Department of the Air Force Report, 1996

U.S. Department of War · 1996-09-10 · 181 pages · text from the file's own layer

This final report, dated September 10, 1996, was prepared by the Research Triangle Institute for the Department of the Air Force's 45th and 30th Space Wing safety offices. Titled Modeling Unlikely Space-Booster Failures in Risk Calculations, it shows how rare Mode-5 failures, in which a rocket veers well off its intended flight line, are modeled in the DAMP risk-analysis program. An appendix lists Atlas, Delta, Titan and Thor launch and failure histories through August 1996.

From the source:Release of 2026-05-08 Incident: 9/10/96, N/A. This report describes the Modeling of Unlikely Space-Booster Failures in Risk Calculations, documenting historical launch failure modes and recommending corrective actions to address them using novel modelling techniques.

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“Hamilton”4 pages

p. 22 …in a draft report by Booz• Allen & Hamilton, Inc.141 prepared in 1992 for the Air…
p. 106 …Part 1 - Launch Vehicle Projected Success Rate Analysis", Draft prepared by Booz•Allen & Hamilton, Inc. 19…
p. 109 …In determining which to include, RTI has relied entirely on the Booz•Allen & Hamilton report'41…
p. 180 …Part 1 - Launch Vehicle Projected Success Rate Analysis", Draft, Booz•Allen & Hamilton, Inc., 19 February 1992…

Table 33. Effect on £-Ratio of Varvimz Mode~5 Constant A (B = 1000) - Part 1
• R=lnm R=5nm
A=3.0 A=3.5 A=4.0A=2.5
1.0
A=4.0A=3.5A=2.5 A=3.0180-cl>
1.0
1.4
1.01.01.01.01.0 1.00
1.4
2.0
1.31.21.41.31.31.25
1.8
15
1.71.52.01.81.610 1.3
2.8
20
2.52.22.8 1.82.0 2.41.5
4.0
5.7
3.42.82.24.02.5 3.31.7
4.6
30
2.6 3.65.64.33.11.925
8.1
11.4
6.14.53.17.95.82.1 3.7
8.3
40
3.7 5.811.17.62.3 4.535
16.1
45
11.17.34.315.55.3 9.82.5
22.8
50
14.99.24.921.512.66.22.6
32.1
45.1
11.4 19.95.77.0 15.9 29.52.8
26.3
60
14.16.440.219.77.92.955
63.1
65
34.717.17.224.0 53.88.73.0
87.8
70
45.220.67.970.728.59.53.1
121.4
75
58.224.38.633.1 91.010.23.2
166.3
80
73.828.59.337.6 113.910.83.3
224.8
85
92.132.510.0138.611.3 41.83.3
299.2
390.1
112.636.510.5163.645.511.73.4
134.7
4%.7
40.411.1187.448.712.13.490
157.4
100
44.111.551.4 208.912.33.495
615.2
105
179.947.311.9227.253.512.63.5
739.7
110
200.950.212.3242.255.212.73.5
862.9
115
219.952.712.5254.156.512.93.5
977.7
120
54.7 236.412.8263.157.613.03.5
1079.0
125
250.256.413.0270.058.313.13.5
1164.0
130
261.457.813.2275.058.913.23.5
1232.6
135
270.458.913.3278.659.413.23.5
1286.0
140
277.459.813.4281.259.73.6 13.3
1326.5
145
282.860.513.5283.159.93.6 13.3
286.9 1356.7
150
61.113.6284.513.3 60.13.6
290.0 1378.8
155
61.513.6285.413.3 60.23.6
292.3 1394.8
•62.1
61.813.7286.160.313.33.6
294.1 1406.3
165
13.7286.660.43.6 13.4160
295.4 1414.6
170
62.313.7286.960.513.43.6
2%.3 1420.5
175
62.4287.2 13.860.53.6 13.4
297.0 1424.7
297.6. 1427.6
62.613.8287.360.513.43.6
62.613.8287.560.513.4180 3.6
RTI9/10/96 82

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Report, from the pursue collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 181 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.