowh, Dust, etc
6-limffic Mb.
7-Psvcfc>IO|ical
t - I M K M
MlDwr
Total
Number
Certain
If
f
/
0
f
2-
/$-
/
Doubtful
s
74
J
0
0
O
0
2-
3
9-7
Total
7
33
IX.
1
0
0
i
ir
f
i f
Percent
Certain
Mi
O.{\
0.0
Mi
M
17.6
/.x
Doubtful
f.9
/is-
JS
0,0
0.0
0.0
0,0
JLq
00
3.5
3/.?
Total
1.3
Ml
/.x
0.0
0.0
/0.t
Jf-1
i7.i
f-,7
100.
Number
Certain
31
JZ.
*?•
o
I
J2.
f
w
Doubtful
3if
/
0
O
76
Total
£3-
76
x.
z.
'7
(/
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Per Cent
Certain
JJ..7
47
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JLO
0,4
0,1
~Mat
U3
(32
Doubtful
7if
Jhl
J3.t
U
0!M-
0.0
0-0
0.0
0.S
31,1
Total
f.D
Jl.l
u
o.l
70
uM3
fkS
100.
(£>//? '•//VG s ( •
SvMl'/Gtfr 0IY FEASTS'/?
Number
:ertain
/ /
9
£
0
1
1
9
0
J£
3
Doubtful
f
13
1
1
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Total
if
if
I
2.
3
f
p
/ /
3
?0
Per Cent
Ccftflin
I2X
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00
I.I
I.I
/0.0
00
17,1
33
&.1
Doubtful
S.f
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I.I
I.I
7-1
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0.0
ao
0.0
Total
£/•'
£l.l
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0.0
'7,9
3,3
IPO.
Su/Vi-IQ/tT CM J r/>A/£-
Number
Certain
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—$-
$
/
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r
Doubtful
_JLL
/
J
0
/
0
0
7
Total
If-
3
3
D
1
0
1
0
* * • •
/ f
Percent
Certain
J&i
0.0
0.0
o.o
-C-3
0.0
/AS
63.Z
Doubtful
'0,5
f.3
/f.f
0.0
0.0
0.0
00
00
36.1
Total
/f.g
IS'Z
00
£3
00
S.3
0.0
&.3
/OS
/no.
Evaluation
O-Mloon
1-Ajtronomicjl
2-Aircraft
3-Li Jtit Phenoa.
4-Biids
5-Clouds, Dust, etc
6-lnsuftic. Info.
7-Psycnological
S-Unkno«n
9-Othei
,_ Total
Number
Certain
0
_JL
O\
_JL
0
0
Ooubtfu
/
O
0
/
0
O
0
a.
Total
H
1
0
Q
D
1
0
Q
I
0
7
Percent
Certain
JZL
D.0
0,0
0.0
0.0
Ml
nit
Ooubtfu
f.9
W.3
0.0
0-0
0.0
/H-3
CD
D.0
P.Q
ao
Total
srzt
14.3
AO
0,0
0.0
0.0
6.0
m0.0
m
^/?fC//r£ff r**y /foe*
Number
Certain
J±
L3£
X7
_X
/
0
& ,
3
22,
'//I
3/4-
Doubtful
*1
f?
52.
3
0
0
O
0>
0
6
Total
199
79
f
1
0
&3
?.O
V-73-
PetCoit
Certain
M.
XK
£77
0.3.
47
0.6
/?J
3.0
Doubtful
J7f
/I.O
0.6
0.0
0.0
ao
0.0
A3
33S
Total
f.f
/i-7
t-f
0.%
00
*7
0.6
/f.S
Jk3
100,
Number
:ertain
/
0
0
0
0
JL
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3S
Doubtful
a-
/ /
fi-
2-
0
/
0>
/{
Total
/s
ft
3
0
1
/S
0
S-3
Percent
Certain
Jl
7-r
jUt
-11
JO
M.
0.0
0.0
0.0
66.0
Doubtful
31
?J
AO
ao
ao/1
0.0
3X0
Total
n
3P.1
*7
OJ
0.0
'•f
?&
0.0
{00.
Hunter
Certain
_T
6
3
_ Z
/
_ ^
3
t>
J£L
0
Doubtfu
7
/ 7
3
.?
/
0
0
0
Total
12-
?-3
6
3
2~
J$~
3
7P
Per C a t
Certain
-11
uA3
Jilt
AO
0
Doubtful
/0.0
A3
/.If-
0.0
00
#3
Total
/7.I
u£7
£1
0,0
Ml
A?
XJ.4
43
/to.
Evaluation
D-8alloon
1-Astranomiul
2-Aircraft
3-Lijrit Pfienon.
4- Birds
5-Clouds, Dust, etc
S-lnsurfic. kite.
7-Psychological
B-Unkmon
M t h e r
Total
Nunber
Certain
/
_L
0
0
JL
__&
0
/0
Doubtful
/
0
1
0
C>
0
0?
z
Total
2-
JL
0
0
0
2
(?
4-
0
fJL
Percent
Certain
%3
U.7
ox
OP
o7o
-M
HI
Doubtfu
0.0
7.3
0.0
0.0
AO
0.0
0.0
0,0
O.o
/(.7
Total
/*.£
AO
0.0
a. 7
0-0
31,1
0,0
/oo.
Mr- SrAr^p
Number
Certain
m
Z91
252
J3
_ £
X35
31
U-7li
ieos
Doubtful
J04
J-01
'71
//
/P
0
3
P
J-l
Total
Iff
SO/
34
XI
it
z?s
3H-
/Of-
Per Cent
Certain
IA
IU.
n. 1
i.l
IA
M
/<)•<}
JA
\VL
Doubtful
1,7
f-%
0.3
0.5
(11
0.0
1°
X.I
Total
/3.S
W.3
11-1
\.b
1-0
41
16.1
l.S
Ul
lot.
Number
Certain Doubtful Total
Percent
Certain Doubtful Total
Number
Certain Doubtfu Total
Per Out
Certain Doubtful Total
210

Cases discussed

About this file

Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.