Documents / Analysis

Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14: Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects

United States Air Force, Air Technical Intelligence Center · 1955-05-05 · 309 pages · text from the file's own layer

Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.

  • p. 4 …in the Strategic Areas of the Central Midwest Region ' 50 Figure 35 Comparison of Evaluation of…
  • p. 58 O Dayton 144 object sighting! " 7 Balance of Central Midwest Region 164 object sightings FIGURE 34…
  • p. 60 CJ1 ro o San Antonio 36 object sightings Balance of South Midwest Region FIGURE 36 COMPARISON…
  • p. 112 …Evaluation of All Sightings in the Strategic A r e a s of the South Midwest…
  • p. 113 …Evaluation of Object Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the Central Midwest Region 252 Table A237…
Evaluation
0- Balloon
lAstnnoaical
J-Auciaft
3-Li(hl Pnexm.
I-Biiits
S-Clouds, Dust, e t c
S-lrtnflic Wo.
7-Psvd»lo|ical
t-Unknoan
9-ODler
Total
£ /?*>«
7~£>rAt
Nunbei
Certain
£21
313
Z?2.
32-
/3
3
UL
U?7
/??7
Doubtful
/ r /
JUT*
/o
7
P

73/
22.0
Certain
•l,f
0.2
0J
X..I
0.3
S.I
0.7
tu
»er Cent
Doubtful
A/
2.6
2.1
' t.3
O.I
O.I
0.0
0.1
0.0
o-i
Total
//S
6.2
u-.o0.1/
0.2
Z.I
{?.#
F.I
a?
Certain
i5~
3
i
zKU
T
3/r
Number
rrjoublful
32
9
/
0
0
I
0
6
707
r-//iycy s
Total
/ 7
/U2-
7
£
l_
Jt*L
2^
21
i/?2
(-/•/
?}
/£>
2
0
/?
r
rs
f
/77
Ooubtfu
/O
21
26
/
0
P
J
• f
Total
2£
/0
J
0
/t
f
17
76\JS3
Pet Cent
Certain
0.6
JA
AL
on
01
0.0
0,7
*2J
2.2
0.4-
It
Doubtfu
1,1
1.0
O.I
£>.O
0.0
01
Po
0.3
3.0
Total
/.0
1.1
AV
0.2
O.O
0.7
0.3
P-7
1.1
Number
Certain
/ 3
SO
23
/
/?
P
1&
s
35-
_2_
/f£>
Doubtful
/O
21
/?
3-
0
/
0
0
0
53
Total
23
7/
44
J
/
/ f
s
?
Percent
Certain
as
M
P.I
0.0
0.7
P.I
MIL
OS
Doubtful
O.U
O>.1
0.7
C.I
0,0
*>
0.0
o.o
0.0
P;l
X.I
Total
0.?
U
0.2
0-0
PI
P-7
0,1
I-*
P4
7?
Number
Certain
3
52.
7
2-
0
P>
0
/
ao
eo
•0.0
o,o
0.0
PI
3.1
Total
0-1
M-.7
0.7
O.I
0J>
0.0
0.4
00
0.7
P-l
L/A//r ^i-t^ /JtU-offA/tr/fA/tw*
Number
Certain
/4
37
AL
If-
0
a
o>
r
121.
Doubtful
9
as
X
I
/
0>
/
p>
p>
Total
24
//*
UP
P
1
1
2U/
/
r
/7?
Pel Cent
Certain
OS
ML
4 2
0.0
o,o
D.9
0.0
0.9
y.i
Doubtful
0.1/
o.u
1.0
P.I
P.I
ai
0.0
pi
0.0
OJ
I'f
Total
A?
l.f
l.f
P. 3
o./
o./
p?
O.I
p.?
A?.
u
Evaluation
0-Balloon
1-AsUonomical
2-Aucrad
3-Li|M Phenom.
«-Birds
5-Clouds. Dust, etc
6-lnsuffrc. Info.
7-Psycholotical
S-UnknoMi
Wither
Total
Certain
'7
34
7
O
in
_^
x7Jp
Number
Doubtful 1 Total
f
/7
/£
2-
2-
/
0
20
.TV
3f
r
2
1
/r
r
/fj-
Pei Cent
Certain
0.7
1.3
P..1
P3
~MML
at,
?•/
~Lt
PI
Doubtfu
M
C.7
a 6
O.I
O.I
P.I
0.0
P,0
CO
OJ
i.i
Total
/ /
2.0
/S
0A
O.I
O.l
fit
a/
/.#
P.2-
7.*
Number
Certain
/£>
/
/
JL.
Doubtful
/
u
9
0
0
CO
1
p
2.7
Total
&
79
/
0
J
2-
2-?
Percent
Ceitain
0.2
1.7
•AH-
P.I
AO
0.0
P.I
P.I
I.I
P.I
12.
Doubtful
0./
/)./>
p>.4
0.0
0,0
O.p
OP
P
0.0
P.0
1,1
Total
A3
Of
O.I
0.0
PO
O.I
0.1
I.I
O.I
Number
Certain
/
/z
0
O~'
_£_
/
7

/
p>
-2-
7?
Total
/2-
/
/?
/
/
/o
7
.D
AL
M.
P.D
/ /
Doubtful
O>.3
0.0
A3
P.0
at
AI
o.o
p.i
pj'
0.7
Total
PS
P.I
04
0.0
O.I
(>•!
P.X
AM
PJ
A3
L/4A7£u>tv^TA/i>frf0HMrs&u#
Number .
Ceitain
/
0
/
P>
0
p>
LL
Doubtfu
0
3-
/
7
O
A
Total
/
2-
# •
-Z.
0
0
P>
$
/
O1
/P
PerCenl
Ceitain
O.I
0.0
O.I
P.I
o.o
0,0
O.P
o.o
O.I
0.6
Doubtful
0.0
0,1
P.I
at
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
t-0
O.D
P.2
Total
0./
PI
0.2
0.2
0.0
0-0
o.o
0.0
A/
0-0
P.//
Evaluation
0-Balloon
. l'Aslronomial
2-Airciaft
3-Light Phenom.
4-Birds
i-Clouds. Dust, e l c
6-lnsutiic. mfo.
7-Psycholofcal
t-.Unknoan
S-Ottw
Numbef
Cert*n
0
/
^L\
I
Doubtful
/
P>
/
P-
/
0
P
£•'
'/!
0
.?
Total
/
/
o
/
0
0
/
0
7
Per Cent
Certain
0.0
PJ
O.I
P.0
0.0
PO
P.0
OJ
P>.0
O.z
Doubtfui
O.I
Po
0.1
o.o
O.I
0.0
0.0
00'
0.0
0-O>
PJ
Total
O.I
til
O.X
ao
0.1
oo
0-0
PO
PI
P.0
Number
;ertain
/
/
IP
•0
^ Z
_zZ
Doubtful
0
/
0
/
0
0
c~>
0
Total
/
/
/
/
0>
0
0
Pet Cent
Certain
OJ
M
PJ
0-0
po
0-0
P.0
o.l
0.0
PA
Doubtful
0.0
O.I
po
PI
0.0
p.o
ao
0.0
O.P
P.P>
p>.i
Total
P.I
O.I
0-1
P.I
o.o
o.o
P.0
OJ
P.I
0.0
P.Z
Number
lertan Doubtful Total
Per Cent
Certain Doubtful Total
Number
Certain Doubtful Total
' Pel Cent
Certain Doubtful Total
142

Cases discussed

About this file

Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.