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Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14: Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects

United States Air Force, Air Technical Intelligence Center · 1955-05-05 · 309 pages · text from the file's own layer

Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.

Evaluation
O-Balloon
l-Astronomical
2-Aucraft
3-Light Phenoni.
4-Birds
5-Clouds, Dust, etc
6-lnsuffic Info.
7-Psvctolo|ial
eVUnknom
9-Other
Total
Evaluation
O-Balloon
1-Astranomical
2-Aircraft
3-Ltght Phenom.
4-Birds
5-Clouds, Dust, etc
6-lnsuffic. Info.
7-Psychological
8-Unknonn
9-0 tiler
Total
-T/>jg(. - £ • ;
?£?£>
ALL YESRS
Number
Certain
_ ^ >
•J"?
/O
0
J
'
73
/3/S
YFA/T'S
Per Cent
Certain
/ ,
IJLi.
1.3
o.d.
0.'
£L3j
UA
£o_
717
Doubtfu
4-2
/A J
3 7
a.9
0.2
0O
/ 4
AS. 3
Total
/£-£.
h »'
j 2
/ o
/££.
/1
/T(f
f4
/g0
s
\/ foe

>er Cent
Doubtful
O.O
o.o
O.O
o.o
0.0
O.O
o.o
o.o
o.o
o.o
O.o
Total
/fiC.O
O.O
0.O
O-O
-&°_eo
a.o
/DO.
/9 J-/
Certain
0
_J_\
0
O
0
o
/
0
/
//try
Number
Doubtful
O
3
o
0
O
, o
o
o
o
o
3
0/V
Total
0
c
0
o
o
/
£>
,2
;
'ft
Number
Certain
1
/
0
0
;/
JL
So
Doubtful
0
0
o
0
o
0
0
c?
o
Total
/
1
c
o
//
lo
fa.
Percent
Certain
&£-.
.e
_0O\
0.O
0.0
/o o
0.0
fo.0
2*60.
/i
Certain
JdL
J0
£$-
O.0
&£-
A2.L
3.S
7.7
9Lx
Doubtful
0.0
Ao.o
O.o
0.O
o.o
o.o
@ &
& &
0.0
0.O
3o.o
PerCent
Doubtful
e>.o
U
0 O
o.o
o.o
o.o
O.O
O.O
o.o
o.o
u
Total
£>o
io.o
O.o
O.o
0.0
/0o
O.o
J0.O
/OO
/OO.
S~/6
Total
3-t
4oi
/.a
/ • *
0.O
o.o
3/./
3.9
1.7
/OO.
'&0t >K£
/94-t
Number
Certain
0
0
0
0
o
3
o
a
Doubtful
O
7
o
O
o
0
o
0
O
7
Total
0
/3
0
6
e>
0
-0
o
j
o
/£
Per Cent
Certain
o.t
O,t
0.O
•s.o
O.O
o.o
0.O
/f.1
0.O
Doubtful
O.O
43,9
0 O
a.o
OO
o.o
o.o
O.o
0.0
0.O
4i.$
Total
O.O
gu
0.0
J.O
0 o
O.O
o.o
0.0
/in
0.0
/
/? J~A
Number
Certain
0
36,
So
£>
/
t
0
3
#0
//r/
Doubtful
0
/
6
0
/
0
0
/s
Total
3
/A
e
I
ci
(
if
Per Cent
Certain
i>.0
fen
/O.i
Oo
o.o
/o
S.2
p o
A24
j . l
A
Doubtful
11
J.o
/•o
o.o
/•O
O.O
ff.O
/S.4
/?LL
'0r
Total
4 1
41,1
o.o
/•o
/o
/0
0.0
fi-o
e.o
*.
/ / /
f't
*}•?
•erCent
Doubtful
3-4
4.o
7-4.
O.O
O.O
OO
0.0
0.0
0.0
/ • *
/£•'
Total
/Of
/9-r
O.o
\-&£-
O.O
2J.1
O.O
/It
4o
/OO.
f?j~/
Number
Certain
/
0
0
/
3
Doubtful
£
4
z
0
o
£?
o
o
/7
jrotaTJ
4'
14
10
1
p
/Z
1
AC
3
74-
Certain
21
Si
/ • /
0.O
0.0
/(•A.
/ 4
&-. 1
4-1
77-0
aer Cent
Doubtful
/o.s
J'4
l
Total
93
/£4-
/£°
A4
s
4
/o
/4A
40
7J4
Certain
1-A
/Ll
0.7
o./
Ao
It I
3-i'
1/-9
>er Cent
Doubtful
fA
(2,f
/•A
0.4
o£
o.o
0.4
0.0
/ • ?
All
Total
/A 6
2 j i
J/X
,f-A
/•I
/J./
/•4
/tz
^4
(00.
Number
Certain Doubtful Total
t
Certain
'er Cent
Doubtful Total
203

Cases discussed

About this file

Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.