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Preliminary Assessment: Unidentified Aerial Phenomena

Office of the Director of National Intelligence · 2021-06-25 · 9 pages · text from the file's own layer

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UNCLASSIFIED
4
UNCLASSIFIED
AVAILABLE REPORTING LARGELY INCONCLUSIVE
Limited Data Leaves Most UAP Unexplained…
Limited data and inconsistency in reporting are key challenges to evaluating UAP. No
standardized reporting mechanism existed until the Navy established one in March 2019. The
Air Force subsequently adopted that mechanism in November 2020, but it remains limited to
USG reporting. The UAPTF regularly heard anecdotally during its research about other
observations that occurred but which were never captured in formal or informal reporting by
those observers.
After carefully considering this information, the UAPTF focused on reports that involved UAP
largely witnessed firsthand by military aviators and that were collected from systems we
considered to be reliable. These reports describe incidents that occurred between 2004 and 2021,
with the majority coming in the last two years as the new reporting mechanism became better
known to the military aviation community. We were able to identify one reported UAP with
high confidence. In that case, we identified the object as a large, deflating balloon. The others
remain unexplained.
• 144 reports originated from USG sources. Of these, 80 reports involved observation
with multiple sensors.
o Most reports described UAP as objects that interrupted pre-planned training or
other military activity.
UAP Collection Challenges
Sociocultural stigmas and sensor limitations remain obstacles to collecting data on UAP.
Although some technical challenges—such as how to appropriately filter out radar clutter to
ensure safety of flight for military and civilian aircraft—are longstanding in the aviation
community, while others are unique to the UAP problem set.
• Narratives from aviators in the operational community and analysts from the military
and IC describe disparagement associated with observing UAP, reporting it, or
attempting to discuss it with colleagues. Although the effects of these stigmas have
lessened as senior members of the scientific, policy, military, and intelligence
communities engage on the topic seriously in public, reputational risk may keep
many observers silent, complicating scientific pursuit of the topic.
• The sensors mounted on U.S. military platforms are typically designed to fulfill
specific missions. As a result, those sensors are not generally suited for identifying
UAP.
• Sensor vantage points and the numbers of sensors concurrently observing an object
play substantial roles in distinguishing UAP from known objects and determining
whether a UAP demonstrates breakthrough aerospace capabilities. Optical sensors
have the benefit of providing some insight into relative size, shape, and structure.
Radiofrequency sensors provide more accurate velocity and range information.

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