Documents / FOIA release
This is a CIA Office of Research and Reports contribution to National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-64, dated 6 October 1964, on the capabilities of Soviet general-purpose forces from 1964 to 1970. It updates evidence on Soviet doctrine for theater warfare, the effect of low wartime birth rates on military conscription and the labor supply, tactical missile systems, the Soviet and Satellite tactical air forces, and Soviet naval submarine, surface and air forces. The report does not mention unidentified flying objects.
TO SECRET launchers could have been deployed. The estimated rate of deployment probably will be maintained until a system comparable to that of the US Pershing has been developed. Soviet line divisions in East Germany received a new FROG system in 1963 that has a truck-mounted rail launcher and a missile somewhat smaller than the FROG 3/4. Technical evaluation of this mis- sile has not been completed, but the range of the new FROG might be less than the 19 to 21.5 nm estimated for the FROG 3/4. Because of the pattern of deployment in the Groupiof-Soviet Forces, Germany (GSFG), the new FROG probably is a supplement to the FROG 3/4 rather. than a re- placement. 2. Tactical Missiles Under Development Current systems of Soviet tactical ballistic missiles do not represent satisfactory solutions to the requirements of the ground forces when measured against the level of current missile technology. Soviet military writings indicate that response times are too long, and the mobility of the support systems is unsatisfactory. Therefore; the development of a replacement for the Scud-type systems has been expected. It now appears th'at a new 150-nm system is being tested. A series of six launchings in June and July 1964 resembles the group of feasibility tests conducted for the SS-1c missile from December 1959 to February 1960. If general systems tests are detected in the spring of 1965, a heavy training' schedule of launchings would be expected in 1966, with - 17 - TOP CRET
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 53 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.