Documents / Official release

CIA-UAP-019, Australian Dept of Defense Scientific and Intel Aspects of the UFO Problem

Central Intelligence Agency · 1971 · 19 pages · text from the file's own layer

This document, released by the Central Intelligence Agency and held by the National Archives of Australia, is an Australian Department of Defence paper from about 1971 on the scientific and intelligence aspects of the UFO problem. It traces the history of US official handling of UFOs through Projects Sign, Grudge and Blue Book, the Robertson panel and the Condon report, and it argues that a covert programme and gravity research continued. It recommends that another Australian government department take over UFO investigation from the RAAF.

From the source:Release of 2026-06-12 Incident: 1971, Australia. Dated to 1971, an Australian review of the USAF Project Blue Book. This document was released by the National Archives of Australia.

  • p. 12 …tia.l allocation of $Jl) ,OOC later raised to $525,000. 19. The Colorado project became…
4.
4 its existe-nce. Public disl.rihut.ion vaa !ll~de, ho,.-ev{lr, of a so
ee.lled 11 summa.ry" 1-hich in fa.ct did not Sul"lmariso, nor scarcely
&lludo to the 19·17-52 dc.ta 1 but conccntra.tcd or. 1953-55 rcportin.;
which vas cle~rly designed to reduce the residual unknowns to nn
insi{:nificant number, no matter how senseless tho identification
became.
10. Vi t.hin U1u body of the dif fi cul t.-to-oh ta.in .re po'r l thei-e
il!I an intores~ing diagram. The product of the estimated obr.erv"r
relia.bil i ty and t.be rel)ort reliability be,ame the sighting
relinllility. Tht! ,percenlng!! of reporls that had to be register"'J
a.s t•unkno1.1n 11 (i.e. incapsble of being .,ye,. approximately identif i ,.-d
aa a. known object) increased as the sighting reliability impi.·o·:ed.
Conver5eJy, the percentage listed as "insufficient info~naLion"
d"creased with improving reliability.
~ighting No. of Uoknovn Insufficie111,
Relia.bili ty Reports (%) Informs.ti en
(,t;)
Poor 435 16.6 21.4
Doubtful 794 13.0 14.0
Good 757 24.8 J.6
Excellent 213 33.3 '1.2
11. Throughout the years of the UFO phc,nomenon, there has been
e. persistent for:n of official pronouncements ',/hich state thut th-,
percentage of unknnwn5 would bA redu~ed if more data were c~ailnble.
The tshove table contradicts that statement. Reports of excellent
reliability g1merally s tom from a.strono:nerE:, pilots, scientists,
surveyorn 1 mctcorolo;:ists, radar operators etc, complete with
instrumented valueR and Rccund,ely cllit.fdlt~d uc:counts. The
introduction o~ good raliablo reporting pr•vnnts the roady prosaic
int.eq>ri~tation, In all probability the overall average percentr.g!J
of llnkno..,ns ( 19. T~) would h :~.ve be ,m subs len I, ia l ly increased if thE.'
dita hnd been more reliablo.
12, Project BLUE BOOK ccmsul tants sta.ti s t:i cal ly tos ted the
unknovn object popula~ion to determine the likelihood tbat it wn3
similar to the popult\tion of identified objects and found tha.t the
probability was less than one in 1028 (i,e. using the American
~ational Archives of Australia NAA A13693, 3092/2/000

Cases discussed

About this file

Official release, from the pursue collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 19 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.