Documents / Analysis
Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.
/)99 Enluation 0- Balloon 1-Astronomical 2-Aircraft 3-Light Phenom. 4-Birds S-Clouds, Dust, etc 6-lnsufiic Info. 7-Psrcho logical S-Unkmmn 9-0 the. Total Number Certain / 0 0 0 0 0 // Doubtful 0 0 Total 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 o o c> Per Cent Certain O'O 0.1 0.1 to -£& 0.0 JLS. JM Ooubtlul o.o 54,6 o.O IP 0.0 0.0 00 OJ Total fi.L 75T.0 29,0 0.0 Oo 04 00 (.0 OJ 1(0. //-30 Sjrtf/v&j Number >rt»n a a / a 7 Doubtful / 0 d 0 0 0 a o0 3 Total / z. J- 0 0 0 I 0 p /a Per Cent Certain 0.0 30A JA M /(3.0 Od /a.o oo TOD Doubtful J0d_ 0.0 2LL O-o 0J 0.1 OP 0.D 0.0 at LTotal /t.o 2V.0 ft.O 0.0 o.t 0.0 /flf, 0 0 /to to /ot. y/-j0 SF^OA'P; Number Certain 0 ^ o a 2 ' > 7 Doubtful J 0 n d 0 0 o o 6 7 Total / 2 0 0 0 o p 3 1 9 Percent Certain Ml ao P.D 0.0 to 0.0 115 77.2 Doubtful O-O 0.0 - oj o.o 00 0.0 (?-0 0-0 0.0 Total / / / i.O 0J f,0 0.0 O.O n'J /tt. Evaluation O-Balloon 1-Astronomical 2-Aircraft 3-Light Phenom. 4-Birds 5-Clouds, Oust, etc 6-lnsuffic Info. 7-Psychological 8-UnknoM 3-Other Total Evaluation O-Balloon 1-Astronomical 2-Aircraft 3-Lighl Phenom. 4-Birds S-Clouds, Dust, etc S-lnsutfic Info. 7-Psychological 8-Unknonn 9-Ottier Total 6/ S£-covp5- S'/^/jycrfs- Number Certain 0 0.0 0,0 13 n /so. Number :ertain 0 0 o o 8 Doubtful 0 0 0 0 o 0 0 1 Total 3 3 0 0 o 0 f p 2 0 r PerCent Certain 333 3Z2 J± 0.0 0.0 ILL 0.0 if Doubtful 0.0 l/.f 0.0 o.o o.o A0 0.0 00 0.0 o.o // / Total 33.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 / / / 0.0 22.1 0.0 /00. Number Certain £^ 0 ~^\ _^£_ -JL Doubtfu 3 O O o ft a 8 Total # • /?- t 0 0 PerCent Certain tc.7 J0 04 0.0 0.0 O.Q 00 Total o.o qO.Q 20.0 6.0 00 00 04 00 40.0 0-0 m. //-30? S^^^MCJ Number Certain a £ a o o / • r Doubtful ^ 0 0 o / a o 0 o 1 Total 0 2. Z P / 0 0 0 0 e, PerCent Certain ~w 221 0.0 Jl 0-0 t.o 0.0 Doubtful Off 0.0 0.0 o.o /t-7 00 0JO t.o o-o 0,0 16-7 Total 0.0 33,3 o.o /il OJ U /(•I 9-9 /to. Number Certain 0 •2 0 a 0 0 i Doubtfu o /£ o 0 O a 0 0 0 Total 0 1 H D 0 0 0 0 /> J- Per Cent Certain OJ? 0.0 0.P 0.0 00 00 JJL 00 0.0 Doubtful 0.O •70-0 30. i 0.0 o& 0.0 0,0 0.0 0.0 fan Total 0.0 QH.O 9,00 OO O-o 0.0 0.0 00 0.0 t.o III- Evaluation O-Balloon 1-Astronomical 2-Aircraft 3-Lighl Phenom. 4-Birds S-Clouds, Dust, etc 6-lnsuffic Into. 7-Psydnlogical S-UnknoM W t h e t Total 6/ -SE-CMCS - S'A/.-Avrtrs Number Ceitain O -JL a o 0 / g A. Doubtful / / / / O 0 0 0 0 5 Total 3 / if 1 0 0 I / P j_ J./ PerCent Certain ?•'? O.O •00 0.9 •Off o.o 1%/ 7CA Doubtful f.i U 1-? 0.0 o.O 0.6 0.0 0.0 Total mHI 11.\ H-l on 00 #•? n w n i/ii. 6 ~3 0 /ty/Af&f'£s Number ;ertam •3 -A. 0 0 / 0 3 Doubtful a / 3 0 0 0 o 0 0 0 ¥ Total X 5~ 0 & 0 / 0 If r Percent Certain /o.i t£l o.o 0.0 6.0 JL2. 0.0 2/.I ftp 7H Doubtful o.o s-i / 33. f csr 7-2 4 0 OO 111 I? t-l /(P. 163
Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.