Documents / Report
This final report, dated September 10, 1996, was prepared by the Research Triangle Institute for the Department of the Air Force's 45th and 30th Space Wing safety offices. Titled Modeling Unlikely Space-Booster Failures in Risk Calculations, it shows how rare Mode-5 failures, in which a rocket veers well off its intended flight line, are modeled in the DAMP risk-analysis program. An appendix lists Atlas, Delta, Titan and Thor launch and failure histories through August 1996.
From the source:Release of 2026-05-08 Incident: 9/10/96, N/A. This report describes the Modeling of Unlikely Space-Booster Failures in Risk Calculations, documenting historical launch failure modes and recommending corrective actions to address them using novel modelling techniques.
Table 34. Effect on £-Ratio of Varving Mode-5 Constant A (B = 1000) - Part 2 R= 10run R=25nm 180-ct> A=2.5 A=3.0 A=3.5 A=4.0 A=2.5 A=3:o A=3.5 A=4.0 0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 5 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 10 1.5 1.7 1.8 2.0 1.5 1.7 1.8 2.0 15 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.8 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.8 20 2.3 2.8 3.4 4.0 2.3 2.8 3.4 4.0 25 2.8 3.6 4.6 5.7 2.9 3.7 4.6 5.7 30 3.4 4.7 6.2 8.1 3.6 4.8 6.2 8.1 35 4.1 6.0 8.4 11.5 4.4 6.1 8.4 11.5 40 4.9 7.7 11.3 16.2 5.3 7.9 11.4 16.3 45 5.8 9.8 15.3 23.0 6.5 10.2 15.5 23.1 50 6.8 12.4 20.5 32A 7.9 13.2 20.9 32.7 55 8.0 15.7 21.5· 45.8 9.6 16.9 28.3 46.2 60 9.3 19.7 36.7 64.5 11.5 21.6 38.1 65.4 65 10.7 24.4 48.8 90.6 13.7 27.5 51.2 92.3 70 12.1 29.9 64.3 126.7 16.2 34.8 68.7 130.2 75 13.5 36.3 84.1 176.4 19.0 43.8 91.7 183.1 80 15.0 43.4 108.6 243.9 22.1 54.5 121.8 256.9 85 16.4 51.1 138.4 333.9 25.4 67.3 160.6 358.9 90 17.8 59.1 173.5 451.4 28.8 82.2 209.9 498.3 95 19.0 67.3 213.3 600.5 32.4 98.9 271.3 686.6 100 20.1 75.3 256.8 782.9 35.9 117.3 345.7 936.0 105 21.2 82.9 302.1 996.3 39.4 137.0 433.3 1258.3 110 22.1 89.8 347.2 1233.5 42.7 157.2 532.8 1662.1 115 22.9 96.0 390.2 1482.5 45.9 177.4 641.3 2148.4 120 23.5 101.4 429.4 1728.6 48.7 196.9 754.5 2707.0 125 24.1 106.0 463.6 1957.9 51.3 215.0 867.2 3315.0 130 24.6 109.9 492.6 2159.9 53.5 231.5 974.6 3939.0 135 25.0 113.0 516.4 2329.5 55.5 245.9 1072.3 4542.1 . 140 25.3 115.5 535.5 2466.0 57.2 258.3 1158.0 5092.0 145 25.6 117.6 550.4 2572.4 58.6 268.8 1230.3 5567.4 150 25.8 119.2 562.0 2653.1 59.9 277.4 1289.7 5959.9 155 26.0 120.5 570.8 2713.1 60.9 284.5 1337.3 6271.7 160 26.1 121.5 577.5 2757.1 61.7 290.1 1374.6 6512.1 165 26.3 122.2 582.5 2789.0 62.4 294.6 1403.5 6693.0 170 26.4 122.8 586.3 2812.0 63.0 298.2 1425.6 6826.7 175 26.4 123.3 589.1 2828.4 63.4 301.0 1442.3 6924.4 180 26.5 123.7 591.2 2840.1 63.8 303.2 1454.9 6994.9 9/10/% 83 RTI
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Report, from the pursue collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 181 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.