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Warsaw Pact Air Forces: Support of Strategic Operations in Central Europe, CIA/DI/SOVA Intelligence Assessment, January 1985.

Central Intelligence Agency · 95 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency Directorate of Intelligence assessment, dated January 1985, examines how Warsaw Pact air forces would support large strategic operations in Central Europe. It concludes that the Soviets see NATO air power as the greatest threat to a Pact ground offensive. They revised their air supremacy plans in 1980 and 1981 to use sector-concentrated raids and a defensive air operation. The assessment also finds that heavy aircraft losses and limited deep attack capability would remain serious problems. The document has no UFO content.

Tolp<Se ret
Figure 3
The Likely Distribution of Ground Attack Aircraft Combat Potential
in the Western Theater of Military Operations-
Percent
Force Components - Aircraft Types ------
Polish-GDR Front Baltic Fleet
8 10
h1, Attack helicopters
GSFG-GDR Front Legnica Air Army 29 Medium bombers
.7 15i 29
Smolensk Air Army Fightcr-bombers Light bombers
20 26 16
Czechoslovak-CGF
Front
to
aThesecalculations-were-derivedby using theSovietmethodof estimating
the relativecombatpnential of combataircraft.Weassumea force
disposition in the WesternTMo that includesthree first.echelon fronts
andfull use of the Smolenskair armybut no participation by the vinnitsa
or Moscow air armies.
303433 (tC0065t 84
specified to accomplish each stage would correspond defeating NATO's AFCENT and BALTAP forces.
to the number of days the General Staff believed it These theater-level missions would include:
should take the ground forces to occupy that particu- - Conducting air defense operations and conventional
lar territory. offensive air operations to achieve and maintain
strategic air supremacy in the TMO and blunt
Limited evidence NATO's nuclear capabilities.
uggests that the first - Participating in the first major nuclear strike in the
strategic operation in the Western TMO would proba- theater (which the Soviets call the initial massed
bly have as its first-stage objective the defeat of the nuclear strike).
main forces of AFCENT and BALTAP and the - Mounting subsequent offensive air operations
occupation of the mid-European strategic zone and against various key NATO rear area forces and
the Danish Straits in about two weeks' time. The installations.
subsequent defeat and occupation of France in about Participating in major airborne operations.
another two weeks may constitute a typical second- - Supporting amphibious landing operations.
stage task (figure 5). Providing strategic air reconnaissance in support of
the General Staff and the Western high command.
Air Forces Missions
The Warsaw Pact air forces would be tasked by the
Western high command to directly support its plan for
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 95 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.