Documents / Case file
This CIA archives copy, released in 2026, holds Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14 (Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects). The Air Technical Intelligence Center at Wright-Patterson Air Force Base issued it on 5 May 1955. The study reduced about 4,000 sighting reports from 1947 to 1952 to IBM punched cards, with 3,201 cases charted, and applied chi square tests to compare known and unknown sightings. It concludes that it is highly improbable the reports represent technological developments beyond present-day scientific knowledge.
From the source:Release of 2026-06-12 This is the USAF Project Blue Book with a CIA cover sheet stating the document is "Official Record Copy." With the exception of the handwritten note on the first page, the content of this document has been available on CIA's public website.
“Hill”1 page
fl/IL.Ii II (t Et/At.. tiII T/tJdt t7F .4LL
1'1!>?.
)'" j£CC,YJ?5 Al/? ,i~S5 /'-It? 5c.CIJNP.f
I Jlimber Per Cent Number PerCenl
Enluabon Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful, Total ~ertain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total
:0.-Bllloon I .fl 6 0 'i './017-lf J /J 7 f.1 .n t,. 3
l•Astmnom1cal c/11 ? {) 0 q.O IJ.Q o.o
6-lnsuftit. Mio. /.I /) ii lf'i 0. 0 i lj.t; ;; (} 7 ,.1 0.(/ ,.2
1-l'sydlolopc:al ~ (l :I. D g 0 0 I O I? r; 0 0 0 p O.IJ o. 0
1-Unlulo• ~ ~ t> H 10 6 O 0 10.t, 1'1 /) I 'I 17 0 Q(I 17. p
~Olhes -S-/1,f/,tt/lTF!. ~-3/J M/NUT,t:J
I Number Per Cent Number Per Cent
i Evaluahon Certain Doubtful Total Certain • Doubtful. Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain O...blful Total
!o.e.i1oon //?, 3,: 82 n.7 H n, L? /,~ 117 /{.g 12.'l. 29,(
Jt-Astronom,eal l/ 'i' I"{ I.I V 3. 3 ;z3 I~ 38 t2. 'I. I f0.3
12-Aircrah 51 t;h //3 15.7 If II 3/./ 7;, ti I 73 N, I/./ l'/.7
!l-Li&fll Ph010m. r: 3 'f 17 o.8 -;;.s /J 6 I'/ 3-5 U, 5. I
:4-Buds I r I 0-3 r.. 0 o. 3 JJ 0 0 0.0 O.o 0.0
!Hloud~ Dus\ ,t~ I :, 9 o-J /. f ~-1 '? .2. S' o.8 o. 5 /. 3
:s-1nsuffic.lnfo. / fj 0 I fJ J'. 0 Q. 0 s.o 70 0 2'1 7.B o. 0 7.S
;7-Psycholoaical {/ 3 7 II 0-'I I• 1 7 0 7 l'f o. 0 /.f
l~IJnkno.., (O ( (? JO I 21.a o.o ne 77 /J 77 103 o. 0 2P.B
19-0lhei 1;z. 17 12, 3.3 0.0 J. 3 II J./
" 3.0 /. I I/. I
I
Tot,I ;m //j 113 Cf.'/ 31/ 1 /PD. 'JS1 // 3 J7tJ C'l.5 30.5 I 00.
156
//-3tJ 5£.C.IJNOJ
Nu- Per Cent
ertain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total
; q I 'f n if. 'f u
,:J.6
" 35 /'I/ If.If 1,0
'I, 33 68 13.'/ 17 8 3t.1
I I • O 5 o. 5' /. 0
I tJ I 0 S o.o o.s
/,J ::i. ~ 0.0 J./ I/
/( 0 II S.'l ().0 'S.'f
s 2 7 :n /. I 3.B
3'3 0 3 l /7.8 0.0 17g
IL [ /'). u f.1 t.~
,21 i1 /'!5 /,fl/ Jlf.t IO P
tJVe'K 3t:J M//VPTE-'
Nuntier Per Cent
Gertain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total
,2., 11 39 11./.lf (.'f )0'6
;J.7 I tJ 41 l'l.'I 7 S ~,,
// 'l 20 f.'f 1./.U 10.7
I ;z. 3 o. 5 /./ /.I,
'! 0 3 I. I, o. 0 u
/J 0 If '),/ o.o -;.J
Q 0 u 'f.'3 O.P 'f.3
~ I -5 '}./ o.5 2.,
C2 0 S':l 'JB.3 0.0 n.1
'l 1 II 't.3 /.{, ..r.r
,11-, 4/ th 79.I J./.1 JIN.
"31- ,5~ 5ectPIIPS
Number Per Cent
Certain Dwblful Total Certain Doubtful
i} /1 I 'I 5.7 7 'l
It? ~ I 5 7./ -3.1;
~~ ;J.L, If 'f '7. I ltf. 3
IJ ;;2. 'l o. 0 /. 'r
'i I ,t/ :i ./ o. 7
~ 0 p a. o o.o
II 0 ii 7 'I o.P
Z_ 0 z I. /.f O.P
J/.r. 0 If P '.18.6 0. D
I 1 3 o. 7 I.I/
'I 'I If I /tf!) 70.7 29, 3
;!&r Sr,,,T;:P
Number Per Call
Certain Doubtfu Total Certain Dwbllul
3s- 7 S-7 84 f.3
t,. 16 ,1 //. 3 3-8
ii~ $/; 81.f /J.S 8.7
.1 I 'f 0-7 0.2
It 0 If /.0 o. tJ
.1 I 4- o.7 0. 2
7/ IJ 71 17.I OP
~ I '3 0 S 0.2
1,11: tJ 10, -.zr.s 0.D
/q I 2 0 't.6 0. ']
13~ 7!' IJ!/b 91.2 li-9
Toi~
/3.f.
!U. 7
31.'I
/. If
7.!J
o.o
7. f
/.',
28.&
7./
JOO.
Total
13. 7
IS, I
:J().1
Q 'I
I.P
P.'I
t]. I
o. 7
'H-5
'1.8
/QQ.
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I Case file, from the pursue collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 312 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.