Documents / Analysis
Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.
“Otis”1 page
Evaluation
lo-Balloon
1-Astronomcal
Z-Airciaft
3-Li|M Phmom.
4-Buih
S-Clowb, Dust. etc.
6-lnsufIic kilo.
7-Psydnlo|ical
«-Unknown
^OBiei
Total
Certain
n
iz.
•0
—M
0
It
£
Number
Doubtful
-1-
(6
2.
0
0
_
ft 7
[~ Total
r0
71
1-12
;
'erCent
Certainl'Doubtful
f.P
IL1
6.0
-Ma
33.3
SJL
7SH-
J.f
7-S
1.0
0.9
o.t
0.0
0.0
0.ff
o.o
21. ( ,
Total
M
l%?
6.1
0,1
AS
Ml.
0.0
fit.
lertam
a
I'T
f?
9
jl
t-7
3
j t
2a/
Number
Doubtful
>W
6{
77
1
A*
_T
. 0
1
0
7
3-13
Total
I£7
I7H
m
t
7
18$
3ff
7sy
^ -
Certain
If-*
I/.0
A i l
0,3
0¥
fV
9/.f
>er Cent
Doubtful
f.7
1.2.
0,7
0.0
e,l
0.1
£ g . l
*1*
Total
1L3
HA
1,0
1,0
I f
loo.
Number
;ert*n
7J
ft
t¥
6
1
//I
2-0
/O3
2.7
[Doubtful
ST
i t
If
1
0
f
Total
13/
iru
Iff
?
Ill
u
If -1
7?V
f
Certain
U
(I.I
/.%
0.9
6,1
(1.0
3.H
S9.S
ei Cent
Doubtful
21
S3
f/.X
/ • /
3.7
Doubtful
0,0
p.p
ff.r
l.f
Ai.O
Tot at
>2J1.
SiJSS
/ • /
AJL-
1.6
3.?
1LA
rS
Evaluation
O-Bslloon
l-AstTHiomical
Z-Aircraft
.3-Light Phenom.
IBurls
:S-Clouds, Dust, etc
•6-lnsuffic. Info.
;7-Psychobtical
18-Unknown
9-Ottier
Total
Certain
j
rt?
0
^_
^ _
r
J3
Numbei
Doubtfu
c
0
a
a
o
1
Total
£
0
o
6
Per Cenl
Certain i Doubtful' Total
JLAAL -LL
llA o-Ol+l
7.1
0-6
/UL
V-7
UL1
Ul
j
0.0
00
0.A
0.0
7-1
t-6
Hi
0,(i
it-3
?Al
0
/
0
Total
/
6,
/
0
6
/
7
Percent
Certain
9-1
S£
00
00
221
Doubtful
6.6
/U
00
0.0
0-0
Oi
o,o
Total
96
r
Certain
/
C,
O
--A
_ ^
0
__£
• O
Numbei
Doubtfu
_z
0
I
0
0
a
0
0
6'
Total
9
'1
j_
0
0
2.
0
n
PwCent
Certain
0.0
jLd\
-OA
ML
-0&
Doubtfu
fit,
0-0
00
0-0
0-0
0-0
f?y
Total
If, ff
0?
//:•?
0-0
0-0
• 0.0
0(1
on
(00.
;/}r/
f9 f t
-I'T
Number
Certain
&
-X
_Z-
0
f
Doubtful
S"
0
1
(P
0
0
/
/3
Total
/I
3
3
0
/
Y
n
PerCenl
Certain
/fi
sz
h ^
si
121
Doubtful
o.O
6.6
6 J)
CD
Oi
* • /
Total
111
71,0
0-0
'?•/
zoo.
/&// ?~/Ai(
Dae//
Number
Certain
0
z
0
/s
0
•$
0
HO
Doubtful
Y
lY
Y
0
0
0
0
0
Total
9
1 3
/
0
1 "3
1
70
/? */ 61
PwCent
Certain
ILL
AA
X5-
JJL
ill
Doubtful
fi
0-0
0-0
6-0
•0-0
o.Q
U
Total
\% (•
i.f
o-O
CO
U
-/*JC >a /£. /
Number
Certain
1
/
/
/
£>
Doubtfu
0
0
0
r)
Total
fi
/
0
d
/
%
Certain
60
f2.5~
(IP
f?-0
o-o
/2.r
74.0
Percent
Doubtful
0-0
0-0
0.0
0-6
(?-fi
0-(l
fi-fi
Artain
1/
/2
7
2
0
IX
0
3
Doubtful
6
f^
/
&
/
C
0
0
0
0
Total
y
*'7
0
%
0
/ 3
0
,/
ft
Per Cent
Certain
22^
0-6
Sz.
JJL
111
Doubtful
6-0
1-7
00
0-f)
00
n-(\
0-0
o-o
rtf*
Total
67
0-0
o,t>
S.7
1-1
/to.
Number
Certain
-AAL
0
0
_ £
1°
<l_
u
Doubtful
J
0
0
0
0
0
0
Total
i
10
0
0
0
9
10
Y
ft t/
Percent
Catain
SL
-LSA
6.0
££,
Qo.i
Doubtful
ff
u00
0.0
6.6
0.0
fi-0
0-f)
If-2
Total
ico
0-6
0.A
fi.fi
12-Q
j j j
ioo.
134 Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.