Documents / Report
This is the July 1966 third edition of Dr. Leon Davidson's "Flying Saucers: An Analysis of the Air Force Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14", published by Ramsey-Wallace Corp. It reproduces early Air Force press releases, the 1953 CIA panel report, the 1966 Blue Book release and the full text of the May 1955 Special Report No. 14 with its tables and codes. Davidson also gives his view that the CIA was responsible for much saucer publicity.
Read from the scan by GLM-OCR; expect the odd misread word.
Since the Summary gives figures of 9% for the Unknown cases in 1953--1954, and only 3% for the Unknown cases in 1955 (up to May 5), it is evident that persons not having the full report available would not know that 20% to 30% of the cases had been left as Unknown in the main study. The Summary absolutely fails to quote any numerical results for 1947--1952. One may surmise that the Air Force did not want the public to know that such a high percentage of the reports remained Unknown, and that this was one reason for making the full report unavailable, for all practical purposes, to the public.
[2] What is the meaning and purpose of the Chi Square test (pages 60--76 of the original edition)?
The paragraph at the bottom of page 60 and top of page 61 (orig. ed.) explains the purpose of the "Chi Square" test, and the statistical theory involved is described on page 61. The reason for making this test was simply this: The author(s) of the report felt that it might be possible to show by this test that the Unknown cases were really just like the Known cases, after all. If this could be shown, it would then have been simple to say that the Unknowns had been essentially the same objects as the Knowns, and there would have been no residual "unknown" type of object ("flying saucer") to talk about.
As it turned out, the author(s) had to admit, at top of p. 68 (orig.) that there was very little probability that the Unknowns were the same as the Knowns. But they refused to admit that this meant that "saucers" could be a real type of novel object. Notice how they carry on the struggle to prove that the Unknowns are the same as the Knowns, until at the end of the "Chi Square Test" section, they admit that the results are inconclusive.
## [3] What is the definition of "Flying Saucer" used in the Blue Book Report?
On p.1 of the original text, third paragraph, a definition is given which is used by the author(s) of the report. It implies that some "secret military weapon" may be involved, by use of the words "Free World" and "intruder aircraft". There is no mention of "interplanetary vehicles" either from terrestrial or extra-terrestrial sources.
Also on page 1, in the second paragraph, is a $ f_{2} $ acetious definition of "flying saucer" which, if adopted, would prevent any identification or explanation of flying saucers, by its very wording.
Unfortunately, the author(s) of the report, when referring to the definition of "flying saucer",(as for instance in their Conclusions, orig. p. 94, fourth paragraph), merely refer to "'flying saucers'(as defined on Page 1)". This leaves somewhat confused the question of which of the two definitions on page 1 they are referring to. Report, cited by the archive. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. The text was read from the page images by GLM-OCR; expect the odd misread word. 139 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.