Documents / Analysis

Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14: Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects

United States Air Force, Air Technical Intelligence Center · 1955-05-05 · 309 pages · text from the file's own layer

Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.

Evaluation
O-Balloon
1-Astronomical
2-Aircrafl
3-Light Phenom.
4-Bnds
5-Clouds. Oust, e t c
6-lnurtic Info.
7-Psvcholotal
S-Unknowi
S-Ottiet
Total
Evaluation
O-Balloon
1-Astmomical
2-Aircraft
3-Lijht Ptimm.
4- Birds
5-Clouds, Oust, etc
6-lnsuffic Info.
7-Psycholojical
S-Unkiwm
9-OBIM
Total
,
Certain
/
/0
0
0
0
JL
/
0
/ f
Number
doubtful
0
T
0
fi
0
p
0
0
0
0
5~
4?z
Total
)
/S
/
p
0
0>
2_
0
/
0
Z0
'PS1 -
Number
Certain
o
P
3
73
3 /
Doubtfu
/
0
P
0
0
0
0
0
3
-
ToUl
s~
p
p
0
3
/3»
5~
30
Certain
5''0
S0.O
0.0
0.0
0.0
{00
0.0
S0
-S~7
>
/.ess
PerCent
Doubtful
0.0
AS.0
0.0
0.0
0-0
0.0
0.P
0.0
0-0
Total
s.o
7S.0
s:o
0.0
0.0
00
0.0
0.0
/00.
nrs
Per Cent _ j
Certain
/ / • /
/ / . /
(LL
o.o
P.O
o.o
1-3
ML
36./
U.I
Doubtfu
ao
o.o
0.0
00
0.0
0.0
0.0
f-3
J3.?
ToUl
/3?
/ / • /
/?•?
00
0.0
13
3£./
/00.
j
6~-/0
Number
;ertam
P
3
0
0
0
a
0
o
0
Doubtful
0
Z-
0
0
0
o
0
p
0
p
Total
0
_5
3
P
0
P
0
P
P
CO/v
Certain
0.0
ff.0
0-0
o.o
fit
0.0
0.0
0-C
U7
a
Per Cent
Doubtful
0.0
37.3
0.0
0.0
00
0.0
0.0
0.0
00
0.0
33.3
Total
fi.t
0.0
0./}
00
at
P0
0.0
0.0
/00.
6-3P /ty/A/t/rtt
Number
Certain
f
3
0
0
__^
/
/3
1
3Z.
Doubtful
2-
j
0
0>
0
0
0
P
Z.
7
ToUl
/ /
p
p
0
3
/
/3
3
31
PerCent
Certain
J31
_Z2
00
o.o
0 0
$21
Doubtful
A'
7,7
0.0
0.0
0,0
0.0
AO
0.0
r./
77.9
ToUl
ZU
/St
0.0
0.0
7.7
U
31.3
7,7
/00,
S/6/? e /•WSJ
77-3,0 S^LOHtrS
Number
Certain
o>0
/
0
_L
0
Doubtful
/
/
O-
0
0"
0
0
P
P
0
4-
ToUl
/
7
$
£)
0>
00
/
P
/
0
/0
30
Number
Certain
3
j_
0
0
o?
&
/
o>
z
Doubtful
0
1
P
P
P
0
0
0>
0
*
J
ToUl
3
3
J-
0
0
0
/
0
2-
//
F
Certain
3ZJL
2£A
J2A
00
0.0
.11
JO,
7S0
erCent
Doubtful
0.Z
00
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
AO
O.0
250
ToUl
6z
3ZS
0.0
00
0.0
6-2
0.P
0.0
700.
s
PerCent
Certain
Z7.3
/3.X
0.0
ao
0.0
0.0
f.7
/zz
o.o
Z2/7L
Doubtful
0.0
If.Z
0.0
0.0
P.O
00
0.0
0.0
Z7,3
Total
2-7.1
7?,'•?
0-0
0.O
0-0
f.7
0.0
/f.7
0.0
/m
0/ c
n-60 S
Number
Certain
l_
0
0
-A0
0
0
3
/
7
Doubtful
0
p
0
£)
0
A-
ToUl
/
,2-
Z
0
P
0
P
/
?
£TCo/>
Percent
Certain
ML
ZZ.2
J2A
A0
0.0
0.0
0.0
33$.
M-L A
77.?
Doubtful
0J
ft.2
O.P
O.D
00
0.0
00

0}
_£_
67
Doubtfu
/
7
3
0
P>
0
0
0
0?
0'
//
Total
s~
ft
p
0
0
76
0
?•
7?
Certain
X3.A
/$./
0.0
P.O
0.0
2*.2
0.0
's?.S
U7
PerCent
Doubtful
7.7/
7-7
4-2
O.P
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
00
/S-.3
Total
? ? • ?
2-2.1
0,0
0.0
OP
Z2.2
0.6
/ZS
7-.?
/0a
T#4t-£ 7)9s £t//)£.&/}r/0/i/ 0f 0A//r &atfr/A/6 s £V 00/>/97~/0/t/ 07r S/6//r//i/G
Evaluation
O-Balloon
1-Astrtmomical
2-Aircraft
3-Lijtit Pbenom.
4-Bnds
5-Clouds, Dust, etc
6-lnsuffic Into.
7-Psycholojical
S-UnknoMi
9-Other
Total
Evaluation
O-Balloon
1-Astronomical
2-Aircraft
3-Light Phenoa.
4-Birrb
5-Clouds, Dust, etc
6-lnsutfic kilo.
I' Psycho w|i tM
S M M U X M I
s-omt.
Total
/
Number
Certain
P
/
£>
0
P
P
10
//-
0
/3
Doubtfu
0
Z
0
0
0)
0
0
er.0*
ToUl
0
J0
/
P
£
0
0
/s~
05 —
Number
Certain
Z-
J_
P
• o
0
Z
/f
Doubtful
/
r
/?
0
i
P
r
ToUl
?
/
/
P>
__/_
/
/£>
0-3
PerCent
Certain
0.0
F3.3
JLL
0.0\
0.0
P.C
0.C
2J.7
0.0
&7
Doubtfu
0.0
/3.3
0.0
0.0
CO
0.0
0.p
0.0
00
0.0
/ 3.3
ToUl
0.0
£64
6?
P.O
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
•?(?
0,0
700,
F
Certain
JLZ
0.0
/3.C
00
00
0.0
4.3
00
U-3S
S.7
7-13
'erCent
Doubtful
U-.3
U.I
#•?
0.0
0.o
0.0
4-J
0.0
00
P. 7
Total
/3-D
'73
0.0
0.0
J/--3
4.3
f.7
Number
Certain
P
3
/
0)
0
0
-ft
2
6
Doubtful
0
O
0
0
P>
0
Total
0
3
/
0
0?
0
0
2-
6
PerCent
Certain
ao
$££.
ao
0.0
£0_
00
00
/00.O
Doubtful
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
00
0.0
0-0
0.0
00
0-0
ToUl
A0
50-0
op
0.0
0.0
a.O
o.o
313
0.0
Number
;ertain
2-
j l
/
P
0
ZZJ
Doubtful
0
/
4-
0
0>
o
Total
/
P
0
P
3
Z3
Certaiiv
17
0.0
ao
t*j
Ul
/3.0
7f3
'erCent
Doubtful
O,0
4--1
P.P
PO
0O
O.O
o.o
0-0
0.0
7-/.7
ToUl
?•?
U-l
0>.O
0.0
J&JL
0.0
1(1
/3.0
/00.
t
Certain
0
3
3
d
o
0
0
_z0
//~3/.
Number
Doubtful
0
P
P>
0
/0
0
0
0
0
/
ToUl
0
3
3
0
/
0)
c>
0
/
0
7
Certain
04
37*5
J7.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0-0
0-0
/zs
0.0
37S
Percent
Doubtful
0,0
do
0.0
0.0
/ZS
0,0
0.0
0.0
00
0.0
Total
0.6
17.S
0.p
/2-S
0.0
0.0
0.0
7ZS
0-0
Number
:ertain
/
/
-L
0>
0
JZ_
0
2_
P>
7
Doubtful
0
/
P
0
0>
0
P
P
P
/
ToUl
/
/
0
0
O
£_
0
0
ft
Certain
'ZS
J2S
0.0
00
O-O
xr.o
0.0
0-0
67S
>er Cent
Doubtful
0.0
/zs
.0.0
0.0
J£
0.0
00
0.0
00
0.0
os
ToUl
2S-.C
'2.S
0.0
0.0
0.0
•ao
O.D
/0O.
?/~£c
Number
Certain
0
0
3
0
0
P
0
P
/?
0
3"
Doubtfu
0
/
/
0
0>
0
£>
0
0
0
Total
0
/
4
P
P
0
0
0>
0
0
s
-CO/VA
Certain
0,P
0.0
0.0
ft-P
O-P
0.0
P.O
o.o
60'0
s
PerCent
Doubtful
0.0
20.0
20.0
P.P
O.P
0.0
0.0.
0.P
ap
0£>
UP.O
Total
0-P
MO
?/>-0
0.0
0.0
O.D
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
/PP.
/l7or Sr-Arf-j?
Number
Certain
7
3-
/
0
70
1
/3
3
3Z
Doubtful
ft
0
0
£)
p
p
0
•<?
72-
Total
4
0
p
fp
/
UL.
3
#•?
F
Certain
7.Z
£.7
it./
2.0
0.0
0.0
2.0
3-6 $~
0/
7S7S-
'erCent
Doubtful
u,/
7£.3
4-./
0-0
o.O
0.0
O.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
US
Total
{%3_
Z2.1,
7-0
00
OJ)
204
X6
1(.S
6./
700
159

Cases discussed

About this file

Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.