Documents / Analysis
Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.
“Roe”1 page
fir, I 7 *t/7 f/fLi// *rH'7 s , /ft/ fr/r? A/ rf Evaluation O-Balloon l-Astronomical 2-Aircrafl 3-LijM Phenom. 4-Birds 5-Clouds. Dust, e t c 6-lnsuflic ton. 7-PsrcholopcJl S-Untamn 9-Other Total J 0 /3 Doubtful 0 a 0 a 9 Total I a 0 0 0 0 0 22 Percent Certain ?•/ //Y £J2. 0-0 00 3/g 00 13 /m /7/0/2/C- Number Certain /_ 0 /2. / _x 3$ Doubtful 2, 0 Total 3 / / 0 0 / f 0 4Z PerCent Certain 2\4 /4s 00 *.4 *JL /90 00 Ma Doubtful 4,% 00 0.0 0.0 0,0 tf-0 00 C?-0 0-0 ?•£ Total 72 U.2. 00 24 2?L /f.0 0.0 /0p Evaluation D-Balloon l-Astronomical 2-Aircraft 3-Lijht Prienom. 4-Birds 5-Clouds, Dust, etc 6-lnsuffic Into. 7-PsycholOjiul 8-UnknoMi 9-OtJier Total Number Certain /0 0 0 0 6 Doubtfu ^ ^ / V 0 0 0 0 0 Total J Z2. / / (P 0 0 3& PerCent Certain 27.g 0* 0.0 0.0 0.0 ao 77.1 Doubtfu 00 r.l, / / • / ?•$ 1$ 00 0.0 0.0 0.0 00 22.1 Tobl d 4 2-f f.o tt-7 /(t-7 00 /O0- Number Certain 3 4/ 0 /2, 2, /J 2, V2> Doubtful 0 2, y 0 ^ , 0 a 3 ToW C ft 0 2, /? 2 PerCent Certain in. L7 f.$ 0.0 0.0 0.0 tu. 2fi y.v fez Doubtful 00 44 2.2 0.0 0, 7.(1 Percent Certain /2.7 /2.7 /2-7 as &£. I * $10. Doubtful £.2, 33 7/ 0,0 00 0,0 0>-f 0f> 0 0 /7-0 Total ft? #•0 Iff t-V t0 f>f 17? f-V 7$ /OP. NuabH Certain /0 2. 0 yp 2L 2, t>7 Doubttu g a 0 / /9 Total (7 z 0 0 / 2Z 3 PerCent Certain f t 70 //.£• 2-3 AQ- 00 22J 2£.L 2? 77.9 Doubtful ?3 S.f 0,0 00 0.0 00 00 00 22./ Total 9.3 /9-7 23 0.0 0(7 -22-/ /.Z /pe>. . Evaluation O-Balloon 1-Astronomical 2-Airaaft 3-Lijht Ptienon. (-Birds S - C I D H S , Dust, etc 6-lnsurfic Into. 7-Pjvcl«>lo|ical rlllWnOMI 9-Othtt Total Number Certain /0 0 0 '/ Doubtfu 0 ^2. 0 0 ^_ Total 0 /3 0 0 0 9 ' / 1/ 7 43 PerCenl Certain 0.0 23.2 23 0.0 0.12 20? (40- 2M. Doubtfu 00 2-3 0.O 0-0 00 0.0 0.0 ao 2-3 //•L Total 0O j£&. 0.O 0O no 7-3 //t-3 tm /2> rz>4£4 Number Certain s 0 /a / g 24 Doubtful y 0 0 /•? / / Total s $ / 0 0 / ft 3• o 180
Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.