Documents / Analysis

Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14: Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects

United States Air Force, Air Technical Intelligence Center · 1955-05-05 · 309 pages · text from the file's own layer

Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.

  • p. 190 …S £'0/? 'S t r/0fl/ Of- roe M0/ur*/i/as EvaMnon 0-BIIIOM l…
4/22. ^£I/AL
#
Evaluation
0- Balloon
1-Astrwomial
2-Aircrjft
3-Light Piwnom.
4-Birds '
S-Clouds, Dust, etc
6-lnwlfic Into.
7-PsyctolO|ical
S-Untaoim
9-Otner
Total
Evaluation
O-Balloon
I-Astronoaical
2-Aircnfl
3-Lijhl Phenon.
4-Birdj
5-Clouds, Dust, etc
S-lruuffic Info.
'-Psycholofical
8-UnknoMi
dottier
Total
Evaluation
O-Balloon
1-Astronomical
2-Aircraft
3-Ught Ptienon.
4-Birds
S-Clouds, Dust, etc
6-lnsuffic Info.
7-PsycholOKicaJ
D-Unknoin
9-0 tiler
Total
Ei i t
Number
Certain
/
2
2
0
0
0
/
0
/j
r
Doubtful
/
_ 0
0
&
0
0
0
0
. 0
2,
Total
2.
t
0
0
0
/
0
/
/0
Certain
20,0
•700
0,0
0-0
0,0
/0.0
0.0
/&. &
me
Percent
Doubtful
/00
0.0
00
0.J
J3J2\
20.0
Total
30.0
/2J2.
00
•£>
/0.0
/pa
A2/f
/
/7
Doubtfu
/
/
0
0
0
0
/U£
F
Certain
/ / /
0.0
22-2
rt.0
0.0
00
0.0
00
aa
65.C
erCent
Doubtful
0.0
22.Z
do
0.0
JAJ.
0C?
0-0
/ / • /
Total
/LL
0,0
4/4
0.0
0,0
/ / • /
(70
0.0
22.2
/ / • /
/oa
.1/
Percent
Certain
/
0.0
Total
23.7
/ • /
21.3
£i3
0-0
0>0
2/.
/00.
Percent
Certain
2SO
/*.J
0.0
0.0
0O
0.0
0.O
2S0
0.0
75.0
Doubtful
r^r*
00
00
00
0.0\
2S.0
ao
00
0.0
0.0
Total
/2-B
0,0
00
00
0.O
?9-0
\£JZ
/pp.
y0
/ • 9f*
Number
Certain
2
0
7
0
0
S
/
2V
Doubtful
0
0
2.
0
0
0
0
0
0
Z
Total
7
0
9
0
/
0
/
?
26
* /V
Percent
Certain
77
rt.0
rt.0
3.*
0.0
//.e
3tf/
Percent
Doubtful
/•(?
6.2-
s./
O-0
00
/ 6
0.0
3/. 2
Total
/#"/
32.
2/g
3/
&£.
4.7
42
2^0
3/
/00.
Z?S d£ rt S£/l
Number
Certain
I
ft
/
0
0
2
^
0
//
Ooutitfu
/
/
ft
0
A
Total
J *
/
0
0
0
2,
0
0
/7
Certain
/ / ^
J2ZL
S.f
(?.0
0.0
0.0
3S.3
0.0
(.4.7
Per Cent
Doubtful
$.7
23. f
0.0
0-0
00
0-0
ao
a?
00
Total
(7.7
*f*
00
//.g
&£-
3S.3
0-0
/O0.
185

Cases discussed

About this file

Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.