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Project Blue Book Special Report (second copy)

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This is Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14, "Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects," Project No. 10073, dated 5 May 1955. The study reduced about 4,000 sighting reports received by the U.S. Air Force between June 1947 and December 1952 to IBM punched cards and analyzed them statistically, including chi square tests comparing knowns with unknowns. It concludes that the reports very probably do not represent technological developments beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced physical evidence.

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Emotion
0-Balloon
I-Astmoaial
2-Aircraft
3-Ltftlt Photon.
4-Bircts
S-Clouds, Dust, e t c
6-lnaflic. kik.
7-Psyd»k)|idl
8-Unknowi
9-Othe.
Total
jtf/VVfigl/
Number
Certain
/
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
/
2s
Doubtful
p
/
0
0
^
0
0
0
0
0
/
Total
/
/
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
PerCent
Certain
3fj
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
333
U..7
Doubtful
0.0
00
00
0O
00
00
00
0-0
(20
Total
# 3
O0
00
00
0r?
# 0
33.3
/a?.
(timber
;ertain
/
/
0
0
O
0
0
o
2
Doubtful
0
0
0
0
a
0
0
o
Total
/
/
0
0
0
0
0
0
2,
PerCent
Certain
50.0
£00
0.0
0.0
/?0
0.0
0O
0-0
0.0
00
/0G0
Doubtful
0.0
0.0
00
0.0
00
0.0
0.0
/?-0
0 0
Total
£&£.
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0-0
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0.0
00
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0
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0
0
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$
0
P
0
0
Total
2
/
0
0
0
0
0
0
/
0
Per Cent
Certain
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00
0.0
0.0
00
0.0
0.0
2S.O
0.0
/09.6
Doubtful
0-0
00
00
0.0
00
0.0
00
00
00
Total
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2S.0
0-0
00
OP
0.0
00
00
fc.0
0-0
/CO,
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Number
Certain
0
0
0
0
/
0
0
f
Doubtful
0
0
/
0
0
0
0
0
a
0
l_
Total
3
f
0
/
Z
f
Percent
Certain
&?
22.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
00
/ / • /
0.0
22. Z
00
&.?
Doubtful
0-0
/ / • /
0.0
0.O
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0O
0.0
0.0
///
Total
333
22.2
/ / • /
0.0
00
00
///
0.0
22.2
0.0
Evaluatnn
OBalloM
1-AstmnMicjl
2-Airenft
3-Lifht Pfiem».
4-Binh
5-Clouds, Dust, etc
6-lnsuffic. kilo.
7-Psycnological
B-Unknon
9-0 th«
Total
Numba
Certain
0
0
0
0
0
/
0
0

PerCrnt
Certain
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25.O
a.s-
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0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
i.3
£,.3
Doubtful
fl-0
P-0
0.0
0.0
OP
0-0
O.o
0.0
0.O
t*-s
Total
250
/2.S
0.0
00
00
0.0
0.0
63
<>-3
100.
J/ji.
/
0
Doubtful
f
/•
0
0
0
0
0
Total
9
(3
3
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0
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2.
7
PerCoit
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00
0.0
00
2-7
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2-7
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0-0
0-0
00
r£M4£/£
Number
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0
_ ?
2.
0
/
2,
/
7
/
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Doubtfu
2,
r
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0
0
0
0
0
0
Total
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/ /
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0
&
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Pef Cent
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Z.1
0.0
a.0
X.7
«3
304
#3
729
Doubtfu
£7
V?
00
0.0
0.0
0.0
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0.0
2£J
Total
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/7.3
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4*
#3
P.0
f-7
/00.
Number
Certain
J
/
0
0
/
0
0
0
3
0
\JL
Doubtful
/
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
/
2,
Total
y
/
0
0
<?
0
3
/
/0
Per Cent
Certain
fo.o
/00
0.0
0.0
/0.0
00
0.0
0.0
30.o
0.0
$0.6
Doubtful
/O.0
0.0
00
0.0
00
0.0
00
00
00
/0.0
20.0
Total
'(70
00
00
/0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
?<?0
S00
/oo.
A/0f£/4tf£ie.
Number
Certain
0
3
/
0
0
0
Z
/
s
/
//
Doubtful
0
?
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2,
Total
0
<
/
0
0
r?
2,
/
3
/
/ /
Pet Cent
Certain
0.0
23/
7.7
0.S?
0.0
0.0
/s-.K
7-7
23/
7-7
Mi,
Doubtful
A0
/«/
00
00
00
00
00
0-0
0.0
00
/fV
Total
00
ft*
77
0.0
00
0.0
/s-.f
77
&./
77
/0O.
Number
Certain
a
/
0
0
0
0
0
o
/
2s
Doubtful
0
/
0
0
0
(P
0
0
0
/
Total
0
2,
0
0
0
o
0
0
0
/
f
P e i C a i t
Certain
0.0
33.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
00
0.0
33.3
66-7
Doubtful
0,0
?3 3
00
0.0
00
0.0
00
00
00
0,0
33.3
Total
00
0.0
0 0
0.0
00
00
0.O
0.0
33.3
/0a.
187
fen . _

Cases discussed

About this file

Report, cited by the archive. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.