Documents / Analysis
Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.
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Evaluation
0- Balloon
i-Astronomical
2-Aircratt
3-Li{nt Phenom.
4-Birds
5-Clogds, Dust, e t c
6-lnsufiic Info.
7-Psychological
8-Unknown
9-Omei .
Total
ALL Y/rtRS
Number
Certain
0
a
O
/
j
ir
Doubtful
o
o
o
/
o
o
37
[Tola
9
0
I
1
1
it
3
/22
PerCent
Certain
_ £ £
23A.
00
0.0
01
U.
0.O
/4-.i
Doubtful
uo.o
OS
o. o
a-8
0o
a.o
3e.i
Total
/•I*
ty-7
?y
//$
Number
Certain
0
/
0
a.
o
o
o
o
/
Doubtful
0
0
a
o
o
6
O
o
o
0
0
Total
a
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o
o
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a
j
Per Cent
Certain
a.o
/&JL
.&£_
0.0
a.o
0.0
O.o
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Doubtful
OJ>
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0.0
Oo
O.O
O.O
OO
O.O
o.O
O.O
Total
OO
/ae.o
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.6
0.0
O.a
O.o
0.0
IOO.
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/
n/tis foe /?^L v^/9£s &#r&£>
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Number
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0
a
0
0
0
0
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a
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
&
Total
0
a
0
0
0
0
a
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Per Cent
Certain
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ill
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O.o
9.0.
O.O
00
0.0
lAx
0.0
Hi
Doubtful
0,0
42.1
0 0
a.o
0.0
0.0
00
0.0
a.o
0.0
431
Total
Off
US
ao
0.0
(10
0-0
f/S
00
Number
Certain
a
0
_ £ .
O
O
a_
O
0
0
O
Doubtful
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0
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0
0
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Total
a
4
j
a
"
o
o
o
/
o
a.
/
&
Doubtful
O
J
o
0
o
o
o
o
o
o
3
Total
tf
6'
0
a
0
0
•n
/
Percent
Certain
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Ate.
0.O
O.O
4>.O
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a.o
0.0
o.a
a.o
ao
0,0
a.o
0.0
33.3
Total
0,O
O.O
O.O
O.O
/ / • /
0.0
22*2,
/ / • /
(to
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Number
Certain
a
Jo
6
0
0
/
_^_
0
Doubtful
*
X
•0
1
O
O
7
0
0
/7
Total
• J
/ /
0
f
/
a1
/ /
Per Cent
Certain
fi.D
US
7.f
O.O
0.O
I.&
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0.0
7f.2
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Z/*
2.L
0.0
/•3
0.0
0.O
0.0
0.0
2/2
Total
/0 •*>
JO
A3
1.3
^ 3
2.6
/oo.
Number
Certaii Doubtful Total
PeiCait
Certain Doubtful Total
\
\
sr/?£•£a A/ar ,&
/ • /
OS
O.o
o.o
o.x
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37.1
Total
(f,7
11.7
31
/ • *
0.O
/fal-f
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Number
Certain
/A
/
0
0
q
4-0
Doubtful
a
0
o
0
o
o
o
o
o
7
ToUl
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!
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o
o
2_
4
f
PerCent
Certain
4.S
tu
1.4
0.0
0.0
4-t
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A/. 4
Doubtful
a.o
4-t
a.o
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
ao
a.o
0.0
4j
Total
0.0
0.0
7ft
vSJ-
J/f
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Number
Certain
_ ^
7
0
^
0
4-
33
Doubtful
3
1
l
1
0
0
0
0
Total
y
if
a1
2
a
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4
r
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Percent
Certain
3.9
I3.o
0.0
1$
00
lt.1
3.7
Doubtful
r.C
22 2
/4
/i
0.0
0.0
0.0
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Total
9.t
tf.?
W
0,0
/•9
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Number d
Certain
7
J.
6
n
13
Doubtful
O
44
X.
0
0
c
O
0
O
Total
7
f
Q
0
11
1
/4
4-
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Per Cent
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0.0
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0.0
Mi
a.i
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Doubtful
0.0
31.0
/•I
0,0
6.0
0.0
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0.0-
0.0
0.0
3S.1
Total
S4.6
u0-0
1-7
0.0
til
t/4
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Evaluation
0- Balloon
1-Astronomial
2-Aircraft
3-Lijht Phenom.
4-Birds
S-Clouds, Dust, t i c .
S-lnsuHic hlo.
7-Psycto logical
(•Unknown
mother
Total
/C?J'0
Number
Certain
g
/x
o
o
o
/•i-
<?
/ 7
J
Doubtful
3
7
o
o
o
0
o
I
/7
Total
/(
3a
/a
o
0
o
-ML
o
(7
<?
Per Cent
Certain
JLL
I2S
0.0
O.O
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3.1
Doubtful
3 i
Is
O.O
O.0
0.0
0.0
O.e
t.o
111-
Total
(IK
(f.i
fio
O.o
/££
0.0
223.
¥,/
Number
Certain
6.
C
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a
0
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/
3
S3
Doubtful
3
g
4
//
o
o
o
0
o
/j
Total
j '
10
1
0
/ X
1
J
70
Per Cent
Certain
t.L
0.0
171
JA
4-3-
Doubtful
4-3
//•4
S.I
1.4-
0.0
a.o
0.0
0.0
0.0
Z4.3
Tolal
to
-HL
/•</
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r*s3
/oi,
/fS~2
Number
Certain
4$
/of
^9
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4
0
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7
te*.
Doubtful
4o
—2£-
9
3
O
0
lit
Total
•U
If
'1
0
Hi
9
77
hi
Per Cent
Certain
7(,
It*
1-4-
2AL
o.C
0.0
/J.J'
/ • /
*-7
7/9
Doubtful
&4
/IC
1-4
o.y
0.0
0.0
a. 3
0.0
•/.c
2$.l
Totol
If.'
?.sf
/ /
(U
/7.x,
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Number
Certain Doubtful Total
PerCent
Certain Doubtful Total
"• ••.•«•
D
206 Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.