Office of the Secretary of Defense: 03_2024_DGI_Mission_Brief

UNCLASSIFIED
ALL-DOMAIN ANOMALY RESOLUTION OFFICE (AARO) 8
UAP ANALYTIC TRENDS
AARO analyses confirm only a very small percentage of UAP reports display anomalous signatures. The majority of unidentified objects reported to
AARO demonstrate ordinary characteristics of readily-explainable sources.
DATA PAUCITY CONTINUES TO
CHALLENGE ANALYSES
 Large number of cases in AARO's
holdings remain technically unresolved
because of a lack of verifiable data.
 Quality, empirical data is necessary for
AARO’s adherence to the scientific
method and intelligence tradecraft,
modeling, simulation, and peer review.
TRENDS CORRELATE TO LOCATION OF
REPORTING COMMUNITIES AND SOURCES
 Reports to AARO are primarily, from DoD
sources, which leads to a collection bias
around major range and test facility bases,
special use airspace and operational
areas.
 Military-centric collection bias lessened by
commercial-pilot reporting, demonstrating
greater geographic distribution of UAP
across the United States.
INCREASED CIVIL REPORTING SHIFTING
COLLECTION BIAS, MORPHOLOGY TRENDS
 AARO received over 100 reports from FAA,
contributing to analyses of UAP trends over
the United States and adjacent waters.
 Most reports had insufficient data for
conclusive analyses—sightings of “lights”
without notes on objects’
morphology/characteristics, geospatial
location, or anomalous behaviors.
UNCLASSIFIED03Page determined to be Unclassified
Reviewed by Chief of Staff, AARO
IAW FY24 NDAA, Section 1841 (a)(1)(C)
Date: 2/5/2025