Documents / Report
This is Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14, "Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects," Project No. 10073, dated 5 May 1955. The study reduced about 4,000 sighting reports received by the U.S. Air Force between June 1947 and December 1952 to IBM punched cards and analyzed them statistically, including chi square tests comparing knowns with unknowns. It concludes that the reports very probably do not represent technological developments beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced physical evidence.
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Emotion 0-Balloon I-Astmoaial 2-Aircraft 3-Ltftlt Photon. 4-Bircts S-Clouds, Dust, e t c 6-lnaflic. kik. 7-Psyd»k)|idl 8-Unknowi 9-Othe. Total jtf/VVfigl/ Number Certain / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 / 2s Doubtful p / 0 0 ^ 0 0 0 0 0 / Total / / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 PerCent Certain 3fj 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 333 U..7 Doubtful 0.0 00 00 0O 00 00 00 0-0 (20 Total # 3 O0 00 00 0r? # 0 33.3 /a?. (timber ;ertain / / 0 0 O 0 0 o 2 Doubtful 0 0 0 0 a 0 0 o Total / / 0 0 0 0 0 0 2, PerCent Certain 50.0 £00 0.0 0.0 /?0 0.0 0O 0-0 0.0 00 /0G0 Doubtful 0.0 0.0 00 0.0 00 0.0 0.0 /?-0 0 0 Total £&£. 0.0 &0 0 0 00 0-0 0O 0.0 00 /00. /U'/}££(/ Number ;ertain 0 0 0 0 0 / 4/ Doubtful 0 0 0 O $ 0 P 0 0 Total 2 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 / 0 Per Cent Certain S0.0 00 0.0 0.0 00 0.0 0.0 2S.O 0.0 /09.6 Doubtful 0-0 00 00 0.0 00 0.0 00 00 00 Total $0.0 2S.0 0-0 00 OP 0.0 00 00 fc.0 0-0 /CO, /}/>*/£- Number Certain 0 0 0 0 / 0 0 f Doubtful 0 0 / 0 0 0 0 0 a 0 l_ Total 3 f 0 / Z f Percent Certain &? 22.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 00 / / • / 0.0 22. Z 00 &.? Doubtful 0-0 / / • / 0.0 0.O 00 0O 0.0 0.0 /// Total 333 22.2 / / • / 0.0 00 00 /// 0.0 22.2 0.0 Evaluatnn OBalloM 1-AstmnMicjl 2-Airenft 3-Lifht Pfiem». 4-Binh 5-Clouds, Dust, etc 6-lnsuffic. kilo. 7-Psycnological B-Unknon 9-0 th« Total Numba Certain 0 0 0 0 0 / 0 0 PerCrnt Certain S7.e 25.O a.s- 0O 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 i.3 £,.3 Doubtful fl-0 P-0 0.0 0.0 OP 0-0 O.o 0.0 0.O t*-s Total 250 /2.S 0.0 00 00 0.0 0.0 63 <>-3 100. J/ji. / 0 Doubtful f /• 0 0 0 0 0 Total 9 (3 3 / 0 r> / 2. 7 PerCoit Certain Ml /$-9 *V 00 0.0 00 2-7 * / • 0.0 Doubtful ^ / //!,Z 2-7 2-7 00 00 0-0 0-0 00 r£M4£/£ Number Certain 0 _ ? 2. 0 / 2, / 7 / /r Doubtfu 2, r 2* f 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Z / / / / 0 & / / Pef Cent Certain 0/) /30 Z.1 0.0 a.0 X.7 «3 304 #3 729 Doubtfu £7 V? 00 0.0 0.0 0.0 00 0.0 2£J Total t-7 /7.3 '7* 4* #3 P.0 f-7 /00. Number Certain J / 0 0 / 0 0 0 3 0 \JL Doubtful / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 / 2, Total y / 0 0 <? 0 3 / /0 Per Cent Certain fo.o /00 0.0 0.0 /0.0 00 0.0 0.0 30.o 0.0 $0.6 Doubtful /O.0 0.0 00 0.0 00 0.0 00 00 00 /0.0 20.0 Total '(70 00 00 /0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ?<?0 S00 /oo. A/0f£/4tf£ie. Number Certain 0 3 / 0 0 0 Z / s / // Doubtful 0 ? 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2, Total 0 < / 0 0 r? 2, / 3 / / / Pet Cent Certain 0.0 23/ 7.7 0.S? 0.0 0.0 /s-.K 7-7 23/ 7-7 Mi, Doubtful A0 /«/ 00 00 00 00 00 0-0 0.0 00 /fV Total 00 ft* 77 0.0 00 0.0 /s-.f 77 &./ 77 /0O. Number Certain a / 0 0 0 0 0 o / 2s Doubtful 0 / 0 0 0 (P 0 0 0 / Total 0 2, 0 0 0 o 0 0 0 / f P e i C a i t Certain 0.0 33.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 00 0.0 33.3 66-7 Doubtful 0,0 ?3 3 00 0.0 00 0.0 00 00 00 0,0 33.3 Total 00 0.0 0 0 0.0 00 00 0.O 0.0 33.3 /0a. 187 fen . _
Report, cited by the archive. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.