“The Advance”52 pages
- p. 7 …of advanced
technological
ma-
chinery
manned by some
kind
of
intelligence,
that
is,
the
extrater-
restrial…
- p. 9 …American Association for the Advancement of Science;
Astronomy Society(secretary).
Specialty: Astrophysics.
Fields of Interest: Stellar…
- p. 19 …The Air Force has no evidence that UFO's are extra-terrestrial or rep-
resent advanced…
- p. 24 18
(The biography of Dr.McDonald follows:)
DR. JAMES E. MCDONAI,D
Born: Duluth, Minn., May…
- p. 29 …from some
advanced
technology
sufficiently
advanced
to
do what
we
cannot
do
in
the
sense
of…
- p. 32 …The
possibility
that these are
extraterrestrial devices,
that
we
are
dealing with
surveillance
from some advanced…
- p. 40 …THE
UNCONVENTIONAL NATURE
OF
THE
UFO
PROBLEM
To
both
laymen
and
scientists,
the
impressive
progress
that…
- p. 48 …At
first,
they thought
it
was
a
jet,
whose
exhaust
was somehow
accounting for the
advancing…
- p. 59 …advanced
civilization
of
extraterrestrial origin,
the
pattern of the observa-
tions,
the motivation of the
surveillance…
- p. 75 …To
ignore
most
of the
salient
features
of
a
sighting
in
order
to
advance
an
easy…
- p. 94 …Now,
if
we
want
to
assess
the
likelihood
that there are
intelligentcivilizations
somewhere
in
advance of…
- p. 95 …be far in advance of our own,and this,therefore raises the
question of how likely…
- p. 96 …that
an advance
civilization
comes here very rarely.
But I
again emphasize the great uncertainty in…
- p. 97 91
So,
to
conclude
what
I
understand
is
the
main
reason
why
this
committee
has
asked…
- p. 100 …the
possibility
of
its
development
by
other
civilizations.
But
if
each
of,
say,
a
million
advanced…
- p. 101 …a race of advanced and benign creatures were devoted
to our welfare.
The interest in unidentified…
- p. 111 …The possible value
of contact for purposes of advancing our knowledge of our technology.
Let's…
- p. 112 …again the same possible great value from under-
standing the phenomenon in order to advance our…
- p. 116 …We
must
then concern ourselves with the
possible
consequences of
contact with
technologically
advanced
civilizations
whose…
- p. 117 111
the task. We must also 'be concerned with the risks of panic resulting in people…
- p. 124 …Gravitation remains one of the enigmas of modern
science,
although
there have been some advances in…
- p. 125 …This
will
depend
upon
advances
in
many
fields
of
science.
Some
of
the
things
required
will…
- p. 130 …Gravitation
remains
one
of the
enigmas
of
modern
science,
although
there
have
been
some
advances
in…
- p. 132 …Baker's
professional
society
memberships
include
the
American
Associa-
tion
for
the
Advancement
of
Science,
Phi…
- p. 140 …There have been many debates on the technical
capabilities or limits on the capabilities of advanced…
- p. 141 135
area of forecasting the social characteristics of an advanced extrater-
restrial civilization. Philosophers, social scientists…
- p. 142 …in the environs
of
the
earth,
or
to
make
dubious
speculations
either
concerning "their"
advanced
scientific…
- p. 143 …the
gross
characteristics
of
an
advanced
civilization.
These
studies
(probablynot
Government funded)
should
include
the
social…
- p. 150 …Applications
and
Advanced Topics,
Academic
Press,
New
York,
pp.
112-115 and
pp.
376
to
392…
- p. 153 147
00015 "Recent Advances in Astrodynamics," (with Samuel Herrick), Jet Propul-
sion, 28, No. 10, 1958…
- p. 154 …00040 "State-of-the-Art-1960 Astrodynamics,"Astronautics, 5, No. 11, 30, 1960.
00041 "Novel Orbit…
- p. 157 …Makemson)
00071 Astrodynamics - Applications and Advanced Topics, Academic Press,
New York, 1967.
00072 "Recent Advances in…
- p. 171 …In the past five
years, he has advanced from assistant bookkeeper to teller to head teller…
- p. 174 …He has no desire to advance any further
up the bank totem pole, says he never…
- p. 189 …advanced radar systems air being de-
vekii2ed for our missile defense systems, such as the ALTAR…
- p. 190 …of the Earth or to make very dubious speculations 191, t101
either concerning "their" advanced scientific…
- p. 203 …The
primary
attribute
of
an
advanced
intelligent civilization
is
its
ability
to create
its
own
environment…
- p. 204 …Menzel became
acting Director
of
Harvard
College
Observatory
and,
in 1954,
was
advanced to the
Directorship…
- p. 207 …approach
it
or
advances
as you
move
away.
As
we
look over the
Air Force
files…
- p. 210 …Or
at
least
that
is
the
com-
mon
argument
advanced
by
UFO
buffs.
Radar
is
cursed…
- p. 212 …Life
Member
of
American
Association
for the
Advancement
of
Science.
Professional Organizational
Activities:
State delegate to…
- p. 217 …our
level
of
advancement?
As
noted
in
the
Special
Report
of the
USAF
Scientific
Advisory
Board…
- p. 219 …Friedman has a relatively unique background in advanced technology, hav-
ing been actively involved in the…
- p. 222 …the
existence
of
advanced
civilizations.
We
frequently
forget that the
resolution
of
present
photographs of the…
- p. 223 …36, 37) and the American Association for the Advancement of Science is
planning a UFO seminar…
- p. 224 …reason,
would
not
examine
the data
relevant to
UFOs
or advanced
technology.
Marcowitz
was
totally
wrong…
- p. 225 …reason,
would
not
examine
the
data
relevant to
UFOs
or
advanced
technology.
Marcowitz
was
totally
wrong…
- p. 226 …B.,
"The
Phenomenological
Aspects
of
Magnetogasdynamic
Re-entry."
Presented
at
the 10th
Midwestern Mechanics
Conference,
Colorado…
- p. 227 …not
alone
in
the Universe
and
surely
some
civilizations
are
more
advanced than
ours,
but
interstellar…
- p. 233 …possible
sites
in
advance,
we
could
simply
move
in
to
recover
the
desired
information
after
an…
- p. 234 …The effectiveness of the proposed procedure would depend very heavily upon
the amount of thought, care…
- p. 237 …listed
in
advance
on
a
'standardized rating sheet.
However
this
part
of
the
experiment
will
not…
174
THE
USE
OF
PROBABILITY SCORING FOR
OBSERVATIONAL CREDITABILITY
In
order
to
translate
the
results
of
an
extensive, multispecialty
medicalevaluation
into
a
handy
estimate
of
observer creditability,
a
percentage
-
evaluation scoring method
has
been devised. These "probability
of
creditability"
scores
are
mainly
intended
to
serve
the non
-
,
medical expert.
They are
numericalstatements reflecting
the
level
and quality
of
observational
ability
and
are
based
on all
the
obtained
findings
relative
to
central
nervous
system integrity.
The
scores
will
be
presented
in
conjunction
with
(not
in
place
of)
summaries
of
the
results
of
each
part
of
the medical
assessment
(i.e.,
medical, neurological,neuro-ophthalmological,
and psychiatric)
of
an individual
observer.
A
composite
score
will also be
offered
to
suggest
the
overall
level
of
observational credita-bility.
This
final
score
is
based
on
careful scrutiny, extrapolation, and
inter-
pretative
integration
of
all
the
findings
at
hand, as they
would
be
expected
to
influence
(in
a
highly multifactorial
way) any
reported observations.
The
nature and
extent
of
an
individual's abnormalities
will
thus
be
reflected
in
his creditability
score(s),
a
scale
for
which has been
set
up
as follows:
Degree
of
Impairment Creditability Score
none
95%
mild
75%
moderate
50%
severe
25%
extreme
5%The
scores
will be
variably useful, depending
on their
applicability
to
the
situation
in
question.
It
is
expected
that they will
be helpful
in
thescreening and selection
of
candidates
for
observational jobs
(i.e.,
predictive
evaluations).
They
will
usually be more reliable
as measures
of
creditability,
however,
when they are
part
of
a
retrospective evaluation
that is
being done on
an
individual
who
has already reported
a
particular event. This
is
because
theexaminer-scorer
is
able
to
avail himself
of
specific observational material onwhich
to
"zero
in"
and check
out,
including occassional clues
to
physical
and
psychological pathology.
In
those instances where there are different stories
from several individuals
who
report having witnessed
the same event,
the
value
of
the creditability scoring can be further demonstrated
for
sorting
out con-flicting data.
It
is
repleily
acknowledged
that
this scoring method
is
somewhat arbitrary.
Its
reliability and reproducibility
will
depend largely on the sophistication
and
the
abilities
of the
scorer.
It
is
essential that the
physician
doing these
studies have
1)
a
high-level working knowledge of the
four
specialties involved,
that
he
2)
be specifically well-informed
in the
pertinent interdisciplinary
material related
to
observational phenomena, and
that he
3)
be adept
in the
matter of investigating, synthesizing, interpreting, and finally applying theramifications
of his "pure" medical findings
to
observational situations.
It
is
further recommended
that
4)
he himself be thoroughly checked out as
a
creditable
observer, since this
proposed method assessing observers rests heavily
on thephysician's awn ability
to
make accurate observations and sound judgements.
It is
probably true that,
at
this point
in time, there are few men in
medicine
who are
adequately trained
to do this matispecialty
kind
of assess-
ment. This is
a
remediable situation, however, once the projected need
forsuch professional preparation has been recognized and established.