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Air Force Project Blue Book Special Report 14 (Hynek's annotated copy)

Center for UFO Studies · 139 pages · text by OCR

This is the July 1966 third edition of Dr. Leon Davidson's "Flying Saucers: An Analysis of the Air Force Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14", published by Ramsey-Wallace Corp. It reproduces early Air Force press releases, the 1953 CIA panel report, the 1966 Blue Book release and the full text of the May 1955 Special Report No. 14 with its tables and codes. Davidson also gives his view that the CIA was responsible for much saucer publicity.

  • p. 1 …LEON DAVIDSON
  • p. 2 …July 4,1966 Leon Davidson
  • p. 3 …Leon Davidson Copyright c) 1966 by Leon Davidson Third Edition 66-8897 Analysis Section of First…
  • p. 4 …Leon Davidson begins on Page D4 Air Force Press Release dated October 25, 1955 D5 Suggestions…
  • p. 7 …Leon Davidson 2163 B 47th Street Los Alamos, New Mexico Dear Mr. Davidson: In reply to…
  • p. 8 …Leon Davidson 804 S. Irving Street Arlington 4, Virginia Your letter of April 3, 1952 to…
  • p. 10 …Leon Davidson 804 South Irving Street Arlington, Virginia Your letter of June 12 to the Secretary…
  • p. 12 …Leon Davidson 8-4 S. Irving St. Arlington 4. Virginia Dear Mr. Davidson: In reply to…
  • p. 23 …Leon Davidson GREEDLECTION TO PUBLICATION ON GROUPS OF MILITARY SECURITY 16 17 FEB 1955 OFFICE OF…
  • p. 24 …Leon Davidson 14 Soundview Avenue White Plains, New York PUBLIC INFORMATION OFFICE HEADQUARTERS AIR RESEARCH AND…
  • p. 25 …Leon Davidson 804 South Irving Street Arlington 4, Virginia In reply to your letter of April…
  • p. 26 …Leon Davidson 64 Prospect Street White Plains, New York (This report was first released by the…
  • p. 27 …Leon Davidson 64 Prospect Street White Plains, New York Dear Mr. Davidson, has forwarded your letter…
  • p. 29 …Leon Davidson 64 Prospect Street White Plains, N. Y. The following is the concluding page of…
  • p. 30 …Leon Davidson 64 Prospect Street White Plains, N.Y. Dear Mr. Davidson: I received one verbal…
  • p. 34 …Leon Davidson 64 Prospect St. White Plains, New York JOHN P. SPAULDING Lt Colonel, USAF Chief…
  • p. 39 …Leon Davidson 64 Prospect Street White Plains, New York
  • p. 41 …Leon Davidson 64 Prospect Street White Plains, New York Director of Information Services
  • p. 42 …Leon Davidson The Blue Book Report No. 14 is reproduced in the pages following this analysis…
MULTIPLE OBSERVATION was identified with the .00 subserial number. As an example, a MULTIPLE OBSERVATION consisting of six sighting reports would have the following serial numbers:

1132. 00 representing the best report and observer

1132. 01 representing an additional observer

1132. 02 representing an additional observer

1132. 03 representing an additional observer

1132. 04 representing an additional observer

1132. 05 representing an additional observer

During the course of the transcription of the data to machine card form, it became obvious that certain reports could have been independent observations of the same phenomenon. So, if the presentation of an analysis based on one report for each sighting was valid (the concept of UNIT SIGHTINGS), a presentation of an analysis based on one report for each phenomenon should be valid also. Further, the examination of data relating to the actual number of phenomena was considered to be the proper basis for assessing the probability of technological developments outside the range of present-day scientific knowledge. Therefore, a designation of OBJECT SIGHTINGS was established, with the following definition:

OBJECT SIGHTING - (1) The group of reports consisting of one report for each phenomenon. (2) The questionnaire, work sheet, and IBM card representing a report for each phenomenon accepted for the statistical study.

In brief review, ALL SIGHTINGS refer to all reports, UNIT SIGHTINGS refer to actual sightings, and OBJECT SIGHTINGS refer to the assumed number of phenomena.

It must be recognized that the process of identifying OBJECT SIGHTINGS was deductive, while that for UNIT SIGHTINGS was definitive. A conservative approach was adopted in the determination of OBJECT SIGHTINGS, using the factors of date and time of observations, location of observers, duration of observations, and range, bearing, track direction, and identification of the phenomena. Any error of selection of OBJECT SIGHTINGS will tend to be in the direction of reducing the actual number of phenomena observed (several instances of UNIT SIGHTINGS that might be one OBJECT SIGHTING were noted, but the evidence was not conclusive enough to justify consolidation of the reports).

Following the determination of OBJECT SIGHTINGS, a series of serial numbers, called the INCIDENT SERIAL NUMBERS, was established to facilitate any future study of a specific object sighting. Each reported sighting that relates to an OBJECT SIGHTING received the same incident serial number, a four-digit code paralleling the major serial number series.

Cases discussed

About this file

Report, cited by the archive. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. The text was read from the page images by an OCR model; expect the odd misread word. 139 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.