Documents / Analysis

Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14: Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects

United States Air Force, Air Technical Intelligence Center · 1955-05-05 · 309 pages · text from the file's own layer

Special Report No. 14 was issued by the U.S. Air Force's Air Technical Intelligence Center on 5 May 1955. It is a statistical study of about 4,000 reports of unidentified aerial objects from June 1947 to December 1952. The reports were reduced to IBM punched cards and analyzed with methods including chi square tests. The report concludes that the reports it examined are very unlikely to represent technology beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced valid physical evidence.

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Evaluation
0- Balloon
1-Astronomical
2-Aircraft
3-Light Phenom.
4-Birds
5-Clouds, Dust, etc.
&-tnsuffic .Info.
7-Psycho logical
8-Unknown
9-Ottier
Total
Ctrtain
110
47i-
264
3Z
/?
/t
3ft
I,f9
l/l
2100
All _g
Number
Doubtful
I/O
3*'/
m
24
(0
(3
0
(0
36
9o/
Total
d'7
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7,1
16
2lfl>
(41
/«•>
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(4$
zts
>er Cent
Doubllul
0 0
e7
a 0
( > • '
OP
(7
O.(J
(02
Total
7,0
/ "
O('
/7 O
£'3
2V°
(*•'£
(00.
Number
Certain
cr
<>
/?
/
' • -
//
Doubtful1
-9 .'
o
o
o
s
i'f
Total
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Number
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4
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32.
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07
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0-7
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2a0
Total
(£.0
2.0
0-7
0.0
17
/ f
£0
(00.
/95 C-
Number
Certain
2£0
1l>
/Z
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(44
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7
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Total
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Number
Certain
-
Doubtful Total
PerCent
Certain Doubtful
J
Total
/? £
Evaluation
O-Balloon
1-Astronomical
2-Aircraft
3-Ligfit Pftenom.
4-Birds
5-Clouds, Dust, etc.
S-lnsuffic. Info.
7-Psychological
8-Unknowi
Wither
Total
AIL
2.1
0.9
/o^
/ • $
tt-S
100.
/9
dt£.
Doubtful
O
Z
2.
0
0
•
740
Number
Doubtfu
to
/z
/
0
o
o
o
o
ft
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Total
(4
(14
10
0
3
0
7
f?
HI,
7
Per Cent
Certain^ Doubtful
4 7
76
£J
0.%
JJlJL
/ 3
2-='
6/-i\
73. t
61
-2^.
OO
t-o
fi.O
/?-0
, Total
£ 0
(7.7
, 2
/4O
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/•+$
/oo
Evaluation
0- Balloon
1-Astronomial
2-Aircratt
3-LigM Phenom.
4-Birds
5-Clouds. Dust, etc.
6-lnsuffic Info.
7-Psychological
8-Unknomi
9-OthEr
Total
/PS-0
Number
Certain
22,
42.
30
o
_J0_
0
2-i
2,
42
6
770
Doubtful
•/8
0
0
0
0
0
0
£
39
Total
27
to
4/
0
0
0
24,
4.
,/
209
F
Certain
20-(
(43
0-0
fi.(7
(0
i-f
p¥
erCent
Doubtful
£./
5 3
00
00
0.0
•0-0
O0
2,4
(ft
Total
d.f
U7
ff.i-
PO
00
p.0
Z2..4
(0
U>.(
£~.3
((%>•
//s-y
Number
Certain
t(
_2_
0
_£_
/4
/
Ion
Doubtful
3
/Y
/
0
0
/
0
0
f.t
Total
(I
3S
24
3
/
0
/4
Z
f
I3f
Certain
&,•<>
(9.3
/(• 7
• / • f
0.0
00
70.2-
07
277
ff.i
'er Cent
Doubtful
2.2
/O.2
e-n
O7
0 7
0.0
00
01
00
2l)4
Total
26.6
77•>
1.2
07
OO
/0 2
/•¥
777
/?$£
Number
:ertain
/££
21f
ZUL
2L
9
3
/£f
2b
344
S2
7214
Doubtful
7?O
/of
/ /
5
7
0
o
4ft
Total
Zff
qo<i
/I
/O
(f9
n.
a
tin
Per Cent
Certain
JlL
JU_
0.4
to.o
2.0
1L7.
Doubtful
iJ
II5
1.0
0-3
oV
00
0-3
0.0
0.1
t i t
Total
111
Zot
ni
01
n
2o,<?
If
/oo
•
Number
Certain Doubtful Total
Pet C » t
CoUin Doubtlul Total
107

Cases discussed

About this file

Analysis, from the classic collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.