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CIA-UAP-015, Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14 (Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects)

Central Intelligence Agency · 312 pages · text from the file's own layer

This CIA archives copy, released in 2026, holds Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14 (Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects). The Air Technical Intelligence Center at Wright-Patterson Air Force Base issued it on 5 May 1955. The study reduced about 4,000 sighting reports from 1947 to 1952 to IBM punched cards, with 3,201 cases charted, and applied chi square tests to compare known and unknown sightings. It concludes that it is highly improbable the reports represent technological developments beyond present-day scientific knowledge.

From the source:Release of 2026-06-12 This is the USAF Project Blue Book with a CIA cover sheet stating the document is "Official Record Copy." With the exception of the handwritten note on the first page, the content of this document has been available on CIA's public website.

I
ICoding System and Work Sheet
IThe reduction of non-numerical data to numerical form is mandatory
in the machine handling of data. Thus, the selection of the IBM punched
card system for analysis of data forced the adoption of a master coding Iplan. Since it was impracticable to transfer detailed data of a~ exact
nature from the questionnaire to the IBM card, an intermediate transfer Iform, coordinated with the master code, was necessary.
The master coding plan was evolved during the early stages of the Ipreli~inary analysis of data, and was reviewed by the panel of consultants
before use. It was recognized that this system of coding would be the
heart of the analysis, that is, the completeness of the facility for trans Ilation of data could make or break the study. Accordingly, every conceiv
able factor that might influence the identification of unidentified aerial Iobjects was included, together with a wide range of variations within each
factor. The original coding system (with minor corrections) was used
throughout the translation of the original data with marked success. A copy Iof this system, called CODES, is enclosed as Exhibit IH, Appendix B.
ITo facilitate the preparation of the punched-card abstract, an inter
mediate form called the WORK SHEET (later, the CARD BIBLE) was
developed. Referenced to both the data from the questionnaire and the sys Item of report identification, the WORK SHEET permitted an orderly
transcription of data simultaneously by several people. In conjunction
with the CODES, the WORK SHEET was used during the reduction of the Ioriginal data to code form necessary for transfer to punched cards. A
sample is included as Exhibit BS, Appendix B. I
After the analysis was under way, it became apparent that the me
chanics of machine processing could be improved by incorporating in the IIBM card system group classifications of certain factors requiring more
than one column for discrete expression. In addition, the inclusion of
certain data relating to the evaluation and bearing of the sun with respect Ito the observer was considered necessary. Finally, a critical examination
of certain segments of the data indicated the need for the definition of a Inew factor relating to the maneuvers of the object or objects sighted.
Prior to the start of the analytical study, it had been assumed that a com
bination of stated factors would, by inference, define the maneuver pattern. I
All these additions have been incorporated in a revised set of CODES
Iand CARD BIBLE that are illustrated as Exhibits B6 and B7, Appendix B.
However, at the time that the maneuver factor was determined to be criti
cal, it was physically impracticable to make the required definitions and Ire-evaluate the original data. Therefore, no code for maneuverability has
been included in the CODES, CARD BIBLE, or IBM cards.
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Case file, from the pursue collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 312 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.