Documents / Analysis

Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14: Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects

United States Air Force, Air Technical Intelligence Center · 1955-05-05 · 309 pages · text from the file's own layer

Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.

  • p. 4 …in the Strategic Areas of the Central Midwest Region ' 50 Figure 35 Comparison of Evaluation of…
  • p. 58 O Dayton 144 object sighting! " 7 Balance of Central Midwest Region 164 object sightings FIGURE 34…
  • p. 60 CJ1 ro o San Antonio 36 object sightings Balance of South Midwest Region FIGURE 36 COMPARISON…
  • p. 112 …Evaluation of All Sightings in the Strategic A r e a s of the South Midwest…
  • p. 113 …Evaluation of Object Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the Central Midwest Region 252 Table A237…
#
=• J or 'r/Af & s s &// / ft .
1
Evaluation
0- Balloon
l-Aslronoaicajl
2-Auciaft
3-Lil*t Phenon.
«-Biids
S-Clouds, Dust, etc
t-lnsuflic Mo.
7-Pirctnkmal
S-Unknow
Total
£*t£L i cfi/T
Numbef
Certain
H-
3
2
0
0
0
H
0
12
1
26
Doubtful
0
r
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
G
ToUl
R
3
Q
0
0
H
0
ii
1
32
4S*
F
Certain
12.5
J.H
6-2
0.0
0.0
Q.O
0.0
J7-J
,7 /
B/. 2
/
erCent
Doubtful
0 0
IS 6
3-/
Q.O
0,0
0-0
0 0
o.o
0 0
JLJL
19.8
ToUl
I2.S
J2AO.
1 -3
0 0
0.0
0.0
' M
0.0
37 S
2.1
IQO.
Ceitam
3
X-
0
1
0
9
2L
Ninbei
Doubtful
0
1+
-JL.
o
Q
0
o
o
o
I
f
Total
3
/ 3
' 0
0
p
/
0
1
2
33
Per Cent
Certain
7.7
2KL
111
o.o
JLO
2J.
Doubtful
0.0
/ 0 . S
I»-S
a.-0
0 0
o.o
1-L
23-7
Total
7.1
2±.2
2C 3
0 0
0.0
Q.Q
1-1
o.Q
5-2
100.
OtPc/xrFvt
Number
Certain
r
0
0
JL.
V-
0
LJL_
7H-
r
Doubltul
/
H
0
0
0
o
o
o
o
1
6
-sv>k)|ical
B-lMunan
W t t i w
1 Total
Ex CEL L e/vf
Certain
/
_2
3
0
0
0
• n
0
Lf
0
HP
NumlKi
Doubtful
0
2
I
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
ToUl
1
if
9
0
Q
0
Q
0
n
Per Cent
Certain
71
i l l
2U
o.o
0.0
O"
0.0
o.o
10.0
o.o
7*7
Doubtful
0.0
/ ! • *
7 7
0 . 0
0.0
0 0
Q-°
0.0
0>°
0-9
73.1
ToUl
7.7
Jo.8
10.8
O-O
o.o
0.0
0.0
o.O
30 8
Q.O
I0B-
Certain
H-
10
i0
0
0
0
O
b
o
20
Number
Ooubtful
/
0
0
1
o
o
o
o
o
c
Total
5
m
c
0
i
0
0
0
C
O
n
Pet Cent
Certain
31.2
/?.?
JLl
JLO
00
JLJL
00
/?.?
0.0
•m
Doubtful
3.;
12-5
0.0
O.o
o.o
0.0
OH
0.0
0.0
lit
Total
437
0.0
3-/
0.0
0.0
0.0
111
00
us.
Nuntet
:ertain
2
1
•o
1
0
o
_£_
/
1
3 2
Doubtful
2
3
3
1
o
o
o
1
0
o
10
ToUl
H
5
7
0
0
2
1
/5
2
PeiCent
Certain
4.8
2-f
O.O
o.o
I1.D
J2JL
35.7
Hi
7 £.7
Doubtful
9.8
7-1
7.1
3. V
Q.O
0.0
o.o
0-Q
O.O
23.2
Total
u
fs
11.9
JtJL
0.0
o.O
U.O
31.7
100.
Numbei
Certain
/
3
0~
0
o
6
0
8
S j
27
Doubtful
0
s
2
o
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
Total
/
8
c
o
0
o
o
5
Certain
JLJL
0-0
0.0
JJuA
0.0
23-5
'4.7
11.t
' e i Cent
Doubtful
0.0
lf-7
5-9
Q.Q
o.o
-JLJL
0-0
0.0
0.0
p. 0
20.4
Total
3-9
?:•*
/ 7 7
0.0
0.0
0.0
ll.t
0-1
mi
/so.
i
Evaluation
0-Balloon
1-Astrenomcal
?-Anciatt
3-Light Phenon.
*-Blr*s
S-Clouds, Dust, etc
S-lnsuffic. Info.
7-Psycholopcal
a-Unknow
W t t i e i
Total
-r ,
E XC£-CC£VT
Certain
10
1 4
1 &
2
JL~
0
0
7
UL
Number
Doubtfu
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
ToUl
11
70
71
0
0
- 3
Q
JfJL
7
120
PeiCent
Certain
2.3
iLl
JUL
-Ul
0.0
0.0
2 $
0.0
35.0
5.$
78.3
Doubtfu
-2
QO
111
Doubtful
7.7
1 ty
6-f
O.o
O.if
0.0
O.Q
o.?
0.0
3.0
13.1
Total
IS.8
1 I
1 3
00
11.t
3-4
iu-2
3.0
100.
4-
135

Cases discussed

About this file

Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.