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CIA-UAP-015, Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14 (Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects)

Central Intelligence Agency · 312 pages · text from the file's own layer

This CIA archives copy, released in 2026, holds Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14 (Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects). The Air Technical Intelligence Center at Wright-Patterson Air Force Base issued it on 5 May 1955. The study reduced about 4,000 sighting reports from 1947 to 1952 to IBM punched cards, with 3,201 cases charted, and applied chi square tests to compare known and unknown sightings. It concludes that it is highly improbable the reports represent technological developments beyond present-day scientific knowledge.

From the source:Release of 2026-06-12 This is the USAF Project Blue Book with a CIA cover sheet stating the document is "Official Record Copy." With the exception of the handwritten note on the first page, the content of this document has been available on CIA's public website.

  • p. 78 …Apparently these are harder to identify. I (3} Shape IIn this case, there is a higher…
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I TABLE VII CHI SQUARE TEST OF KNOWNS VERSUS UNKNOWNS
ON THE BASIS OF LIGHT BRIGHTNESS
I Adjusted x2
Number of Number of Number of (K-n) 2
Light Brightness KNOWNS KNOWNS (K) UNKNOWNS (n) KI '
I Sunlight on mirror 47 11 14 0.82
Sunlight on aluminum 151 37 28 2. 19
Sunlight on plaster, 76 19 16 0.47
I stone, or soil
Brighter than moon 273 67 61 0.55
I Like moon or duller 68 17 22 1. 47
than moon
Not stated 1150 283 293 0.35
I Total 1765 434 434 5.85
I Degrees of freedom 5
I 5% 11. 1
1% 15. 1
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I 67
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Case file, from the pursue collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 312 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.