Documents / Report
This Defense Intelligence Agency reference document, dated 11 March 2010, is one of the advanced technology reports produced in FY 2009 under the Advanced Aerospace Weapon System Applications (AAWSA) program. It introduces the Statistical Drake Equation, which replaces each factor of Frank Drake's 1961 equation with a uniform random variable to estimate how far away the nearest extraterrestrial civilization is. In the worked example, there is a 75% probability that the nearest civilization lies between 1,361 and 3,979 light years from Earth.
UNCLASSIFIED/ ,'Pett err1e1At 652 one, which is equation (153) of Appendix B, and "u' ~ a =Ce-·3 e 18 ~e 9 -1"'1309 lightvear,,ET_Di,t.imr ' • (13) which is equation (154) of Appendix B. 19 UNCLASSIFIED//:r:aA: 8FFifiil1l1k W~i a•lklf
Not linked to a story yet.
Report, from the dia collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 55 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.