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Contribution to NIE 11-14-64 Capabilities of Soviet General-Purpose Forces 1964-70, CIA/DI/ORR, 6 October 1964

Central Intelligence Agency · 53 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is a CIA Office of Research and Reports contribution to National Intelligence Estimate 11-14-64, dated 6 October 1964, on the capabilities of Soviet general-purpose forces from 1964 to 1970. It updates evidence on Soviet doctrine for theater warfare, the effect of low wartime birth rates on military conscription and the labor supply, tactical missile systems, the Soviet and Satellite tactical air forces, and Soviet naval submarine, surface and air forces. The report does not mention unidentified flying objects.

activity indicated by test-range data suggests that the level of de-
ployment reached in 1960 was maintained at least through mid-1963.
An improved Scud missile with a range of 150 nm and equipped
to deliver a nuclear warhead (SS-lc) was first deployed in 1961. After
normal program growth through 1962, test-range training launchings
attributable to the SS-lc appear to have almost stopped in the first
half of 1963. Indeed, all launchings on the 150-nm range of the Kapustin
Yar Missile Test Range fell off very sharply, although other activities
remained at normal levels. As yet, only about half of the expected
number of training launches have occurred this year. Most of the 1964
autumn training period remains, however, and the 15 to 25 launchings
required to maintain the SS-lc program at its mid-19 6 3 level could be
performed before the end of the year. Alternatively the launchers that
were operational in nid-1963 could be kept in the field without re-
training for the launch crews. The efficiency of the launch crews
would decline, however, because experiencied crew members would be up-
held with conscripts and young officers who had. not participated in live
firings.
The USSR has allocated to the Shaddock (SS-C-1) t:he long-
range tactical missile mission. This 300-nm cruise missile was first
deployed by the end of 1960, and by 1.963 it was apparent that the
Shaddock was to be the sole current replacement for the 300-nm bal-
listic missile Sibling (SS 2), which is no longer in the operational
inventory. Launchings indicate that by the end of 1963 fro~ 60 to 65
T16-
TOP CRET

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 53 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.