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Project Blue Book case file: Kenneth Arnold

The Black Vault (USAF records) · 62 pages · text by GLM-OCR

This US Air Force Project Blue Book case file on Kenneth Arnold's sighting of nine objects near Mount Rainier, Washington, on 24 June 1947 was released through The Black Vault. It contains the Project 10073 record card, which concludes the objects were a mirage, plus Arnold's telegram, questionnaire data and interview notes. It also includes J. Allen Hynek's analysis arguing the objects were closer and slower than Arnold estimated. Other items are David Johnson's sworn statement on a Boise sighting, a Tacoma investigation telegram and news clippings.

  • p. 6 …ridge in between Mt. Ranier and Mt. Adams and reported that as the first object was…
  • p. 18 …between and around Mt. Rainier and Mt. Adams, where first reported seeing objects henceforth described as…
  • p. 32 …of these objects passing another high snow-covered ridge in between Mt. Rainier and Mt. Adams,
  • p. 33 …most high snow-covered crest of Mt. Adams, I looked at my sweep second hand and…
  • p. 34 …although, by the time they reached it. Adams they were out of my range of vision…
  • p. 51 …47 miles from Mt. Rainier to Mt. Adams. Arnold said, adding that he later figured by…
  • p. 53 …formation between Mt. Rainier, Wash., and Mt. Adams. Arnold said he was able to clock them…
  • p. 54 …47 miles from Mt. Rainier to Mt. Adams, Arnold said, adding that he later figured by…
  • p. 62 …ridge in between Mt. Ranier and Mt. Adams and reported that as the first object was…

Read from the scan by GLM-OCR; expect the odd misread word.

incident #17 -- page 2

must have been erroneous:

that the objects seemed about 20 times as long as wide. Let us assume that the thickness was just discernible, which means that the object was just at the limit of resolution of the eye. Now, the eye cannot resolve objects that subtend an angle of appreciably less than 3 minutes of arc, and, in general, for any detail to be seen at all, the angle subtended must be much greater. Even if we assume the limiting resolution of 3 minutes, then, if the distance was 25 miles, elementary calculations show that each object must have been at least 100 feet thick, and if, as drawings indicate, the object was some 20 times longer than wide, it must have been about 2000 feet long.

Looking at the matter in another way and assuming that estimate of distance as 20 to 20 miles (120,000 feet) and his estimate of length as 40 to 50 feet are both correct, then it can be shown that the object will subtend an angle of only about 80 seconds of arc, which is definitely below the limit of resolution of the eye.

If I actually saw the objects, and if his estimate of distance is correct, that of size cannot be, and vice versa. It seems most logical to assume that his estimate of distance is far too great. In fact, assuming a reasonable limiting size to the objects of 400 feet, in order to show the detail that drawings indicate, the distance must have been not over roughly six miles. At this distance the objects would have travelled 11 miles (rather than 47 miles) in 102 seconds, or at a rate of approximately 400 m.p.h.

Cases discussed

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Document, cited by the archive. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. The text was read from the page images by GLM-OCR; expect the odd misread word. 62 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.