Documents / Report
This final report, dated September 10, 1996, was prepared by the Research Triangle Institute for the Department of the Air Force's 45th and 30th Space Wing safety offices. Titled Modeling Unlikely Space-Booster Failures in Risk Calculations, it shows how rare Mode-5 failures, in which a rocket veers well off its intended flight line, are modeled in the DAMP risk-analysis program. An appendix lists Atlas, Delta, Titan and Thor launch and failure histories through August 1996.
From the source:Release of 2026-05-08 Incident: 9/10/96, N/A. This report describes the Modeling of Unlikely Space-Booster Failures in Risk Calculations, documenting historical launch failure modes and recommending corrective actions to address them using novel modelling techniques.
“Titan II”13 pages
References 1. Montgomery, R. M., and Ward, J. A., "Computations of Hit Probabilities From Launch-Vehicle Debris", RTI/4666/02F, September 19, 1990. 2. Eastern Test Range Directorate of Safety Post-Test Report, Test Dl000, 18 June 1991. 3. Ward, James A., "Baseline Launch-Area Risks for Atlas and Delta Launches", RTI/5180/60/40F, September 30, 1995. 4. 11Spacelift Effective Capacity: Part 1 - Launch Vehicle Projected Success Rate Analysis", Draft, Booz•Allen & Hamilton, Inc., 19 February 1992, prepared for the Air Force Space Command Launch Services Office. 5. "Launch Options for the Future: Special Report", Office of Technology Assessment, July 1988. 6. Silke, Kevin, 11Reliability Growth Model Overview", General Dynamics Reliability Bulletin 92-02. 7. "Eastern Range Launches, 1950 - 1954, Chronological Summary'', 45th Space Wing History Office. 8. "Eastern Range Launches, Chronological Summary", 45th Space Wing History Office, Extension updating the launch summary through 30 December 1995. 9. "Vandenberg AFB Launch Summary'', Headquarters 30th Space Wing, Office of History, Launch Chronology, 1958 - 1995. 10. Isakowitz, Steven J., (updated by Jeff Samella), International Reference Guide to Space Launch Systems, Second Edition, published and distributed by AIAA in 1995. 11. Smith, O. G., "Launch Systems for Manned Spacecraft'', Draft, July 23, 1991. 12. "Comparison of Orbit Parameters - Table l", prepared by McDonnell Douglas Space Systems Company, Delta launches through 4 Nov 95. 13. Missiles/Space Vehicle Files, 45th Space Wing, Wing Safety, Mission Flight Control and Analysis (SEO), 1957 through 1995. 14. Missile Launch Operations Logs, 30th Space Wing, copies provided via ACT A, Inc., (Mr. James Baeker), 1963 through 1995. 9/10/96 171 RTI
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Report, from the pursue collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 181 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.