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This CIA archives copy, released in 2026, holds Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14 (Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects). The Air Technical Intelligence Center at Wright-Patterson Air Force Base issued it on 5 May 1955. The study reduced about 4,000 sighting reports from 1947 to 1952 to IBM punched cards, with 3,201 cases charted, and applied chi square tests to compare known and unknown sightings. It concludes that it is highly improbable the reports represent technological developments beyond present-day scientific knowledge.
From the source:Release of 2026-06-12 This is the USAF Project Blue Book with a CIA cover sheet stating the document is "Official Record Copy." With the exception of the handwritten note on the first page, the content of this document has been available on CIA's public website.
“Roe”1 page
I ✓ANVA/?Y F.&B'RtlARY
! r.imber Per Cent Number Per Cent
EYlluahon Cfflain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful: Total ertain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total
!O-Billoon
..·I-Astronomical
!2-A1rcr,fl v-- Y'
3-Li&f'II Phenom. \ ... \
t-Birds ,--.'{' ....'lolical .\. I ~
II-Unknown ,- '
9-0the,
,_
Total
:
i
--- - . -
,,t-/AY Tt,vr
I Number Per Cent Number Percent
Evaluation Certain; Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certaiil Doubtful Total Certain OoubtM Tot~
jO-B~loon I
I D I 77 o. 0 7-7
: l•Astmnom1cal 0 I I 0.0 7,J 7. 7
!2-Aucraft 1 ? 0 '.Z !fl/ O.o !H
:3-Liatit Phtmm. '\ 0 0 0 l.C 0.0 0. 0
4-Buds I .'?'- " ;J O tl.fl IJ.0 ~-0
:5-c1ouds, Dus~ etc. i 'Y. ,Q 0 0 c.o o., t?.O
!6-lnsuffic.lnlo. i ·- 3 I) 3 23} (J,[) )3.1
;1-Psychoto11cal ! ' \J I .0 I 77 (I.I) 77
llrUnknown '" 'I 0 4 3q f tJ.[) 30 g
19-0ther I 0 I 7.7 {).fl 7 7
I
Total 17. I /'J 9J,3 n NO,
r-- 5FPr..,...~=EP o,,..~,, P&C",Q
I Numbet' Per Cent Number Per Cent
Evaluation Certain Doubtful Total Crrtain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Ooobtful Total
0-~toon 0 0 0 O0 o. (} o. 0 0 /) 0 o.o o.a o.o
l•AstRJnomial I 0 I 2o.0 u ':100 I 1 3 16.] 13.J so 0
2•Aimaft 0 0 (j o. 11 o. 0 o.o 0 0 0 0.() o.o 0.0
Hitt,11'11...._ 0 0 0 b. p o. 0 DO 0 0 0 o. 0 0.0 oo
4-Birds 0 0 0 0 Q o.u u.o d (j 0 o.o ().Q 0.0
Hloud~Ou•~•k I) 0 /) I)/, 0. 0 o.o 0 () 0 OfJ o.o o.o
&-lnsuffic.lnlo. I 0 I 'NO tJ.o 20 O 0 {' 0 o.o /',I,) Q.P
7-Psycllolocical I /; I ;/o.o fJ.O ,uo I 0 I It. 7 /J,0 1,.1
11-Unkno... 2 0 1_ 'lo o tJ.f, 4o.o ~ () ~ 333 t'.v 3JJ
!I-Other 0 0 0 O.;; a, o /),0 0 0 0 0.Q Q. p /).(J
Total s 0 5 Nie f.o IP(} 'f L ~ en 33.3 /QO
124
dy MtJ,vr,1 t:?P
#.ARC#
Number Per Cent
certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain
'/.... \ .
~
,:\'
y
I'...
'J
-
Jl/,t.Y
Hunter Per Cent
ertain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain
t 0
' !H u IS.0 0
1 3 5' u 1.5 /').{ r
0 2 ~ u r.o r. o 0
I 0 I 1s 0,) 2.5 0
(} IJ 0 oo 0.0 (J. 0 /)
0 0 0 0.0 0. 0 P.O /)
t /) C /5. O O,P If. o 2
0 'l z o.o 1." Ii- 0 (}
g 0 g ~o.o ,?.,? w.o C
10 0 ;P 75.0 o.o 2>.0 0
33 7 lfO f:l.S /75 /(JO. 'I
_,¼ V ~ - =
Number Per Cent
Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain
0 (l 0 (/0 o.o 0,1 0
I I ~ 33.3 JJ.3 66, 7
n n 0 o.o 0.0 O.Q ()
I () I 11-3 04 n3 0
tl tJ I) M (),() /J,t I)
~ /) /7 CIO t'/,/J /J.O 0
0 0 () ,?/, (;).(;) ,'./l
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0 I,) () ~, /)/') t:i,I) I)
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2 r 3 f.t.7 -3:!J /IQ. 2
APR/£-
Number Per Cent
Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful
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,t/,,,,._ vsr
Number PerC81t
Doubtfu Total Certain Doubtful
() 0 tJ.O 0.0
I ':! /d q !PP
0 0 a.o 11/l
0 0 b.b /J.O
,1 0 00 A()
0 0 /).() 0.(/
0 '.I -:/0.D t),/)
0 0 0.0 1.0
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0 0 o.lJ Ill
I 10 rn /Q.O
.Psc,=MA~=
Number PerCmt
Doubtfu Total Certain Doubtful
0 0 0.D q,p
0 '.I UOJ) 0.0
0 0 /J.O (l.Q
0 0 o.o M
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0 L) ,M P.CI
0 ~ o.o /).()
0 (J (),0 ().()
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(} 0 /?.,J /).()
0 1 /PP.O o.o
Total
Total
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Total
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I Case file, from the pursue collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 312 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.