Documents / Analysis

Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14: Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects

United States Air Force, Air Technical Intelligence Center · 1955-05-05 · 309 pages · text from the file's own layer

Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.

Evaluation
0- Balloon
1-Astronomical
2-Airctaft
3-Lijtit Phenom.
4-B.rds
S-Clouds, Dust, etc
6-lnsuffic Info.
7-Psjcrolotical
t-Unkimm
Mttlef
Total
Certain
89
4/
+0
4
//
79
/s
iZ?S
Au
Numbtr
Doubtful
SI
35
/q
3
o
i0
t
o
7
IZO
Total
in
7^
if 9
7
0
10
IB
'A
7?
1Q
4/t>
Ys»f
Certain
J/4
9-9
7-0
It
fio
-&£
*?/,
/4o
J.I
HA
V
rs
'erCent
Doubtful
/J.3
7.4
4.1,
0.7
0,0
/4
o.o
O.X
0.0
/•7
zf,S
?££O
Total
33-1
I7.X
J^L
0o
A 4
4-z
ZS
/9 o
48
/oo.
s
Number
Certain
O
0
o
o
0
o
0
0
o
o
0
Doubtful
0
A
o
o
o
a
a
o
e>
a
3,
Total
0
X
0
0
0
0
0
o
d
0
p.
41
Certain
fi.0
O,o
oo
o,o
0,0
o.o
J2J2.
O.O
O.O
O.9
>er Cent
Doubtful
0.0j
/OO.O
O.O
0,0
o.o
Oo
o.o
O.O
o.o
O.O
/O0.O
1
Total
O.O
/eo.»
o.o
o.o
o.o
o.o
o.o
O.o
O.O
0.O
/oo.
srsr/oa//?*.
O
O
0
O
O
O
0
O
A
a
Total
s
0
0
0
0
.2.
3
J2.
fo Per Cent
Certain
3LA-
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
9,-t
/3(»
JJ.
0.0
4o1
Doubtful
O.O
O.O
O.O
O.O
O. O
O.O
O.O
O.O
91
1-1
Total
3i4
JZ.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
9./
/3 C
?•/
9-1
/oo.
/ f*r/
Number
Certain
-4.
/0
0
0
j -
0
n
Doubtful
' O
3
/
0
. 0
0
a
0
0
0
Total
Y
S
*.
0
Q
0
1
0
0
/7
Per Cent
Certain
A3J
/ / • !
f.4
O.o
a.O
j - $
0.0
0.0
7U
Doubtful
O.O
I7M
S.9
0.0
GO
0,0
04
0.0
00
Total
Z94
//£_
0.0
0,0
0.0
-£$.
0.0
#4
0. O
/9i~2
Number
Certain
4-
0
_ ^
7
/A
Doubtful
J~O
7 7
0
C
e>
/
0
4
Total
/nIfO
7
0
JO
11
$
TO
1U
337
PerCent
Certain
2/1
(••?
i.o
1.2
0.0
2.1
SoS
3.(>
7O.6,
Doubtful
/4.i
£3
f.o
01
0.0
/ • /
0.0
0.3
0.0
/•4
Jo,i
41
/oo.
Number
Certain Doubtfu Total
PnCent
Certain Doubtful Total
/?tl ir/0, 1/ £/6>,vr/A /C /9u. f i /If
_ .
Evaluation
0-Balloon
1-Astronomical
2-Aitcratt
3-LigM Ptienoni.
4-Birds
S-Clouds, Dust, etc
t-lnsuffic Info.
7-Psycholo|ical
B-UnknoMi
9-Other
Total
Certain
49

0
0
Total
/
a
0
0
0
0
c0
1
Per Cant
Certain
a#
0~.o
0.0
fio
O.O
0.O
O.e
0.0
SO*
I0&I)
Doubtful
0.0
O.O
O.O
O.o
_oo_
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Total
Jle.p
0,0
0.0
O.o
0.0
Oo
O(?
0.0
SO. I)
/0O
/
O
0
O
O
J
n
Total
10
12
7
0
0
0
1
0
I
I
Certain
J7,6
tu
3.4-
0,0
ftp
0.0
34
tPO
JA
0.0
PerCent
Doubtful
J4-I
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
/o,3
44.1
Total
41.3
09
O.O
0,O
3.4
O.Q
3,4
//?•}
/oo.
Number
Certain
/
&
O
0
/
0
J
/
'H
Doubtfu
4
4'
0.
O
O
O
O
a
a
If
Total
5
/3
a
0
0
0
1
0
5
/
Certain
4,0
ix.o
0.0
0.0
0/7
O.O
4.O
0£>
/Zo
4,o
Sl.o
3er Cent
Doubtful
/I.o
lo.o
to
0.0
0 O
0,0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0,0
44.0
Total
JO. 6
J'ZO
to
0.0
0.0
OJ>.
4,O
O.O
4,O
/OO,
Evaluation
0-Balloon
1- Astronomical
2-Airuaft
3-Lijtit Phenorn.
4-Birds
S-Clouds, Dust, etc
S-lnwftic Into.
7-Ptycnok>|ical
t-Unknonn
t-Otlwi
Total
Nunber
Certain
sT
/
O
O
/
^>
/4
/
Doubtful
/
O
O
O
O
O
£>
O
O
O
1
Total
(,
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
Per Cent
Certain
JU
3.4-
Jo.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
34
0.0
34
Doubtful
34
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
34
Total
1o.£
JA
Ao.l
0.0
0.0
0.0
J4
0.0
tn
34
/oo.
Nunber
Certain
J
O
/
O
O
O
O
O
O
H-
Doubtful

/
O
O
O
O
O
O
O
O
I
Total
/
/
*
0
0
0
0
0
0
Per Cent
Certain
JOO
0.O
Xi.o
0.o
O.o
0.0
0.0
O.o
4o.o
O.o
80.0
Doubtful
O.O
Jo.o
O.O
O.O
O.O
O.fi
00
O.O
O.O
AO.O
Total
<&£.
XO.O
1'.9
O.p
O.O
O.o
O.O
f.o
4o.o
O.Q
/oo.
Number
Certain
IS
_ 1
M
0
cT
- T
4-
Doubtful
2.3
J
#0
S
I
A
0
a
1
Total
ire
11
3?
1
1
7
S
1
11
t
Per Cent
Certain
J0.I
xs
7.3
0.0
2.1
3.o
3.o
/A
/?.1
3.O
\ML
Doubtful
/4-o
4.1
/J.A
/t
o.&
/.z
0.0
0.0
0.0
o.b
3f.f
Total
/o,4
/9,r
/,f
M
42
So
h
mMr
/CO.
Kumber
Certain Doubtful Total
PerCent
Certain Doubtful Total
201

Cases discussed

About this file

Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.