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Preliminary Assessment: Unidentified Aerial Phenomena

Office of the Director of National Intelligence · 2021-06-25 · 9 pages · text from the file's own layer

The Office of the Director of National Intelligence issued this preliminary assessment on 25 June 2021, as Senate Report 116-233 required. It reviews 144 U.S. Government reports of unidentified aerial phenomena from 2004 to 2021, compiled with the UAP Task Force. Only one case was identified with high confidence, as a deflating balloon. The report concludes that UAP pose a flight safety issue and possibly a national security challenge, and it calls for standardized reporting, more collection and more investment.

UNCLASSIFIED
6
UNCLASSIFIED
Other: Although most of the UAP described in our dataset probably remain unidentified due to
limited data or challenges to collection processing or analysis, we may require additional
scientific knowledge to successfully collect on, analyze and characterize some of them. We
would group such objects in this category pending scientific advances that allowed us to better
understand them. The UAPTF intends to focus additional analysis on the small number of cases
where a UAP appeared to display unusual flight characteristics or signature management.
UAP THREATEN FLIGHT SAFETY AND, POSSIBLY, NATIONAL
SECURITY
UAP pose a hazard to safety of flight and could pose a broader danger if some instances
represent sophisticated collection against U.S. military activities by a foreign government or
demonstrate a breakthrough aerospace technology by a potential adversary.
Ongoing Airspace Concerns
When aviators encounter safety hazards, they are required to report these concerns. Depending
on the location, volume, and behavior of hazards during incursions on ranges, pilots may cease
their tests and/or training and land their aircraft, which has a deterrent effect on reporting.
• The UAPTF has 11 reports of documented instances in which pilots reported near
misses with a UAP.
Potential National Security Challenges
We currently lack data to indicate any UAP are part of a foreign collection program or indicative
of a major technological advancement by a potential adversary. We continue to monitor for
evidence of such programs given the counter intelligence challenge they would pose, particularly
as some UAP have been detected near military facilities or by aircraft carrying the USG’s most
advanced sensor systems.
EXPLAINING UAP WILL REQUIRE ANALYTIC, COLLECTION AND
RESOURCE INVESTMENT
Standardize the Reporting, Consolidate the Data, and Deepen the Analysis
In line with the provisions of Senate Report 116-233, accompanying the IAA for FY 2021, the
UAPTF’s long-term goal is to widen the scope of its work to include additional UAP events
documented by a broader swath of USG personnel and technical systems in its analysis. As the
dataset increases, the UAPTF’s ability to employ data analytics to detect trends will also
improve. The initial focus will be to employ artificial intelligence/machine learning algorithms
to cluster and recognize similarities and patterns in features of the data points. As the database
accumulates information from known aerial objects such as weather balloons, high-altitude or
super-pressure balloons, and wildlife, machine learning can add efficiency by pre-assessing UAP
reports to see if those records match similar events already in the database.
• The UAPTF has begun to develop interagency analytical and processing workflows
to ensure both collection and analysis will be well informed and coordinated.

About this file

Report, from the odni collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 9 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.