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Department of the Air Force Report, 1996

U.S. Department of War · 1996-09-10 · 181 pages · text from the file's own layer

This final report, dated September 10, 1996, was prepared by the Research Triangle Institute for the Department of the Air Force's 45th and 30th Space Wing safety offices. Titled Modeling Unlikely Space-Booster Failures in Risk Calculations, it shows how rare Mode-5 failures, in which a rocket veers well off its intended flight line, are modeled in the DAMP risk-analysis program. An appendix lists Atlas, Delta, Titan and Thor launch and failure histories through August 1996.

From the source:Release of 2026-05-08 Incident: 9/10/96, N/A. This report describes the Modeling of Unlikely Space-Booster Failures in Risk Calculations, documenting historical launch failure modes and recommending corrective actions to address them using novel modelling techniques.

  • p. 88 …Vehicle loses control at or shortly after liftoff, with all flight directions equally likely. Destruct is…
  • p. 106 …121 (8) Missiles/Space Vehicle Files, 45th Space Wing, Wing Safety, Mission Flight Control and Analysis…
  • p. 111 …Such behavior did not necessarily prevent the attainment of some, or even all, mission objectives. 50…
  • p. 131 …Due to excess speed, spacecraft passed 22,000 miles in front of moon, and primary mission…
  • p. 132 …Although Atlas performance was satisfactory, the mission was apparently a failure. No other data available. 134…
  • p. 133 …A flight-control malfunction occurred at about 15 seconds at the start of the pitch program…
  • p. 137 …Vehicle became unstable when B2 pitch control was lost at 121 seconds. Loss of pitch control…
  • p. 138 …The missile then lost attitude control, executing a hard yaw rate tum throughout and beyond the…
  • p. 139 …of the rate gyro or an electrical failure in the pitch channel of the flight control…
  • p. 140 caused yaw and roll rates that the flight control system could not correct. As a result…
  • p. 151 …Attitude control lost during second stage coast period. Third stage spun up, but did not fire…
  • p. 153 …One solid-rocket motor carried to MECO, but mission was still a complete success. 102. SMS…
  • p. 169 …Missile tumbled out of control at 130 seconds, then broke up. 104. IHA (65-210), 1…
  • p. 170 …Nominal mission through transtage second burn shutdown. Attitude control system engine failed to shutdown following vernier…
  • p. 171 …However, satellite propulsion system malfunctioned putting satellite in uncontrollable position with no possibility of restoring mission…
  • p. 172 …control until propellant depletion. Trajectory inaccuracies were compensated for during Stage-2 burn, and the mission…
  • p. 180 …Missiles/Space Vehicle Files, 45th Space Wing, Wing Safety, Mission Flight Control and Analysis (SEO), 1957…
responses begin at vehicle pitch-over or programming for vertically-launched
missiles, and at liftoff for those not launched vertically.
Mode 6: Unlike impacts from response Modes 1 through 5, Mode-6 impacts result
from normal flights and normal impacts of separated stages and components.
Jettisoned components are assumed to be non-explosive. For each impacting stage
or component, a mean point of impact and bivariate-normal impact dispersions in
downrange and crossrange components .are assumed. The impact dispersions
include the effects of variations in vehicle performance, drag uncertainties, and
winds.
Of the five failure-response modes, only Mode 5 is modeled to- allow for the possibility
of failure of the flight termination system, since vehicles experiencing other failure
responses tend to impact within the impact limit lines. In DAMP, risk computations for
Modes 2 through 4 are based on the assumption that the flight termination system is
successfully employed when required. Failure responses originally classified as
Mode 2, 3, or 4 may be reclassified as Mode 5 if the flight termination system fails or
subsequent vehicle performance does not conform with the original response-mode
definition. Risks associated with vehicle failure responses accompanied by a failure of
the flight termination system are assumed to be adequately modeled in DAMP" by
Mode 5. •
The five failure-response modes modeled in DAMP are sufficient to account for all
anomalous impacts in the estimation of risks. However, some vehicle failures and
anomalous behaviors have an effect on mission success without increasing risks to
people and property on the ground. These behaviors have been assigned Mode NA
(not applicable) in the response-mode column of the launch-history tables in
Appendix D.
9/10/96 80 RTI

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Report, from the pursue collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 181 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.