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This CIA archives copy, released in 2026, holds Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14 (Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects). The Air Technical Intelligence Center at Wright-Patterson Air Force Base issued it on 5 May 1955. The study reduced about 4,000 sighting reports from 1947 to 1952 to IBM punched cards, with 3,201 cases charted, and applied chi square tests to compare known and unknown sightings. It concludes that it is highly improbable the reports represent technological developments beyond present-day scientific knowledge.
From the source:Release of 2026-06-12 This is the USAF Project Blue Book with a CIA cover sheet stating the document is "Official Record Copy." With the exception of the handwritten note on the first page, the content of this document has been available on CIA's public website.
E"'ualion
0-S.IIDDII
1-Asbonomical
2-Aircraft
3-Lia,,tPh810m.
t.Birds
6-lnsuffic. Info.
7-Psydlolo!ical
I-Unknown
Total
M4l/ hM,E
Number Per Cent Number Per Cent
Evaluation Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doobtful
0-Balloon /} /) /J 17 /} /) /} /) i:J 17 /J {J ,?r: /J tJ
1-Astronomieal ..? /} 5 4U /) /J //ff /J 0 0 /J/J 171'.J
2-Aircrah :I, 0 ? fff.t. 0,tJ 2t. t. ? :1, 5 11.5 ~5.tJ
3-Liaht Phtmm. tJ I/ ,? /J.O /J /J /? 0 0 CJ /J l/47/J I".!,?
4-Birds /J I} /J /J /) rJ /) t?O /J 0 IJ IJ/J 11./J
5-Cloud~ Dus~ et~ /J tJ tJ o.o /JO l?.0 0 0 /J t?.eJ O.eJ
6-lnsuffic.lnfo. I? tJ 0 cJ,CJ /J /J tJ. t, 0 /J IJ '/470 /J. /J
7-Psychological /} tJ 0 o.o /J./} /JO /,} tJ tJ /J/) 17£}
1-Unkno"" :1, /) ~ 1f:6 /? /} 21.t, 2- 0 2, 2!rtJ /4n
9-0tller I} /} n 17. r, I)_/} /J 0 17 / I tJ.tl /2.5
Total 1 tJ '1 //?tJ.I. tJ.tJ IP/1, 5 .1 $' ~.ts J'15
Ji /J4-rtJA' r-A!
I Numbef Percent Number Per Cent
Evaluation Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Ootmtlul Total Certain Dooblful
0-Balloon I} I I /J.tJ ,f_ 7 '7.7 / /J I /f..J /J /)
I-Astronomical /J I y 115:4" '7.7 2.1./ fl /J :1, 29:t. /J /J
2-Aircraft ? I J 2?.I 77 .J~. / /J / ;f.J /J,O
3-LiehtPtlenom. /J IJ /} /J.C /JO /J/) /J tJ 17 £);; tJ 17
4-Birds /] I / ,1,/J ..,_ 7 -7.1 I) /) I? 40 120
S.Clouds, Oust, etc. ,/J /J 0 17,/J l'.)./J /10 /J 17 /7 cJo tJ. /J
6-tnsuffic.lnfa. I /J I '11 /J.t? ,1_1 /J /J /J l'7 /, O.tJ
1-Psychololical I) /J tJ // ✓? /7,/} ,-:J_t, /J tJ /} /J lj t? 0
8-Unknolll 1 0 _J' 2JI /20 n.1 .? 17 J' 1¢1.K eJ,O
9-0tlle! /) /J t? ~,o /J.O /J // /) (? /J I/J /J /J.O
Tolll fl ,/ /? t.f z J'o.K /,?,::7 '7 /J ,, 1.?t'-, IJ.0
176
lut.U
Nunler Percent
Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total
/J /J 5 .f!- '7 Z1 /. d.? F/9
/JO / 17 / !?./ /J /J 2.1
~,?,5 /2, /2, ,.2// 155 25:5 51.0
tJ.tJ /} / ,/ /JtJ 21 11
/J/J / /J I 2J /Jd :2./
/JO tJ ,:J d /JC? ao 0/J
ao .? 0 J 1.4" IJtJ L..1/
,2/J /J /7 0 /JO t'JtJ /J,eJ
'?,:;p /17 0 /CJ .2/3 tJ.O £/J'
,z.5 /1 /J /J tl.tJ /J,,., ao
la? .? .2.. 15 ,/7 II.I"./ :Jlf /r)(J.
A ✓ - A--
Nuntler Per Cent
Total certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total
;,/,.J /} I I l,1.t7 £d.t7 /J/J/J
fit /J :1,. /J /) tl ¢t7tJ d?r-
1//f I /7 I ftVJ t7.0 M.t7
/20 CJ tJ /J 17/J ao /J.O
cJ.O /J /7 /J /}// /Jt? /J /J
170 /,} 0 /J 117.0 IJ.O /J.O
/}/J / /J / !'1/J.o tJ.t) 1tJ. t)
n n /} 0 /} /J./J /J.O IJ.O
✓.a /J /7 0 ao tJ.O o.o
/) tl /} /) /J 11? I? /}. tl 170
liJtJ. :z. .f' 5 ,Wl/l /./)_ /l 11.&1
,4,,G057'
Number PerCml
Certain Ooubtfu Total Certain Doubtful
/ d 5 .2 I /,!,5
..1 .$ t, i?. ✓ M'
_;, z 5 ?,// /.:.s
0 / / I/. tJ .?.I
/J /J /J 1111,::? t?.t:J
/J 0 t? Cl./J /JtJ
ff /J 4' 11.5 cJ.O
.z tJ :Z f..3 /JO
f d ? 28'.I I?. t7
tJ /J ,,, /J,/J /J,tJ
2:2 /0 J':Z 1&9:7 .71.1
£let!G'~.,,,ee
Number Per Cent
Certain Ooubtfu Total Certain Doubtful
/ / .t f. ? L..1
/J ::? d lf..1 /,/...1
. ?' 5'. 5 '2.!}.(J /'l.3
0 0 /7 /J. tJ 17.0
/? /J /J tJ.o tJ.0
/J 0 0 0.0 1'7.0
/7 t? /J /J.O /J. tJ
0 tJ 0 tJ.cJ /J.O
2- /} :z. 1.J,.J /J. tl
.2.. /J :z. lf.:J /J. 0
/cJ 5 15 l/./.7 .f.!.$
Total
15'.t.
/,0
15.7
,?/
/?/1
/J 17
11.,
i.S
2$'./
/J. 0
/Cl().
Tot~
I.?.~
:Jt.. t
J.f.3
0.0
/J.O
170
otJ
!/J.O
/J..1
1.lJ
lt7tJ.
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I Case file, from the pursue collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 312 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.