Documents / FOIA release
This is a CIA Office of Research and Reports contribution to National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-64, dated 6 October 1964, on the capabilities of Soviet general-purpose forces from 1964 to 1970. It updates evidence on Soviet doctrine for theater warfare, the effect of low wartime birth rates on military conscription and the labor supply, tactical missile systems, the Soviet and Satellite tactical air forces, and Soviet naval submarine, surface and air forces. The report does not mention unidentified flying objects.
TOP CRET_ in developing a transportable ATBM system (particularly that of reduc- ing the size of the electronics components to manageable proportions), it is doubted that an ATEM system will be developed in the near future that would warrant wide deployment during the period of this estimate. If the foregoing reservations are valid, the only present Soviet ATBM capability is represented by the SA-2 system, which is esti- mated to have a limited, inherent capability against short-range (100-nm or less) tactical missiles. The system's lack of mobility, however, its inability to engage more than two targets simultaneously, its radar range limitations (versus target velocity), and its slow system-reaction time rule out such a combat role except on a fortuitous basis.* Tn sum, the USSR does not have any capability to defend its field forces against attack by tactical ballistic missiles, and it is not anticipated that the USSR will soon acquire such a capability. IV. Soviet Tactical Air Force and Satellite National Air Forces Following a drastic reduction of Soviet aircraft strength in con- nection with Khrushchev's cutback of conventional military forces in 1960, the size of the Soviet Tactical Air Force (TAF) has leveled. off at about 3,100 to 3,400 aircraft. Current replacement rates and an assessment of Soviet requirements suggest that the size of the air force is now relatively stable (see Table 5) and that it will decline only moderately during the course of this estimate. Although newer Technical analysis of the latest, observed system modifications to the radar and missile does not suggest that the ATH capability has been improved. - 22 - TOP CRET
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 53 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.