Documents / Report

Department of the Air Force Report, 1996

U.S. Department of War · 1996-09-10 · 181 pages · text from the file's own layer

This final report, dated September 10, 1996, was prepared by the Research Triangle Institute for the Department of the Air Force's 45th and 30th Space Wing safety offices. Titled Modeling Unlikely Space-Booster Failures in Risk Calculations, it shows how rare Mode-5 failures, in which a rocket veers well off its intended flight line, are modeled in the DAMP risk-analysis program. An appendix lists Atlas, Delta, Titan and Thor launch and failure histories through August 1996.

From the source:Release of 2026-05-08 Incident: 9/10/96, N/A. This report describes the Modeling of Unlikely Space-Booster Failures in Risk Calculations, documenting historical launch failure modes and recommending corrective actions to address them using novel modelling techniques.

  • p. 88 …Vehicle loses control at or shortly after liftoff, with all flight directions equally likely. Destruct is…
  • p. 106 …121 (8) Missiles/Space Vehicle Files, 45th Space Wing, Wing Safety, Mission Flight Control and Analysis…
  • p. 111 …Such behavior did not necessarily prevent the attainment of some, or even all, mission objectives. 50…
  • p. 131 …Due to excess speed, spacecraft passed 22,000 miles in front of moon, and primary mission…
  • p. 132 …Although Atlas performance was satisfactory, the mission was apparently a failure. No other data available. 134…
  • p. 133 …A flight-control malfunction occurred at about 15 seconds at the start of the pitch program…
  • p. 137 …Vehicle became unstable when B2 pitch control was lost at 121 seconds. Loss of pitch control…
  • p. 138 …The missile then lost attitude control, executing a hard yaw rate tum throughout and beyond the…
  • p. 139 …of the rate gyro or an electrical failure in the pitch channel of the flight control…
  • p. 140 caused yaw and roll rates that the flight control system could not correct. As a result…
  • p. 151 …Attitude control lost during second stage coast period. Third stage spun up, but did not fire…
  • p. 153 …One solid-rocket motor carried to MECO, but mission was still a complete success. 102. SMS…
  • p. 169 …Missile tumbled out of control at 130 seconds, then broke up. 104. IHA (65-210), 1…
  • p. 170 …Nominal mission through transtage second burn shutdown. Attitude control system engine failed to shutdown following vernier…
  • p. 171 …However, satellite propulsion system malfunctioned putting satellite in uncontrollable position with no possibility of restoring mission…
  • p. 172 …control until propellant depletion. Trajectory inaccuracies were compensated for during Stage-2 burn, and the mission…
  • p. 180 …Missiles/Space Vehicle Files, 45th Space Wing, Wing Safety, Mission Flight Control and Analysis (SEO), 1957…
There are other ways to show how the value chosen for A affects the Mode-5 impact
density function For five values of A, the plots in Figure 33 show the percentages* of
Atlas IIAS impacts that lie between the flight line and any radial line through the launch
point that makes an angle 8 with respect to the flight line. If A = 3.0, it can be seen that
approximately 46% of all Mode-5 impacts lie between 0° and 20°. If A is 4.0, the percentage
of impacts between 0° and 20° increases to about 64%.
100 ..J..-.---
..;,,-.......r ..: ......r.........90 :.-,
80
70
60
C-(I)
e 50
(I) ,f
'
! / ! 1 !Data jfor Atl. s IIA~
a.. .... ,'.j..............,r ............. ;............;...............;.............. !...............i...............;............40 : / i ' : : 8 = 1 000 i
30 /J/ I ! I j i-~=1-~
, , , - - - = 2.u
20 r·•,l-r•····· ••••••••••••••••••••••••• • •••••••••••••••••••••••• -----~ =·3.()··········
/ 1 : ; ; . , --- A= 4.()
10 O
/ 1 r I r r= 5·~
0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140· 160 180
Theta (deg)
Figure 33. Percentage of Impacts Between Flight Line and Any Radial
············~ ·············· l
: ---:
...... -t-/.;
* The Mode-5 impact density function must be integrated numerically to arrive at the values plotted in
Figure 33. Since the quantity R that appears in the density function is trajectory dependent,
somewhat different curves would be obtained for other trajectories and vehicles.
9/10/96 87 RTI

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Report, from the pursue collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 181 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.