Documents / Analysis
Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.
“Otis”1 page
! E n i u t i o n :0- Balloon I-Astronomical 2-AircraCt 3-L.|til Pnenon. 4-Birib S-Cloods, Dust etc •Vlnsuffic kilo. 7-Psyctaiojical t-UnUnai K)t»e> Total TOTAL — Certain 24? 30 /J- 3 2l/0 -31. rr Numbet Doubtful: Tout /32 2£J\ /? JJL 33? ¥7? 4-74 lf-T 22 ?\ /o> f 246 44- # • & /£? Z/?9 Per Ceril Certain UL 12.1 JdL 0.5 AL to. 9 1,6 tJl JL1 72.1 Doublhil £.0 9.3 rs0.1 OS 0.3 Total 2J.1 ZI.6 2.3- 1.0 o.l &0\/p.9 &»\ Z.0 1.1 !M '?,7 Zff /OO. Nunber :ertain 5-4 JtL £ X 112=. /£ 35S Doubtful Sf 7 2 3 0 2. / /£2 Total /cf 12* /0 ft? f/2 '7 7&>WA/£ W/f/TS Per Cent Certain IS 3JL A? v 1 0 ^~~ 4L2.2 OJL J.I 0.7 H.I Doubtful 2.0 1.6 2.0 0.2 hi Al 0.0 O.I 0.0 0,) 7.V Total is- S:6 3.f C.U- 0.3 0.2 2-2. OS sr-l 0.1 X3.S AterAiu/i Nuabet >rt»n -£L _ 2 3 3 3f 76 21/ Doubtful 2.1 f O / O Total /s /?7 7 f 3? 7 76- tf J g 7 Pet Cent Certain 2S 03 3.9 ~oJ 0.1 0-1 1.7 O.U- 3S u 13.1 Doubtful 1.3 24 02 o-f0.0 O.0 0.1 0.0 0-2 Iks' Total 3,1 0,7 6.3 0.3 0.2 O.I A7 OS 3S 0.3 17.7 C OU>R #or^ ^r^rtrx? Nunber Certain 1L -JL / 62- 02 26 Z24 Doubtful /£ £> / 0 (2 Total U-0 2P V? 0 r / 62 3t Percent Certain I.I OS A3 O.0 A 2 0.1 2.1 0.3 2,1 1.2 10.1 Doubtful 0.7 A 7 aoO.I 0-0 o.a0.0 0.0 0.2. 2,1 Tot* J.V of 2.0 0.0 0.3 01 03 2.? /.if 12.3 Evaluation O-Biloon 1-Astnaoucal 2-Airciaft 3-Li(ht Pixnot. 4-Binb S-Clowls, Dust etc 6-lnjufIic fcfo. ?-PjydBtopal B-Unknon «t)»f Total Certain /s~ -J£. LL /o I Numtw Ooubtfull Total 22 / _ £ _ 2S- «c /r 2- / / i £?\/7 ^3- tZZl 7 •4? J6 fg\02) Pet Cent Certain 0.7 1.1 / . / CI ~c$ C2- 2.2 0.4 7.0 Doutttu DS I.I 1.0 0-0 0.0 ^~o7 0.0 Total f.Z 2.5 /.? OS 0.2 OM 0.1 0.3 2.2 0.7 IT/o.l /fez? Ptf UUlMVA /f£-£7 Numbn Certain A Z / O 0 IH 3 33>- 7 '35- Ooubtful ? /* 7- / 0 s> 2- Total 22 5 > J6 / rt3 33 r Pet Coil Certain uJZi 1.0 O.f 0.0 0.O 0.? 0.1 63 6.1 Doubtful 0.U 0>.7 0>,6 O.I 0.0 0.1 ao £>.O 0.0 a/ 2.0 Total /.D 2.Q 0-7- 0.0 O.I 0% o.l AS a# *mkm :«tain 3 U3 7 2. P O ? O r/ Doubtful 0 SS 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 / Total 3 /* 2 f 0 4- PetCent Certain 0.1 2A 0.3 Al 0\o _&0 A6 M 111 Doubtful AD ZS 0.3 O.0 OX> 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2,1 Total 0.1 AST 0.1 AO ov tv O?0 0.6 0.2 (,s L/G»r £ju>ni /CnuirJ/pr/ti/aivM NoBbet y Certain 2S 11. U- 0 0 21 0 2J /0% Doobttu Z f 22 _? / / 0> / 0 0> Total 22 34- 40 / / 2/ 7 ^ / 5- 152 P w C m t Ccttaa At 1,1 O.I 02 At AH AO ao 1,0 0.7- Doubtful 0.4 0.1/ 1.0 0J 0./ (7.1 0.0 o.l 0.0 0.0 Total /.D JS 1,1 ft-3 0.1 O.f 1.0 0-1 1.0 0.2 If t Evaluation 0-Balloon I-Astnnoarcal I?-Aircraft !3-Lit"t P t r n a . 4-Bifih S-Clouds, Oust e«c 6-lnsuHic kite. '-Psychological tVUnknoM ^ t h e r Total Ntmixt Certain / / 24 22- 5~ 0 /a 2- 3J- 3 az. Doubtfu / J~ / 2 U2. Total 2-4- 3* J£ 6 -2. / ^ 3/ r Pet Cent Certain 0.7 AL f.D 0.2 O.0 AE. 0JL 0.1 573 Doubtful C.U 0.6 0.1 0.1 0./ 0.0 01 0.0 0.1 •/.? Total / . ' 1.7 A 6 0? 0./ 0.' o.i o-l /.» 0.2 1.2 Nunbet Cntain 3 2$ c? 0 0> t 7 Percent Certain IJ no 0,1 0.1 0.0 0.0 M6.0 0.1 O.D 0.2 Ombtful ao 0,0 0.1 0.1 ao 0>.O 0,0 0.0 (20 0-0 fit Total 0-/ 0.0 0-2 0-2 0.C 0.0 0.0 0.0 t't 0.0 0.3 Evaluate* 0-BJlloon lAstronoaical 2-Aircraft 3-LijW PnemL 4-Brrrb 5-Clouds, Dust, etc 6-lnuttic. k k . 7-Pirctolopol S - l H n o w S-OB* T M Vjoifrr t>/r (j/jnM/! i//oi-£r Nraoet Certain 0 __L 0 0 £l LJL / c- 3 Ooubtful 0 c f 0 f 0 0 0 Total 0> / 0> / 0 £> O> / 0> T PetCmt Certain AO O.I 0.1 0.0 J2A 00 GO 0.0 0.1 0.0 Doubtful 0.0 OP of 0.0 At 9.0 no 0.0 ao 0.0 o.i Total 0-0 0.1 02 00 0.1 0.0 0.0 o.o 0>.l 0.1 O.Z (j/.DW/^6 OtfAy NlMKf pertain -10 0 0 0 0 0 _ / . 3 Doubtful / f 0 O 0 0 0 J- Total / / / / 0 7/ S Pet Cent Certain 0.1 0.0 0-1 0.0 00 O-o 0.0 01 00 Doubtful ao t-I ao 0./ 0.0 0.0 #0 $0 0.0 0.0 0./ Total O.( 0.f 0./ O.f ao 00 0.0 fit 0.0 ax. N u d w ;ert*n * • Doubtful Total Percent Certain Doubtful Total Nuabei Certain Doubtful Total Pet Cent CertM Doubtful Total 143
Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.